Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 should be a fun 12Z cycle!! I'm expecting everyone to bring their A game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: should be a fun 12Z cycle!! I'm expecting everyone to bring their A game! Or some game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Or some game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 21 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: should be a fun 12Z cycle!! I'm expecting everyone to bring their A game! May not be this 12z suite, but this is going to trend colder...agree with Will and Tip. I don't buy this big ice storm for my area. I think its going to be like the VD Day event with a lot of snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: May not be this 12 suite, but this is going to trend colder...agree with Will and Tip. I don't buy this big ice storm for my area. I think its going to be like the VD Day event with a lot of snow and sleet. Do you buy it south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Or some game. Your options are "Sorry" or "Trouble." Choose wisely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do you buy it south of 90? I think in a fairly thin area...but I also feel that there will be a lot of sleet. You have a shot to have civilization halted where you are..sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 ICON not caving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 but it did tick NW a bit from 0Z.. at least based on temp profiles, crap graphics for this crap model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: but it did tick NW a bit from 0Z.. at least based on temp profiles, crap graphics for this crap model. what is the scoring for this model ? does anyone know... or is this just like the new kid to the neighborhood has to get beat up for awhile before the other kids accept 'im/'er Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I thought the 00z EPS were a bit better but the 06z EPS were fairly ugly with most models inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: what is the scoring for this model ? does anyone know... or is this just like the new kid to the neighborhood has to get beat up for awhile before the other kids accept 'im/'er good question, no idea.. maybe the model dudes know? SV or Wxbell ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: buried That must be counting sleet and ZRN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, mikem81 said: That must be counting sleet and ZRN yeah, need to wait for pivotal to have more graphics, SV does not have much for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 We'd probably never look at the ICON if it came out at the same time as the JMA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I'm definitely interested in seeing how much the CMC shifts for the 12z... just for giggles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: what is the scoring for this model ? does anyone know... or is this just like the new kid to the neighborhood has to get beat up for awhile before the other kids accept 'im/'er It's literally the first model that comes out... therefore it's getting a ton of play these days. Will's right, if it came out at 1pm like the EURO no one would even glance at it, lol. Great marketing ploy for the model though, if I had a weather model I'd want that run as soon as humanly possible to get the most eyes on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: May not be this 12z suite, but this is going to trend colder...agree with Will and Tip. I don't buy this big ice storm for my area. I think its going to be like the VD Day event with a lot of snow and sleet. We even tainted in Albany VD2007. Ended up with 18" with 40" 30 miles to our west. Forecasts were fore 2-3' in Albany. Just missed the biggest storm of my life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's literally the first model that comes out... therefore it's getting a ton of play. Will's right, if it came out at 1pm like the EURO no one would even glance at it, lol. right ...which adds purposeful foundation/necessity to the implicit sarcasm ... this particular crew's razor sharp cutting insight utilizing objective analysis techniques - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just way way too much reliance on Euro/EPS . You have a few Mets just blindly following it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 use at your own risk.. ICON, JMA, CMC, NAM etc.. I think most know that by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I think with the next run of models we should focus on the trends as well as the current data. Let’s not forget it’s only Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just way way too much reliance on Euro/EPS . You have a few Mets just blindly following it There was a time not too long ago a certain young boy would forecast ONLY using the euro/eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Thursday Am has -20/-22 850-925’s from Stowe-Berlin NH. -10-20below seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 i'm thinking more sleet and rain than snow for myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just way way too much reliance on Euro/EPS . You have a few Mets just blindly following it I feel like you worked so hard over the years to get everyone to toss the GFS and other models. You used to beg Ryan to go straight Euro/EPS and toss the others as far as the eye could see. Don't take away all that hard work now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Even the ICON is cold at the surface, Can't see the MLs though. Temps barely exceed 30F at the peak and that is only in SE MA and CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Even the ICON is cold at the surface, Can't see the MLs though. Temps barely exceed 30F at the peak and that is only in SE MA and CC. Chances of straight rain seem very small in this and only for a small geographic area. The trick will be where the mix/snow line sets up. The low levels will be frigid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Even the ICON is cold at the surface, Can't see the MLs though. Temps barely exceed 30F at the peak and that is only in SE MA and CC. Most of the interior stays in the teens and low 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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