Jebman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I would give anything for a chance to conduct a nekkid jebwalk in the northern Plains at 3am in -67 degree windchills. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Agree. Now we can stop chasing epic pattern and just wait to see if we get a few threats through our last 5/6 weeks of winter. I very much doubt Friday is the end of winter. Same page man. Upper air patterns have been hostile AF since mid Dec. I'm done chasing h5 utopia. One thing that is encouraging and unusual... we are scoring with the few chances we've had. Feb can be warm, then dump 2', and go back to warm. I don't think feb will be warm though. Just a continuation of hostile h5 patterns. Part of me still believes odds favor a -nao building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Who knows what Feb and Smarch bring, but there’s definitely a chance that this winter is remembered as a ratter for most on the EC. It’s also quite possible I’m over 18” by Friday with 5-6 weeks left of reasonable snow climo. Not going to be a ratter for me even if ends up being less than our November weenie dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 56 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nah, probably the best news I've heard today. Weeklies have verified opposite all winter. Get your shovel ready. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or genuinely excited about the long range gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Prestige Worldwide said: I can’t tell if you’re trolling or genuinely excited about the long range gefs Honestly, I'm a little excited. Far from hook line and sinker of course but the whole thing fits part of my synopsis I posted earlier. The NAO flipping can be sudden and unexpected. It's the most difficult teleconnection to forecast in advance by a big margin over things like the AO or PNA. I've noticed the ops building a ridge near the Davis Strait on the regular the last 3-4 days. That probably means something other than models suck. I won't get truly excited until everything shows a big block at d5 or less though. Need it to be happening almost in real time before feeling confident with the nao. That applies to any year and not just this one. If the pna or epo ridges aren't going to be in near perfect locations it becomes all or nothing with the nao. It's the difference between very good with good chances for snow storms or we're pretty much screwed. PSU made a long post about it. I agree with everything he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Jebman said: I would give anything for a chance to conduct a nekkid jebwalk in the northern Plains at 3am in -67 degree windchills. Do it, lol. We'll fund your plane ticket. Be careful though, you can get frostbite in like 5 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Metfan...lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 This will probably be a hot Summer, 100s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Who knows what Feb and Smarch bring, but there’s definitely a chance that this winter is remembered as a ratter for most on the EC. It’s also quite possible I’m over 18” by Friday with 5-6 weeks left of reasonable snow climo. Not going to be a ratter for me even if ends up being less than our November weenie dreams. Remember the percent of seasonal snowfall average map from the end of last season when the DC area was literally the biggest screw zone for the entire east coast? DCA is 5” ahead of season-to-date climo and has a shot to surpass its total seasonal snow average on Friday, the first day of February. We’re in the inverse of last season. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/9/2019 at 8:31 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said: Was there a significant snowstorm in this region sometime in January 1988? (not 1987- I know about 1987) My mom came across some pictures of us and my father and it appears to be around that time. It's a lot of snow in the pictures, looks like around 6-8" at least. NCDC site is down because of the shutdown so I can't look it up. Now that NCDC's page is back up, I found it- January 7-8, 1988. It was 8.4" at BWI. Snow-on-snow too, as 2.4" had fallen on January 3-4 and still on the ground. The first half of that month was an impressive cold and snowy period- two weeks of snowcover, six consecutive subfreezing highs, three consecutive single-digit lows, lots of double-digit departures, etc. Highs in the 20's both days while snowing and overnight low of 8- that's some cold powder. Looks like this system was a big storm for the south too, found this: https://www.nytimes.com/1988/01/08/us/storm-drops-a-foot-of-snow-on-much-of-the-south.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Stormpc said: Haa... My wife and I were thinking Lake Anna for a while, then suddenly we bought in the Northern Outer Banks. This is my last chance at a good winter. Leaving in May for good. I went further south than my anticipated destination. You are still chasing. I commend you. We've been all over the map figuring this move out.. Northern neck, nc beaches or sounds, florida west coast, deep creek, etc... The only rule is a big view of mountains or waterfront and private lot. We're both realizing we enjoy cooler weather too much to give it up and living in a snow free climate may not be the way to go. She likes snowmobiling a lot so the lakes in the NE offer year round recreation with all season options. The crappy season is spring up there. Drawn out in between seasons so I mentioned renting a beach condo in FL every year for a month solves the problem and light bulbs went off. Upstate NY and VT weenies are a lot happier than MA weenies too. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 I wish I was close to thinking about retirement. Only 30+ years away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: We've been all over the map figuring this move out.. Northern neck, nc beaches or sounds, florida west coast, deep creek, etc... The only rule is a big view of mountains or waterfront and private lot. We're both realizing we enjoy cooler weather too much to give it up and living in a snow free climate may not be the way to go. She likes snowmobiling a lot so the lakes in the NE offer year round recreation with all season options. The crappy season is spring up there. Drawn out in between seasons so I mentioned renting a beach condo in FL every year for a month solves the problem and light bulbs went off. Upstate NY and VT weenies are a lot happier than MA weenies too. Lol Ahhh...Maybe a home on Skaneateles Lake just west of Syracuse will quench your thirst. Not nearly as much snow as Oneida Lake to the Northeast, but more prime lakefront property and beautiful towns. Summers are cool but Warm. Springs are warmer than anywhere along the coast north of Delaware. You have access to mountains, lake effect snow, all out blizzards off Lake Ontario. You even get the Erie Snow's from the West southwesterly Winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Which side? Beautiful spot. My plans are either Colorado or New England someday Besides the Laurel Highlands in Somerset county, PA (Avg snowfall is 150+ inches, had around 300 inches a few years back) my wife and I are now also considering possibly inland Maine for retirement in about 3 years. Will be taking a 7-10 day vacation up there in July in Southern Maine and are considering maybe taking a day or two to get a feel for the real estate in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 My wife doesn't want to move north of NC latitude, so I guess my snow days are done at home. I'll be renting a cabin in the mountains that's for sure lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 48 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: My wife doesn't want to move north of NC latitude, so I guess my snow days are done at home. I'll be renting a cabin in the mountains that's for sure lol Wife or snow? Wife or snow? Decisions, decisions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: Wife or snow? Wife or snow? Decisions, decisions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 We got ourselves another one. A never-ending supply of clowns from PA it seems. @showmethesnow Whats the deal up there? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 36 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: We got ourselves another one. A never-ending supply of clowns from PA it seems. @showmethesnow Whats the deal up there? Don't 'Ruin' my chill, Bud. But like I always tell my wife who grew outside of Pittsburgh, there has to be something in the water in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 @C.A.P.E.Great minds think alike. Was just searching for a magnifying glass to throw up for Chuck's post when I came across yours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 35 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: @C.A.P.E.Great minds think alike. Was just searching for a magnifying glass to throw up for Chuck's post when I came across yours. Patterns under the real pattern tend to amplify pna so Nina 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingstonian Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 So my wife and I are doing an art class in Alexandria, and class is tonight. I call the organization up around 11am to ask what the status is, given all the other cancellations and early closings that have come in. Initial answer is "we are going to wait a little longer and see," which seemed very sensible to me given the chance of a bust. Ok, great. I asked when they'll make the final call and I got a "we're not sure. It's not doing anything here right now (note: at 11am) so I don't know what the big deal is." I made some comment about trying to figure out my plans given the OPM early dismissal and I got a "the government's letting out early today?" My faith in their judgment is not what it was at the beginning of the call... Note my expectations are low for the storm tonight, but seriously, at least glance at the news... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Patterns under the real pattern tend to amplify pna so Nina Only if the Global energies are high. Otherwise +NAO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 GFS has the high here on Saturday at 28. Euro says it will be 48. nice. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Moving to banter. For as much lamenting as I've seen, the region in general has had a good winter. It has been a catastrophe up here. Oh well. I'm in Watertown for a LES chase. Should be fun. Nice hope you picked the right side of the street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You and me both lol Unlikely to be in the jackpot but NWS probabilities for 18”+ are around 70%. Not to mention possible blizzard conditions and a wind chill warning. Don’t need 48” for the total package, but hey if the winds want to keep the LES over me I won’t be mad. Quite bragging. And don't forget to post pics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The nice thing is that after Friday we can go back to focusing on the storm after the storm after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Mdecoy said: Here it is 747pm, and it is legit raining in Delaware. Not even close to being cold enough for snow. What happened here? Why is this warm air holding on so strong? You live in Delaware!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 49 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Wish I could get up to the Tug hill plateau. Crushing incoming for that area . 3-4 feet + Fake snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You live in Delaware!!! If only he lived in Dover.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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