USCG RS Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Here are the last 3 runs of the Euro including 18z. Its been trending towards a less amped solution which would argue for a more favorable track for snow lovers in future runs.Like the Ukie... Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 00z NAM upper levels is giving me hope at hr 84. Remember the NAM has surprised us past winters. Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, David-LI said: 00z NAM upper levels is giving me hope at hr 84. Remember the NAM has surprised us past winters, even this far out. The NAM no longer has the amped issue at 72-84 the last two years. Some sort of upgrade occurred so it tends now to be near the globals in major storms at that range more than it used to. NAM even flatter with the Friday event now too. That has become weaker and weaker for the last 36 hours. I expected the more south track to verify but I wasn’t exactly anticipating how much guidance is beginning to wash it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, David-LI said: 00z NAM upper levels is giving me hope at hr 84. Remember the NAM has surprised us past winters, even this far out. If the UK holds we're probably into something especially considering the look at 90hrs on the 18z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 If the UK holds we're probably into something especially considering the look at 90hrs on the 18z EUROAgain. Ukie makes sense. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 at hr 84 GFS has the low over Arkansas. NAM has it over Mexico lol. Meh...boring Oh hi there...you look very sexy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: If the UK holds we're probably into something especially considering the look at 90hrs on the 18z EURO Nice to have you " almost back " Eric lol. Still 2 days lets get some guidance going our way !!! Come on Ukie!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ICON gone. 1 step forward and 2 steps back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: ICON gone. 1 step forward and 2 steps back. Eric or anyone else did you see Deep Thunder ? It looked good saw it posted in another thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edubbs83 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: ICON gone. 1 step forward and 2 steps back. How reliable is the icon to begin with. Feels like we normally don’t look to it for much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ps I just would like the Ukie to hold serve and if it could get some support that would be a good thing IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Eric or anyone else did you see Deep Thunder ? It looked good saw it posted in another thread I have not. Just back from a wake... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Edubbs83 said: How reliable is the icon to begin with. Feels like we normally don’t look to it for much. Someone in the MA forum swears the ICON is decent post 120 and then sucks inside of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Someone in the MA forum swears the ICON is decent post 120 and then sucks inside of that You shouldn't believe them. It makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 How much stock does anyone put into DEEP THUNDER and is it reliable this far out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: How much stock does anyone put into DEEP THUNDER and is it reliable this far out ? What did 0z even show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, David-LI said: Just to point out the difference in models. GFS has been hinting on rain with the system on Friday morning while the NAM is insisting in an all snow, colder solution with a general 1-2 inches. Yea GFS is really bad with temps. However it has caved to the other models in terms of a much flatter solution for Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, HVSnowLover said: Yea GFS is really bad with temps. However it has caved to the other models in terms of a much flatter solution for Friday morning Better look in the plains at 66hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Digging more at hr 78 GFS. Baby steps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Might be a mini cave here. Encouraging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 22 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Eric or anyone else did you see Deep Thunder ? It looked good saw it posted in another thread Can you dm it or post it gfs colder n south so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Might be a mini cave here. Encouraging. Mini being the key word, looks flatter and colder but not significantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 23 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Rjay --> Thanks Now I see it and get it CAD stronger low further south, front end thump on this run from the city on NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Mini being the key word, looks flatter and colder but not significantly Might be a major cave actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Looks WAY better to me compared to earlier GFS runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Might be a major cave actually. Yea it's actually way south, still not a snowstorm for the metro area but way more interesting than 18Z for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Significant improvements at upper levels compared to 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Huge huge huge cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Major cave towards ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Honestly it’s not too far from getting squashed south...with the cold/highs/50-50 low present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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