aldie 22 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ji said: it seems like when the weeklies come out---week 3 is always epic......but now, we are still 3 weeks away from the epic...you know what i am saying... So in NON epic we just scored 11" I ain't mad....you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 27 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said: On behalf of a fellow Pennsylvanian, I apologize. Thank you for such great analysis. Just don’t get a lot of it in Philly forum Agreed....I follow both forums but we know where most of the real analysis usually is....thanks! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 16 minutes ago, Ji said: well this is crap man because the great looking weeklies from 2 weeks ago had 3 week and week 4 as epic. The last week of January should of been epic. Not cutters. So now your telling me we have to wait till feb for snow lol There was one head fake run around Xmas that went right to the NAO block in mid January but there have been 6 weekly runs since so why you holding onto that? You knew that was out. But this is the last weekly run everyone was celebrating for the time period coming up. I see a war and a pna ridge too far west to offset it. This looks about like what is coming. So why you shocked. It was after this week in question that things got epic. Enjoy your 11” otg and have some freaking patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Is this 3 weeks? He is skipping that period due to suppression. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ji said: lol okay..i thought this week was the transition week. Jan 15-22. PSU magic Jan 15 date. Ill stay patient The pattern has already changed in case you haven’t looked outside lately. But it’s in transition. The evolution to the end result will take 10-15 days. During that time we can score. We just did but it’s not perfect and rain is a threat. Chill out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Ji your too much man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: He is skipping that period due to suppression. That panel actually lines up really well with the weeklies panel PSU just posted. Gives even more confidence that the WAR continues to progress into the NAO domain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Oh nooooes... 12z eps looks BETTER on the 29th than the last weeklies run. It's happening too fast dammit 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Oh nooooes... 12z eps looks BETTER on the 29th than the last weeklies run. It's happening too fast dammit That EPS panel is sick. The trough north of Hawaii would continue supporting split flow too...woof. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: The pattern has already changed in case you haven’t looked outside lately. But it’s in transition. The evolution to the end result will take 10-15 days. During that time we can score. We just did but it’s not perfect and rain is a threat. Chill out. He cant seem to accept that rain is always a threat in winter around here- even in a good pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 The first time i have seen the EPS agree with the gefs on a stout -NAO. Usually if the gefs show it in the LR the EPS is washed out...Signs we are heading that way in D10+ eta: well, maybe not the first time but its the first time this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: The first time i have seen the EPS agree with the gefs on a stout -NAO. Usually if the gefs show it in the LR the EPS is washed out...Signs we are heading that way in D10+ eta: well, maybe not the first time but its the first time this season Yeah that's the best (advertised) -NAO I can recall this winter on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: He cant seem to accept that rain is always a threat in winter around here- even in a good pattern. Ji is a rock star on FB....on here he's just a rock 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: That panel actually lines up really well with the weeklies panel PSU just posted. Gives even more confidence to that WAR continue to progress into the NAO domain. You could wager the weeklies will show the sweet look up top and the -NAO later today when they are released. I would not be surprised to see intense blocking in our favorite locations throughout all the weeks. The ongoing SSWE and indications of coupling should give us some drool worthy looks. Ii find this very interesting " Note that in the #SuddenStratosphericWarming of 2018 the wind at 50 hPa never reversed. " If indeed we get this to happen I would expect additional blocking and a longer duration as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Ji is a rock star on FB....on here he's just a rock He is! My husband follows him on FB and loves to read his reports to me. As if I don’t know snow is coming. Lol 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 JI is like a kid, even negative attention is attention 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 For anyone who's interested, I just posted the model discussion write-up for yesterday's storm. The short story is that the FV3 and 3k NAM did well. 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, frd said: You could wager the weeklies will show the sweet look up top and the -NAO later today when they are released. I would not be surprised to see intense blocking in our favorite locations throughout all the weeks. The ongoing SSWE and indications of coupling should give us some drool worthy looks. Ii find this very interesting " Note that in the #SuddenStratosphericWarming of 2018 the wind at 50 hPa never reversed. " If indeed we get this to happen I would expect additional blocking and a longer duration as well. Yep, I would bet on the weeklies maintaining the epic looks in February and showing them settle in at the end of Week 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: He is! My husband follows him on FB and loves to read his reports to me. As if I don’t know snow is coming. Lol If he's so great, I'll follow him! What's his page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: If he's so great, I'll follow him! What's his page? You have to be a school teacher to follow him...sorry 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 We take as well... from Ventrice, hour 324 on the 12z GEFS https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1084870884425433088 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: You have to be a school teacher to follow him...sorry pm me JI! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 13 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: He is! My husband follows him on FB and loves to read his reports to me. As if I don’t know snow is coming. Lol Now I'm curious about his fb page...lol Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: If he's so great, I'll follow him! What's his page? He regurgitates what's discussed on here in a form that seems to excite teachers and housewives 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now I'm curious about his fb page...lol Link? Look up Jays wintry mix - not sure why he changed his name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: Look up Jays wintry mix - not sure why he changed his name My sister-in-law was just telling me about how she and all the other teachers use this page. Now that I know it is Ji, I am demanding she leave the page 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now I'm curious about his fb page...lol Link? https://www.facebook.com/Jays-Wintry-Mix-121487044572077/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Never ever forget: https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ Quote Now, Hatem’s Jay’s Wintry Mix Facebook page has developed a cult-like following in the region, with more than 40,000 followers and growing. Hatem is up-front about the fact that he’s not a professional meteorologist, but his uncanny forecasting skills make him even better than the pros for thousands of local fans. 7 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Never ever forget: https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ Oh his skills are canny for sure 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 14 minutes ago, yoda said: We take as well... from Ventrice, hour 324 on the 12z GEFS https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1084870884425433088 EPS is identical. It's happening unless it doesn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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