T. August Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I know I'm late to the 6z FV3 party, but that looks like a fun 2 weeks. 1-2" Friday, rain-fzra-sleet bomb-snow over the weekend, MECS the middle of next week, and then subzero high temps at the end. That’s the coldest I’ve ever seen depicted on a model run. -15F for DC/Balt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 If you loop through h5 on the fv3, it's a thing of beauty. Vort after vort digging through the south, turning northeast and passing just south of us. Could be a heck of a 2 weeks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, T. August said: That’s the coldest I’ve ever seen depicted on a model run. -15F for DC/Balt. I'll take the over 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 36 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Most of that is not snow correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I know this probably belongs in banter but I had to share the visual. FV3 is out to lunch but I dont ever recall seeing something like these temps modeled....even in fantasy range. Just indicative of the wild weather on the way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I'll take the over I'd like the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: I know this probably belongs in banter but I had to share the visual. FV3 is out to lunch but I dont ever recall seeing something like these temps modeled....even in fantasy range. Just indicative of the wild weather on the way.. Records shattered. That -15 at DCA has stood for too long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 21 minutes ago, poolz1 said: I know this probably belongs in banter but I had to share the visual. FV3 is out to lunch but I dont ever recall seeing something like these temps modeled....even in fantasy range. Just indicative of the wild weather on the way.. SO that is showing -upper 20's around here, coldest temp I've recorded since 1979 is -21 on 1/19/85, this would shatter that by a good bit...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 19 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Records shattered. That -15 at DCA has stood for too long. Busted pipes everywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Can not believe I am missing the tracking on this upcoming period. Just so hard to follow on my phone. Not to mention I am busy donating to the casino. but from what I am seeing I will be coming back to a lights out period of time. Not to mention my Jan 20 to 22 period of time looks like a lot of fun. Hope everyone is enjoying the snow they are getting now. Have a good feeling it's nothing more than just a small appetizer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: Can not believe I am missing the tracking on this upcoming period. Just so hard to follow on my phone. Not to mention I am busy donating to the casino. but from what I am seeing I will be coming back to a lights out period of time. Not to mention my Jan 20 to 22 period of time looks like a lot of fun. Hope everyone is enjoying the snow they are getting now. Have a good feeling it's nothing more than just a small appetizer. I’ve missed your posts! Can’t wait to see what the next couple of weeks bring. I’ve been telling friends that this one is the appetizer. Hope it’s true, but not too excited about a prolonged period of below normal temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 20 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Busted pipes everywhere. Man that hits home..the church where I play went through that exact thing when we had those single digits last year!! (Literally busted pipes everywhere) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Most of that is not snow Bit late reading through the most recent stuff here, but yeah I think that's snow followed by a boat load (iceberg load?) of sleet and ice then some snow at the end and very cold. Would be quite spectacular if very destructive. There have been some crazy solutions appearing the past couple of days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 23 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Can not believe I am missing the tracking on this upcoming period. Just so hard to follow on my phone. Not to mention I am busy donating to the casino. but from what I am seeing I will be coming back to a lights out period of time. Not to mention my Jan 20 to 22 period of time looks like a lot of fun. Hope everyone is enjoying the snow they are getting now. Have a good feeling it's nothing more than just a small appetizer. I will say scrolling on my phone in the morning has been easier. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 52 minutes ago, poolz1 said: I know this probably belongs in banter but I had to share the visual. FV3 is out to lunch but I dont ever recall seeing something like these temps modeled....even in fantasy range. Just indicative of the wild weather on the way.. Mother of All Jesus and God combined! I am all in. When was the last time a model showed such extreme cold for our region being -20 F to -30 F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 0z eps doesn't give much clarity in the spread but scrolling through the members is pretty wild with all the extreme solutions. Mixed events are the majority but some eye popping hits in there. A good number drop a couple inches on the 18th so that's our jext event to figure out. Beyond that things get pretty wild. I'm hoping for a glacial outcome. Snowpack with staying power and deep cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 0z eps doesn't give much clarity in the spread but scrolling through the members is pretty wild with all the extreme solutions. Mixed events are the majority but some eye popping hits in there. A good number drop a couple inches on the 18th so that's our jext event to figure out. Beyond that things get pretty wild. I'm hoping for a glacial outcome. Snowpack with staying power and deep cold. Definitely a trend to throw us another small event on Friday in the overnight runs. Fun times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: I'll take the over Wait is the over colder or warmer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 9 hours ago, jaydreb said: Yeah. Rainstorms in the middle of prime climo during an epic pattern would be hugely disappointing. Have to think one of those storms hits us though. Pattern is still progressing. Until the ridge centers over Greenland we will be vulnerable to a cutter. That looks to happen around Jan 25. Before then it’s epo pna driven and storms can go west but it’s not a bad look and we likely would get something in the period given all the waves and cold around. But if you are looking for epic pattern that looks to be later...towards February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 47 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I will say scrolling on my phone in the morning has been easier. That is just wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECsnowflake Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I have two flights coming up- one on Jan 20th and one on Jan 25th. The one on the 20th is the get to a cruise that leaves the 21st. Ack! I am worried about getting out.. should I be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, ECsnowflake said: I have two flights coming up- one on Jan 20th and one on Jan 25th. The one on the 20th is the get to a cruise that leaves the 21st. Ack! I am worried about getting out.. should I be? I've got a flight for a cruise on the 26th. I know those insanely low temps won't verify, but I certainly wouldn't be thrilled to have an empty house all week w/such low temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I'm flying to Portland Maine on the 19th...it appears that I'm never coming back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Pattern is still progressing. Until the ridge centers over Greenland we will be vulnerable to a cutter. That looks to happen around Jan 25. Before then it’s epo pna driven and storms can go west but it’s not a bad look and we likely would get something in the period given all the waves and cold around. But if you are looking for epic pattern that looks to be later...towards February Speaking of epic...both 0z and 06 gefs with an impressive look. Surprised not to see much of a suppression look on the ind gefs.... Other than relentless arctic cold what would your thoughts be on a look like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm flying to Portland Maine on the 19th...it appears that I'm never coming back Good news...i just looked and Portland 04 is available. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm flying to Portland Maine on the 19th...it appears that I'm never coming back Pack sled dogs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 40 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Pattern is still progressing. Until the ridge centers over Greenland we will be vulnerable to a cutter. That looks to happen around Jan 25. Before then it’s epo pna driven and storms can go west but it’s not a bad look and we likely would get something in the period given all the waves and cold around. But if you are looking for epic pattern that looks to be later...towards February So postpone the BECS party until February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I'd like to stay above 0F please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 31 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Speaking of epic...both 0z and 06 gefs with an impressive look. Surprised not to see much of a suppression look on the ind gefs.... Other than relentless arctic cold what would your thoughts be on a look like this? That’s a cold and stormy look. In that particular case we might need that little bit of war to keep storms from being squashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Pattern is still progressing. Until the ridge centers over Greenland we will be vulnerable to a cutter. That looks to happen around Jan 25. Before then it’s epo pna driven and storms can go west but it’s not a bad look and we likely would get something in the period given all the waves and cold around. But if you are looking for epic pattern that looks to be later...towards February Thanks. Amazing to think that we are just getting started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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