weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Slated to close here and at Chez ORH on feb. 22. First time that’s been rolled out this season. Pickles rolls it out nightly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Slated to close here and at Chez ORH on feb. 22. First time that’s been rolled out this season. Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, mreaves said: Whacu talkin’ bout Ginx? That’s only 33” for me Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Nam is really digging there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 With the usual caveat, the 850 thermals are a lot colder on the 0z NAM at hr 84 than those on the 18z GFS at hr 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: It would but it's also the NAM The NAM has been respectable the last two years since the upgrade at 66-84. It’s still not great but it’s way better than it used to be at that range when it was always overamped on any major system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Nam is really digging there. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 nam’s digging by the gulf literally at the of its run.. No model has the low pressure that south than the NAM. And that high pressure is moving in from the Alberta at a faster rate than let’s say GFS. Hopefully that PV pressing down shows up more on the future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: It’s digging by the gulf literally. No model has the low pressure that south than the NAM. And that high pressure is moving in from the Alberta at a faster rate than let’s say GFS. Hopefully that PV pressing down shows up more on the future runs. It's not digging though. Way more flat than most guidance. Not pumping heights and cutting to Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ICON no cave.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: nam’s digging by the gulf literally at the of its run.. No model has the low pressure that south than the NAM. And that high pressure is moving in from the Alberta at a faster rate than let’s say GFS. Hopefully that PV pressing down shows up more on the future runs. You can see on the two panels that the GFS has the thrust of the leading edge of the PV pushing down more in the upper plains, while the NAM is pushing down more toward us and less out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: ICON no cave.. Not that it matters, That's a shift to the NW from the 18z run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Not that it matters, That's a shift to the NW from the 18z run Gotta toss that run. It just didn’t look right. Rain in Springfield Illinois? Come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Gotta toss that run. It just didn’t look right. Rain in Springfield Illinois? Come on Toss the model, Its garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not that it matters, That's a shift to the NW from the 18z run still dumps like 30" of frozen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: still dumps like 30" of frozen lol Went from 4 to 12" here and i don't even no why i wasted about 4 post on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I'm afraid that this sucker is coming northwest again. The trends are not our friends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Greg said: I'm afraid that this sucker is coming northwest again. The trends are not our friends. why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: why? The orientation of the PV is not favorable. Look at the lobes and see how the Low reacts in the overall flow. You want the high pressure to come in stronger and faster when the Low is at its lowest point in the southwest. The high pressure should not weaken that much but apparently is, which in turn alows the low to meet less resistance to move north not to mention a little slow exiting, weak southeast ridge to help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Greg said: The orientation of the PV is not favorable. Look at the lobes and see how the Low reacts and the overall flow. You want the high pressure to comme in stronger and faster when the Low is at its lowest point in the southwest. The high pressure should not weaken that much but apparently is which in turn alows the low to meet less resistance to move north not to mention a little slow exiting, weak southeast ridge to help The nam is showing that and also ukmet but that’s not enough yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Greg said: The orientation of the PV is not favorable. Look at the lobes and see how the Low reacts in the overall flow. You want the high pressure to come in stronger and faster when the Low is at its lowest point in the southwest. The high pressure should not weaken that much but apparently is, which in turn alows the low to meet less resistance to move north not to mention a little slow exiting, weak southeast ridge to help are you talking about the current GFS? or past runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: The nam is showing that and also ukmet but that’s not enough yet The outcome still results in a southcoast to southshore Low pressure center path which is not a very good path if you want snow. Too close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 This looks pretty squashed comparatively in the early going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Went from 4 to 12" here and i don't even no why i wasted about 4 post on it. Has you raining at 4 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: are you talking about the current GFS? or past runs? I'm talking about the Euro, GFS, ICON, and CMC. The trends show it but in varing degrees. Watch the Euro tonight and see. Trust me, I would love to be wrong on this but too much evidence supports otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 This should be a decent run for the colder solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Has you raining at 4 degrees I just saw maxwell the pig fly by with 2 pin wheels saying wheeeee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, Greg said: I'm afraid that this sucker is coming northwest again. The trends are not our friends. Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: This should be a decent run for the colder solutions. yeap, definetly further south with stronger CAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 She's coming in low....this will def be flatter than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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