Radtechwxman Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 0z gfs def came north with heavier accumulations. Nothing like nam but a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, StormChaser4Life said: 0z gfs def came north with heavier accumulations. Nothing like nam but a step in the right direction Have to disagree. Overall a slight step in the wrong direction with stronger hp and flatter look. Ggem same trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:13 PM, buckeye said: Have to disagree. Overall a slight step in the wrong direction with stronger hp and flatter look. Ggem same trend. He is right, if you compare the vorticity maps at 84 hours with previous runs, the vort max is slower a bit out in the plains and the bigger part is the vort max across Quebec is further northeast. At the surface the high is also trending slower and further north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 19 minutes ago, buckeye said: Have to disagree. Overall a slight step in the wrong direction with stronger hp and flatter look. Ggem same trend. Well it gives me more snow so I'm happy. Lol. Guess we need to root for nam. But yes I see what you mean. It is pretty flat. Nam has that southern vort really wrap up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro definitely ticked stronger, further north as well. It does eat away with the snow on the far northern edge as the snow shield gets toward this area. That will be an issue on the northern fringe of this storm, would be nice to see a few more ticks north in that regard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 06Z NAM is still amped and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6zGfs continues to slip away.... Meanwhile the euro trends better. Hopefully today we get some concensus but usually decent storms come together on the major models when you're inside 4 days...so this late game divergence doesn't bode well for a significant storm.... jmho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 hour ago, buckeye said: 6zGfs continues to slip away.... Meanwhile the euro trends better. Hopefully today we get some concensus but usually decent storms come together on the major models when you're inside 4 days...so this late game divergence doesn't bode well for a significant storm.... jmho I see FV3 is loading again although its still on 0z but it's amped up too along with NAM/Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: I see FV3 is loading again although its still on 0z but it's amped up too along with NAM/Euro. I also noticed the time stamp was 'off'. I didn't check last night, is this a different solution than the last run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: I also noticed the time stamp was 'off'. I didn't check last night, is this a different solution than the last run? Generally the same as the 18z run but a touch north with the higher totals in Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 00z Euro ensemble definitely ticked up as well vs. 12z run. GFS suite still decidedly less enthused with this system, 06z run more so than 00z run. Far enough out that all options still on the table.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Too far south for me to get my hopes up right now and too much disagreement between models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 NAM crash to reality begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just glanced at the 00z Euro and it def. had a generous bump in potential numbers for folks along the I-80 corridor in IA & IL. More in line with the NAM. Let's see if these trends continue or we start to go the other way in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 There's a night and day difference on the 12Z cycle of the op GFS and para GFS (FV3). The later is further north and significantly more amped up. Pretty much everyone in this subforum would cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 hours ago, mimillman said: NAM crash to reality begins take your dusting to an inch and be happy knowing its the start of better days ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, Baum said: take your dusting to an inch and be happy knowing its the start of better days ahead. Indeed. That GFS run looked most promising 3rd decade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro even more impressive than 0z run. Get's 4-6" amounts into entire LOT CWA to the WI border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 This storm looks a lot bigger than it did last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 29 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Euro even more impressive than 0z run. Get's 4-6" amounts into entire LOT CWA to the WI border. Yep, numbers continues to increase for DVN CWA also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 33 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Euro even more impressive than 0z run. Get's 4-6" amounts into entire LOT CWA to the WI border. Even more bullish than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Anyone have access to para-GFS snowfall maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Malacka11 said: Anyone have a access to para-GFS snowfall maps? Don’t think 12z is out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Don’t think 12z is out yet. Lots of issues with it the past week. Wonder if something to do with gov’t shutdown? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Don’t think 12z is out yet. That's what I've been thinking too, but iirc someone already referenced the 12z FV3 as being the opposite of the normal GFS. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: That's what I've been thinking too, but iirc someone already referenced the 12z FV3 as being the opposite of the normal GFS. Oh well 12z FV3 just starting to roll now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 FV3 runs at the same time as the GFS. There may be a distribution problem delaying products for 3rd parties. You can get limited FV3 products directly from the NOAA site. They are available at the same time as the old GFS products. They do provide the FV3 snow depth product. http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov for parallel run http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/ for operational run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy02 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 12z FV3 just starting to roll now. 12 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: That's what I've been thinking too, but iirc someone already referenced the 12z FV3 as being the opposite of the normal GFS. Oh well There are ways to access it soon after the the OP run, but it doesn't load on TT until several hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 12z FV3 just starting to roll now. Cool. What did 12z Euro look like for Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy02 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, pondo1000 said: Cool. What did 12z Euro look like for Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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