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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip
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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Phase job with PV lobe in trouble.....AWT.

That's what 12z ensemble uncertainty was showing. The NW solutions were driven by northern stream features. Speed was the "southern" stream, but that shortwave is out over the open Pacific. With 48-60 hours to go before that's over the West Coast there could be some additional swings, but maybe GOES-17 is providing a little better sampling and data ingest.

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