Brasiluvsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Rjay said: well done sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Some flakes in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Meh. Primary still way too far north. Probably can't ask for more than this though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 UK has nyc getting 8-12” in the city less has you head se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Lol. Dump to ZR to 10° dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looks like 10 inches for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Fine. Here you go 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Looks like 10 inches for the city But like I said, primary way way too far north and mid levels torch. Bet some of that 10" is sleet but I'll sign up for this now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Looks like 10 inches for the city Much of that is not going to be snow with 850s above freezing for a time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: You need to learn that it’s just a model, it’s sole purpose is guidance not a forecast. I’m making my forecast that if we had a track like that it would mostly be snow for New York City. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Much of that is not going to be snow with 850s above freezing for a time Isn't the Ukie alone on this though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Perfect scenario for me in mid hudson valley. All snow. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Rjay said: #anothertonylovessnowsock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Yes. And alot of it. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk No it wouldn't. Primary tracks too far north. You would not avoid torched midlevels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, weatherpruf said: Isn't the Ukie alone on this though? Pretty much. EURO should be telling if it has much credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: No it wouldn't. Primary tracks too far north. You would not avoid torched midlevels. No matter how many times we tell them, if they have the snow goggles on the primary could track to Buffalo and they would say all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 No it wouldn't. Primary tracks too far north. You would not avoid torched midlevels.This is true.. And I am wrong. Apologies. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, USCG RS said: This is true.. And I am wrong. Apologies. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk No need to apologize at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 No matter how many times we tell them, if they have the snow goggles on the primary could track to Buffalo and they would say all snow.Yeah. I'm guilty of this here. I didn't look at the LP in the frame before it scoots to the delmarva Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS, CMC, and Ukie all were better than previous runs to some degree. I'm willing to bet Euro is the same or improves slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, USCG RS said: This is true.. And I am wrong. Apologies. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk That's too bad. You know your stuff and if you say snow I pay attention. We all make mistakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: Dude's been relatively harmless so far. Not sure if he's the other, evil Tony or not. But he hasn't been offensive. i'd be inclined to let it slide. What are . your thoughts with the latest guidance? Euro should shine some light. UK is encouraging but with that dream scenario we still don't have a great solution. Mid levels torch for bulk of precip. CMC being less amped was encouraging but as it stands we still torch. Need the UK with a(much) earlier transfer to really cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 That's too bad. You know your stuff and if you say snow I pay attention. We all make mistakes. I still believe that this ends up as more snow for the region than we think. I believe the LP does not make it up to Pittsburgh as shown verbatim, for reasons I've laid it before. Now.. We wait and see.Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: GFS, CMC, and Ukie all were better than previous runs to some degree. I'm willing to bet Euro is the same or improves slightly. Hopefully, however 18z was a tick more amped but maybe a bit more sampling should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Yeah. I'm guilty of this here. I didn't look at the LP in the frame before it scoots to the delmarva Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk yes you are correct there is no miller B at all. There is no secondary. Good work. It is a matter of if the HP is strong enough to suppress it to our south. UKMET shows that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, USCG RS said: I still believe that this ends up as more snow for the region than we think. I believe the LP does not make it up to Pittsburgh as shown verbatim, for reasons I've laid it before. Now.. We wait and see. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Quite possible. Need an early transfer to really get the business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, USCG RS said: I still believe that this ends up as more snow for the region than we think. I believe the LP does not make it up to Pittsburgh as shown verbatim, for reasons I've laid it before. Now.. We wait and see. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 50-100 miles further south is probably all it would take to keep us mostly snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Euro should shine some light. UK is encouraging but with that dream scenario we still don't have a great solution. Mid levels torch for bulk of precip. CMC being less amped was encouraging but as it stands we still torch. Need the UK with a(much) earlier transfer to really cash in. I think we're pretty clear on where you stand on this; you don't think it's going to snow a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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