Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Talk about a change.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baum said: Quad Cities afternoon afd is a fun read for winter weather aficionados. Nothing in depth just cold and snow for the foreseeable future. Thanks, it was a great read... Basically "high confidence" of events just need to nail down where. After the way this winter has gone, just knowing storms are in the offing is a good first step! :-) The storm next week seems interesting but won't all of that will be impacted on where the weekend snowfalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustMePatrick Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 What one our local MET's posted earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 If the trend of a more west placed and slightly slower northern wave, with a further north/less diving southern wave continues things could end up even more interesting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That was certainly a nice step to a more robust system. Curious to see if 0z continues it. Should have a partial sampling at least by 0z runs tomorrow night. Hopefully full sample by 12z Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: If the trend of a more west placed and slightly slower northern wave, with a further north/less diving southern wave continues things could end up even more interesting. Yeah, good step on that run. You don't really see the result manifest itself the way it could have, but at least it trended better/snowier overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Yeah, good step on that run. You don't really see the result manifest itself the way it could have, but at least it trended better/snowier overall. Need that wave to come in slightly north again on the West Coast, and go a bit neutral tilt a bit faster...then close off at 500mb and maybe pull a bit ENE instead of east. Not really far off from that scenario at all. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 And we have Jacque at the end 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The 18z NAM is great for my area, but I'd have to see that from other models before getting excited. Today's euro has much less qpf across the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Kinda excite for the 18Z GFS now lel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The AccuWeather online forecast layout being very premature predicting 8-12 inches for the Chicagoland area. Definitely shouldn’t put that out there in text. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Keep an eye on that initial fgen band streaking eastward. In my experience, those things overperform more often than not, especially if there's some instability aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: Keep an eye on that initial fgen band streaking eastward. In my experience, those things overperform more often than not, especially if there's some instability aloft. Great point Izzi just mentioned that in KLOT update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 25 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Keep an eye on that initial fgen band streaking eastward. In my experience, those things overperform more often than not, especially if there's some instability aloft. It’s going to give someone in Iowa warning criteria snows but where it does is another question. Should provide a healthy snowfall further east too even if we don’t get the other players to cooperate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18Z GFS coming in decently north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z GFS is following the trend. Southern wave came onshore further north, does not dig as much, and is more consolidated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z GFS has the low pressure area a bit more north and a bit stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 52 minutes ago, Hoosier said: And we have Jacque at the end LES from Lake Huron will be icing on the cake for me .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I really do like the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z GFS looks to be taking a moderate step to a more north/phased solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Nice changes on the GFS... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS looking better. So glad to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Low almost gets into southern Indiana now, we're on track to end up where we were yesterday morning at this rate of north per run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Low almost gets into southern Indiana now, we're on track to end up where we were yesterday morning at this rate of north per run Going to be a solid run for N IL. Baby stepping back the right direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Angrysummons said: Maybe it is just me, but this storm seems exhausting to track. We are just out of tracking shape, LOL. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Going to be a solid run for N IL 4-6". It's eh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, zinski1990 said: GFS looking better. So glad to see 850's getting uncomfortably close this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, IllinoisWedges said: 4-6". It's eh Better than before, I think at this rate you'll all be back in the money soon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, IllinoisWedges said: 4-6". It's eh Snow wise, yes. But we have stopped the bleeding from a zzzz system. Hopefully keep stepping the right direction 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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