HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I’m trying to think of the last time I had a daily high temp of 3F... Woman cold coming in tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There is zero epic about anything that is going to happen in a reasonable time range I can see. Time to steer the big ship back toward reality Is this the 3rd or 4th meltdown you’ve had over the last 2 weeks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is this the 3rd or 4th meltdown you’ve had over the last 2 weeks? 10’th show me what is “epic” about upcoming pattern please. Couple maps, maybe even post a couple milf pics to distract. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Getting 30” for coastal swct from this point forward is not hard to do. I’d hedge over..but no, I’m not putting money on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 10’th show me what is “epic” about upcoming pattern please. Couple maps, maybe even post a couple milf pics to distract. I’m not sure who said this winter would be epic. I’ve felt all along it would be normal to slightly above in regards to snowfall. As the winter went along it became obvious the Pacific was going to screw SNE. You can’t have a great winter when you completely lose Dec and most of Jan.Feb will be a relatively snowy month , but Morch should flip warm after first week or so . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Getting 30” for coastal swct from this point forward is not hard to do. I’d hedge over..but no, I’m not putting money on the line. Lol we already have a more favorable agreement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Even though GEFS looses Pac, we always say the models accelerate pattern changes, so probably can push it back a few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Didn’t Will say just a day or two ago that the pattern going forward looked Excellent?? Been Doing some sledding this weekend so haven’t been following too closely lately...the good look is now gone??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 So the euro at d6-d7 looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 30 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m trying to think of the last time I had a daily high temp of 3F... Woman cold coming in tomorrow The lowest maximum I had in last years cold was .1F I should stay below zero tomorrow especially if we have lots of clouds and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So the euro at d6-d7 looks interesting. That digging though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So the euro at d6-d7 looks interesting. As long As it is snow somewhere nearby (within 3 hrs ) I can deal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: As long As it is snow somewhere nearby (within 3 hrs ) I can deal I may just steal the weenie meh line and ask to be awoken if it’s still there on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Didn’t Will say just a day or two ago that the pattern going forward looked Excellent?? Been Doing some sledding this weekend so haven’t been following too closely lately...the good look is now gone??? My guess is that was before we “lost the good pacific look” and now the so so Atlantic might not be that serviceable for us w crap pacific. Still an active pattern where we can score in February. Certainly not an epic look currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Average range is 30 to 35 for our area. Actually, that's not true. Sikorsky averages 29" per year, and they are on a peninsula in the Sound. But here is the real problem...I did a some research a number of years ago, and discovered that the NWS at Sikorsky, at least into the 1980s, measured snow by taking the liquid equivalent, and multiplying by 10....no matter what. The best example was February 1983. They recorded 13" of snow, when we all had to shovel 20". However, a check of the records shows they also recorded 1.3" of liquid equivalent, even though the temps were in the teens throughout the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 That euro is great...major snow for Birmingham, rain for SWCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 Mm.. Don't like the compact nature of the heights ... I mean this for "determinism" It's hard to count on any guidance to "maintain" a system structure at this sort of time lead prior to the onset of natural perturbation and so forth to begin with; expecting even the Euro to do so when the flow is fast is even less likely. That much flow compression brings into question the amount of N-S amplitude, also - as an immediately correctable assumption. Bottom like... very low deterministic value there. I dunno ...things are weird. This is like fifth winter in a row where there's been a spate of this insane planetary wave gradient/saturation ... I have some eye-roller ideas on why but... part of the reason today's system resulted the way it did was related to that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm.. Don't like the compact nature of the heights ... I mean this for "determinism" It's hard to count on any guidance to "maintain" a system structure at this sort of time lead prior to the onset of natural perturbation and so forth to begin with; expecting even the Euro to do so when the flow is fast is even less likely. That much flow compression brings into question the amount of N-S amplitude, also - as an immediately correctable assumption. Bottom like... very low deterministic value there. I dunno ...things are weird. This is like fifth winter in a row where there's been a spate of this insane planetary wave gradient/saturation ... I have some eye-roller ideas on why but... part of the reason today's system resulted the way it did was related to that... Thank you for making me look up what planetary/rossby waves were. What a world we live in where I can instantly learn about the weather while verifying the grocery list with the wife on a small device that lives in your pocket! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 The idea that the pacific went bad is absurdly wrong. Yes the PNA goes down but eps shows a honking EPO for sure! If we can get some nao we’ll get some cutter insurance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: The idea that the pacific went bad is absurdly wrong. Yes the PNA goes down but eps shows a honking EPO for sure! If we can get some nao we’ll get some cutter insurance. It's probably not even real in the first place, Jerry ... I can't count how many times in a pattern the ridge out there went away ...only to just end up being there anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: It's probably not even real in the first place, Jerry ... I can't count how many times in a pattern the ridge out there went away ...only to just end up being there anyway I’m just missing what everyone is fretting over today. The guidance looks stormy with ample cold. Some Atlantic blocking can bring us snow vs rain. And that’s being modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 59 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Actually, that's not true. Sikorsky averages 29" per year, and they are on a peninsula in the Sound. But here is the real problem...I did a some research a number of years ago, and discovered that the NWS at Sikorsky, at least into the 1980s, measured snow by taking the liquid equivalent, and multiplying by 10....no matter what. The best example was February 1983. They recorded 13" of snow, when we all had to shovel 20". However, a check of the records shows they also recorded 1.3" of liquid equivalent, even though the temps were in the teens throughout the storm. Trust me I agree that it SHOULD be much higher. Unfortunately I can only go by NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’m just missing what everyone is fretting over today. The guidance looks stormy with ample cold. Some Atlantic blocking can bring us snow vs rain. And that’s being modeled. Negative energy powers this board sometimes. Lots of folks who see everything as a downer. If I lived on the south coast/CC/southeast Ma I would be less than happy. But here in Worcester we made out as well as could be expected and dodged a bad ice storm (which was my biggest fear). And in the end it is just weather. At my age I have more pressing issues. All that said, it is a blast to track storms (and failures) and just talk weather and follow the stream of consciousness conversations that sometimes erupt. Things certainly don't look disastrous moving ahead. This is NOT 2011-2012 by any stretch. Lets hope the coastal folks get something decent soon. I'm rooting for James to get a good hit soon even if it means being on the edge here. Better yet, hope we get one of those all NE storms that everyone of us crazy people can enjoy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Thurs/Friday looks like a significant ice threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I’m In Northern Maine...and man what a raging Blizzard we are having currently... full blown blizzard conditions with about a foot already accumulated..and much more to come. Not everyday you see blizzard conditions/heavy heavy snow, and temps of -2F!! Big time storm here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Not a fan of the EPO retrogression to dateline ridging. Verbatim it’s good, but what happens later on? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not a fan of the EPO retrogression to dateline ridging. Verbatim it’s good, but what happens later on? We just don’t know. But gives NAO like that and we enjoy 2007-08 style fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 15 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Thurs/Friday looks like a significant ice threat. Will said very low chances Pope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Euro has 50s with dews to match later this week in the rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not a fan of the EPO retrogression to dateline ridging. Verbatim it’s good, but what happens later on? Our 3 week winter is over and we start to dethatch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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