dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What are these positive depth change maps? They make no sense with the model run. Like 18-30" in NNE? Where is the GFS even close to that. I usually use pivotal so i'm not sure what those are all about, But the 10:1 clowns on there are printing out 15-20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 What are these positive depth change maps? They make no sense with the model run. Like 18-30" in NNE? Where is the GFS even close to that.I questioned this yesterday. Seems like weenies are picking the clown maps with the darkest colors...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 the anafront idea is the best hope the coast has IMO 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: LOL what is it doing at 150. Redeveloping low to south. Similiar to gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 March 8, 2005 was the crazy flash freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, TheCloser24 said: March 8, 2005 was the crazy flash freeze. That was the one. I was actually home on spring break from college and it was a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, forkyfork said: the anafront idea is the best hope the coast has IMO Agree unless the pv starts squashing this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hazey said: I questioned this yesterday. Seems like weenies are picking the clown maps with the darkest colors...lol. Yeah but a lot of times the tidbits depth change product is anti-weenie when it's not as cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: These things many times lead to ennui as Ray would say, unless you have an ice fetish. Id love to be in CNE and NNE at this stage. We shall see. Maybe we can pull a 2014 when everything went SE, but my gut is no. NNE/CNE clearly the best spot to be all winter so far. Going through all the possible solutions on each 6 hour run is taxing lol, but part of the gambit. Lot's of time for a reversal Ray's ennui notwithstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 If SNE folks would give up on big snow idea and enjoy tracking an epic icestorm enroute.. it’ll end a whole lot more fun for you. Ice ice cold surface and frigid HP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Honestly, I don't know what to make of the 18ZGFS. It's, well, the 18ZGFS showing a solution for 6days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 25 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Would probably be a nasty flash freeze on the GFS What was the good one... March 03? Well no one except Se Mass would even sniff freezing as Will said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Greg said: Honestly I don't know what to make of the 18ZGFS. It's well, the 18ZGFS showing a solution for 6days away. If that happened everyone would suffer. Rain would be much better. Thankfully it’s unlikely vs the hype 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Love the 1055+ mb coming south....artic unloading it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah that looks to me like mid 20s at BDL and 50s for GON lol Yikes, I'm observing Saturday night at BDL. If you see mistakes you can blame them on me. Maybe I'll get stranded there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I still feel with a powerful Polar Vortex over Hudson Bay, Canada and a powerful cold air mass entering the region on Saturday, I feel suppression is a large problem over cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2-3" of qpf with a January arctic front bisecting New England spells high,high impact situation. Really analyzing each run 5 days out is fairly useless (but fun) Fasten seatbelts, something big coming... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Models are showing a powerful upper to mid level jet stream with this trough. Very cold air mass enters the region after the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, wxeyeNH said: 2-3" of qpf with a January arctic front bisecting New England spells high,high impact situation. Really analyzing each run 5 days out is fairly useless (but fun) Fasten seatbelts, something big coming... I agree either a big rainstorm or a big snowstorm, its rare to get ice on Cape Cod. I feel ice is something no one wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I agree either a big rainstorm or a big snowstorm, its rare to get ice on Cape Cod. I feel ice is something no one wants. Sleet is a major player methinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Sleet like I've posted earlier is probably more likely than freezing rain. With a general track at least for now, off shore, then I would base on passed history a heavy snow and sleet storm would ensue. Sleet makes up a lot of precipitable water values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I still feel with a powerful Polar Vortex over Hudson Bay, Canada and a powerful cold air mass entering the region on Saturday, I feel suppression is a large problem over cutter. 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Models are showing a powerful upper to mid level jet stream with this trough. Very cold air mass enters the region after the 20th. Winter is powerful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That was the one. I was actually home on spring break from college and it was a disaster. Yup, I was a crew leader with CTDOT in NECT, we knew it was coming and tried to pre stage and still failed with the heavy traffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 LR looks great. Yet the OP GFS still manages to deliver SNE a cutter and suppression depression. Every winter has its own unique personality. This one is a total b*tch, but we keep thinking she’ll come around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I still feel with a powerful Polar Vortex over Hudson Bay, Canada and a powerful cold air mass entering the region on Saturday, I feel suppression is a large problem over cutter. I think this will trend south due to the pv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Weeklies have a awesome pattern through February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Even the runs that start kind of amped really get pinched as they try to amplify. I am not silly enough to rule out a cutter but I'm kind of skeptical of one. That PV is strong and it going to be a lot of resistance. Wouldn't surprise me if we got the classic SE trend around day 3-4 followed by the last minute latent heat north trend inside of 36 hours and the final result is pretty wintry. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Weeklies have a awesome pattern through February Yes, I believe we will have as extreme of a storm center as NEMO's 960mb at the benchmark or just east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 hours ago, CTWeatherFreak said: We're not getting 2.5" ice.. Weve got a better chance of getting 2' of snow! I know..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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