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Bob Chill

January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast

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I honestly didn't even expect it to begin here at the M/D  line N.Central MD Frederick county by now but it started maybe an hour maybe hour and a half ago.... very fine but roads have caved.

 

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6 minutes ago, Woodbridge02 said:

0.7" just measured in Woodbridge east of 95. Light/moderate SN continues. 

Wow almost an inch already! And the snow has only just begun! Its gonna snow right thru tomorrow, into tomorrow night!

This is one of my new snow songs. Blast it while the heavy stuff is getting blown right past the streetlights! And crank the speakers right up to 11!

 

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First Jebwalk of the season with my 4 year old.  Beautiful quiet night , about a half in in N Arlington.

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Just now, snjókoma said:

I apologize for saying 0.3" instead of 0.4". "Not even close".

hrrr_apcpn_neus_18.png

I know it's a difficult time you're going through but at some point you'll have to come to grips with 1) you're getting more than 4" of snow and 2) your analysis is terrible

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Went out for a walk at 6:15, barely snowing tiny flakes. About halfway through, you could see the dendritic growth start, and the crystals getting visibility larger. Sidewalks and streets started to cave pretty quickly. When we got in it was coming down pretty good, with beautiful fluffy dendrites falling. 

28 / 25 in Parkville with SN+

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25 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Wonderful fire in the fire pit, grandson came by. Just had my mother’s funeral on Thursday so this is a spirit lifter.  

So sorry for your loss. 

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Just now, Jebman said:

Wow almost an inch already! And the snow has only just begun! Its gonna snow right thru tomorrow, into tomorrow night!

This is one of my new snow songs. Blast it while the heavy stuff is getting blown right past the streetlights! And crank the speakers right up to 11!

 

I literally just listened to that song earlier:o

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I apologize for saying 0.3" instead of 0.4". "Not even close".
hrrr_apcpn_neus_18.png&key=f1cdd0a0f3479e1eee0824a5734c1ebc4e4fc2ef8d482b0eb40192d280a2f0dd

Storm ain’t over at 16z tomorrow, but nice try.

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went on a walk to the liquor store in woodley park, dusting here coming down pretty good

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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Dendrites!

Does this signify better ratios or just that the column is very good?

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4 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Miss you, crazy man Jeb. Tonight is perfect. Closing in on the first inch. I greased up my shovels and retaped the grips. 

This is going to be one crazy fun winter for the Mid Atlantic. Enjoy!

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These flakes are wonderful. Steady light to mod snow is accumulating quite rapidly. Flakes are enormous. Snow growth upstairs is looking quite nice up here in central MD. 

Still think the area between Bob Chill in Rockville and BWI / Howard / AA county does superb between being far enough south for QPF and far enough north for much better snow growth than dc and points south. 

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There's a nice band over Ohio and WV, hopefully it can make it to our area.

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2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Does this signify better ratios or just that the column is very good?

Column is great. Ratios for central md And points north will exceed 12:1 in my view. Of course better as you climb north in latitude. Ratios up by PSU Hoffman will be insane which is why he’ll still likely easily get 6+ 

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13 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

HRRR has about 0.3" of precip for DC. 3 or 4 inches seems reasonable for DC.

Is this you? If so, it answers all my questions.

Screenshot_20190112-190125_YouTube.jpg

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Nighttime comin on here in S TX where I am, I know its dark up there! Snow is gonna really pile up!

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Just now, leesburg 04 said:

Man that guy sure is a dumbass

 

If nobody ever responded (and/or he were 5 posted), he would lose interest. That said, Perhaps exceeding 4 inches will put him in a snow coma and we won’t hear from him the rest of the winter.

 

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0.75" as of 7PM. That's 0.35" in the last 30 mins. 0.7"/hr and the main event hasn't even started!

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Probably right Jay, but these are beautiful dendrites right now south of DC...for now..radar rapidly filling to the SW. 

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5 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

I apologize for saying 0.3" instead of 0.4". "Not even close".

hrrr_apcpn_neus_18.png

 4” there and then another 4-6 thereafter as a result of the coastal low. The not even close comment was not in response to your graphic.

No need to get ignorant my friend, you misinterpreted.

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