Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fv3 has 15" at SR, I don't think that's rain..lol It is at hour 150 on the FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: We spend every winter day dissecting minor league modes for 4 hours and then the big MLB game comes on after lunch. I don't thing the GFS is out to lunch though, with this specific threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Greg said: It is at hour 150 on the FV3 Not that it matters but thats ice to blue bomb up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That model is worse than the GEM!!! Trash that POS. Maybe it's good that the model upgrade has been delayed by the shutdown. Maybe it's not's ready for prime time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't thing the GFS is out to lunch though, with this specific threat. It's not too far from the euro which gives more confidence in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Not that it matters but thats ice to blue bomb up there. Way up there is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't thing the GFS is out to lunch though, with this specific threat. I agree, Maybe the thermals are not right, But that track is within reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Greg said: Way up there is the key. True, But so far i have not been impressed with the fv3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: True, But so far i have not been impressed with the fv3. Nobody has, that's the whole ponit of this conversation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's not too far from the euro which gives more confidence in it. Correct. The storm itself is also a high confidence storm. It's not like we are dealing with phasing or other nuances in flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It would be worth it to see the reactions if the euro came in looking like the GGEM. Watching go north last night, I totally expect it to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't thing the GFS is out to lunch though, with this specific threat. I kind of agree but without the euro staying reasonably close to it people won’t put their faith in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fv3 has 15" at SR, I don't think that's rain..lol It would be most unpleasant to get a few inches of snow on Friday and then get 1" plus of rain poured into it with an immediate freeze right after. Then follow up with a cutter and refreeze for good measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: Oh no, Is this another practice from your last practice? Worked out for JSpin and Mitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It would be most unpleasant to get a few inches of snow on Friday and then get 1" plus of rain poured into it with an immediate freeze right after. Then follow up with a cutter and refreeze for good measure. Would that be considered, Putting the icing on the icing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Worked out for JSpin and Mitch What hasn't................ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 31 minutes ago, dryslot said: It was more to fact that the last one he started a week ago fell on its face in SNE..................... I got a coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 When the Euro comes out, I'm going to be comparing it to the 144 Hour position that the GFS has at that point to see what the difference is in low pressure center placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Greg said: When the Euro comes out, I'm going to be comparing it to the 144 Hour position that the GFS has at that point to see what the difference is. Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I got a coating You brought me 3.5".............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Anyone know why on TT, the CMC 850 thermal depiction has a big chunk of nothing in the Western US? Just blank, white areas Mountains.....they are above 850. Basically the 850 mb pressure level would be below ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Mountains.....they are above 850. Basically the 850 mb pressure level would be below ground. Doh! I should have figured that out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, Greg said: When the Euro comes out, I'm going to be comparing it to the 144 Hour position that the GFS has at that point to see what the difference is in low pressure center placement. sounds good, keep us updated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Already seeing on the 12z Euro, The friday s/w is more amped then the 0z run out in the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Mountains.....they are above 850. Basically the 850 mb pressure level would be below ground. It does snow under ground you know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Already seeing on the 12z Euro, The friday s/w is more amped then the 0z run out in the midwest. That's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 You can hear the collective clicks of "refresh" "refresh" "refresh" going on at model sites all around New England right now. The biggest Day 6 threat ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Already seeing on the 12z Euro, The friday s/w is more amped then the 0z run out in the midwest. pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's good. We will see in the end, But its been rather meager with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 9 minutes ago, Greg said: When the Euro comes out, I'm going to be comparing it to the 144 Hour position that the GFS has at that point to see what the difference is in low pressure center placement. Low pressure center lives matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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