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Beggars can’t be Choosers strung out mess Jan 8/9


HoarfrostHubb
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5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

That map is through 7AM Tuesday.  The burst  between 6 and 9 might be the bulk of the snow.

Yup.  Kind of surprised they would post this at this time, but ignore some of the better snows (maybe).  I would wait a day then include the whole event.   Of course, that map might wind up being right...lol

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12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

That map is through 7AM Tuesday.  The burst  between 6 and 9 might be the bulk of the snow.

Yeah I missed that. The heaviest stuff is prob a bit after 7. Not that any of these maps matter whatsoever right now. 

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I am not expecting a big storm, 3" would be nice to start off the next few weeks worth of the pattern.  YEsterday models were showing a shortwave that dug more and allowed a further southward tracking surface low, tonight, the first few models coming in are showing a northward tracking system, I would still give the system another 30-36 hours before giving up hope on a different outcome, then we can tread lightly on the weekend event next week.

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From GYX

What`s new is the consensus that another wave drops down within
the core of the upper trough and curls around southern New
England and into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. It will be strengthening as it does so and could bring
a more substantial round of precipitation to the area. One
complicating factor here is that the earlier warm advection will
leave a relatively warm air mass in place Tuesday night with
temperatures likely near or just above freezing at times. It
seems likely that as the low winds up we will get cold air
pulled in from the north at the surface (and from the west
aloft) with perhaps a developing coastal front segmenting off
the warmer air. So while for the most part this next wave should
bring snowfall, there could be areas that see some rain as well,
especially near the coast. Snowfall amounts could exceed warning
criteria in some areas, though confidence on this is still too
low for a Winter Storm Watch. Will let this new consensus
solidify a bit before taking that step. For now the best
snowfall amounts would be over interior western Maine and
northern New Hampshire where the best banding may occur between
the strengthening surface low and the advancing upper low.
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8 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

You mean I’m not getting 18”?

Maybe 1.8 will play out though.

33 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

From GYX


What`s new is the consensus that another wave drops down within
the core of the upper trough and curls around southern New
England and into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. It will be strengthening as it does so and could bring
a more substantial round of precipitation to the area. One
complicating factor here is that the earlier warm advection will
leave a relatively warm air mass in place Tuesday night with
temperatures likely near or just above freezing at times. It
seems likely that as the low winds up we will get cold air
pulled in from the north at the surface (and from the west
aloft) with perhaps a developing coastal front segmenting off
the warmer air. So while for the most part this next wave should
bring snowfall, there could be areas that see some rain as well,
especially near the coast. Snowfall amounts could exceed warning
criteria in some areas, though confidence on this is still too
low for a Winter Storm Watch. Will let this new consensus
solidify a bit before taking that step. For now the best
snowfall amounts would be over interior western Maine and
northern New Hampshire where the best banding may occur between
the strengthening surface low and the advancing upper low.

 

Man, Pit2 is calling.

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