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January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat


Rjay
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1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

It dropped to 32 here it’s snowing moderately. Wonder how long it’ll take to stick

The usual CT Valley mid level dry nose is punching SW and slowing the advancement of the heavier precip to the NE from about central NJ.  May see accumulations as that advances next hour.  Right now the Euro looks dead on as if showed some accumulation from northern part of manhattan on NW from there.  Everyone south of there is raining  

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3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The usual CT Valley mid level dry nose is punching SW and slowing the advancement of the heavier precip to the NE from about central NJ.  May see accumulations as that advances next hour.  Right now the Euro looks dead on as if showed some accumulation from northern part of manhattan on NW from there.  Everyone south of there is raining  

Yea the models showed a tight cutoff with this even across the city in terms of all rain southern NYC and several hours of snow at least in the air for northern NYC . It seems though you have to get NW of the Tappan Zee to see true accumulating snow (temps below freezing)

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2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The gradient is setup more N-S vs NW-SE as it usually does.  Likely some NE flow held somewhere between 925-975mb across north shore of LI back into NYC and NE NJ so probably some semblance of CAD going on which kept the BL colder just above the surface there 

Yea I’m surprised it’s raining my west in Nassau county. Moderate snow now and 34

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