Hoosier Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stebo said: I keep forgetting there is an 18z Euro, not that I know where to find it I know weathermodels has it. Not sure about anybody else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: You're our 06z/18z Euro guy from now on. Let's just say the 18z run had a 997mb SLP in N. AL at one point, which was actually south of 12z run at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z GFS coming in now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Let's just say the 18z run had a 997mb SLP in N. AL at one point, which was actually south of 12z run at that time. makes no sense lol it better get fixed by 0z runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z GFS coming in stronger... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: 0z GFS coming in stronger... Yep it is pretty amped with the surface low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z GFS is very similar to the 18z run overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Thought we could baby step a bit better than that on the GFS tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z GGEM taking a good jump north. Trough much further north out West and entering the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, UMB WX said: Thought we could baby step a bit better than that on the GFS tonight. GFS can be quite stubborn. With the last storm it was way underplaying amounts up till the day of 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, UMB WX said: Thought we could baby step a bit better than that on the GFS tonight. Yep. Tonight, the baby sat instead of stepping. Oh well, I think we can all agree that tomorrow is the day things start getting serious. At least the GFS didn't trend worse again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z GGEM taking a good jump north. Trough much further north out West and entering the Plains. Eventually ended up further SE across the OV. Had some issues aloft... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Actually a pretty frustrating ass run. Low sitting on the pan handle and just gets shunted in the lamest way out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Chicago Storm said: Eventually ended up further SE across the OV. Had some issues aloft... It had a funny evolution and didn't go more neutral, just kept sliding east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looking at the trough at 500mb being more neutral I was thinking this run was going to turn out better. Possibly earlier phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: It had a funny evolution and didn't go more neutral, just kept sliding east. Very odd overall. The trough out west was so far north of 12z, then it just got kicked east. Haven't looked into it, but I'm guessing lack of phasing or some other reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 At this rate I can forgetta bout it wrt any "watch" from my office. Gonna be surrounded by 'em with a dead zone in between 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Chicago Storm said: Very odd overall. The trough out west was so far north of 12z, then it just got kicked east. Haven't looked into it, but I'm guessing lack of phasing or some other reason. Shitty model being shitty is another option too. Especially since it disagrees with the RGEM. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Stebo said: Shitty model being shitty is another option too. Especially since it disagrees with the RGEM. Globals don’t like it tonight. I’d go with them over the NAM tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 00z globals seems pretty ho-hum with regards to run to run change this evening. Because of that, I'm more inclined to side with them over the NAM. They didn't downtrend or really trend anywhere at all, just kinda held serve with 18/12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, mimillman said: Globals don’t like it tonight. I’d go with them over the NAM tbh GFS was fine in my opinion, it did slightly move north. Only thing that was unfavorable is the GGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stebo said: GFS was fine in my opinion, it did slightly move north. Only thing that was unfavorable is the GGEM... You forgot to mention the ICON hoss. (it's solution is awful and so is it) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, hlcater said: 00z globals seems pretty ho-hum with regards to run to run change this evening. Because of that, I'm more inclined to side with them over the NAM. They didn't downtrend or really trend anywhere at all, just kinda held serve with 18/12z. Yea kind of left puzzled. But not surprising because we still haven't had a sample yet. Hopefully that will help hone in models tomorrow. We're getting closer to NAM's good range. Am curious to see if Euro budges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, hlcater said: You forgot to mention the ICON hoss. (it's solution is awful and so is it) I can count the number of times I have looked at the ICON on one hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: I can count the number of times I have looked at the ICON on one hand. You should really change your ways. I feel a certain sort of... enlightenment after I started regularly checking the ICON. Can't really explain the feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, hlcater said: You should really change your ways. I feel a certain sort of... enlightenment after I started regularly checking the ICON. Can't really explain the feeling. Lol... Okay I just did and started laughing with how it zigzags the low all over the place. It can't figure out where the hell it is going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: Lol... Okay I just did and started laughing with how it zigzags the low all over the place. It can't figure out where the hell it is going. I'm just messing with you. The ICON is terrible. Now back to your regularly scheduled discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 FV is coming in further north with the wave coming into the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stebo said: Lol... Okay I just did and started laughing with how it zigzags the low all over the place. It can't figure out where the hell it is going. It doesn't plot sleet/freezing rain either. So dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z FV actually came in a bit south aloft and with precip, but around the same for the SLP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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