WhiteoutMD Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Yep but gotta wait until the 20thAlways 10+ days out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ji said: can we ever get a storm without something ruining if for us? I believe this one will inch further north than the last one. just a gut feeling. Just south of JYO. Kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 ICON has a stronger coastal at 12z than at 0z. Track doesn’t really change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, MD Snow said: ICON has a stronger coastal at 12z than at 0z. Track doesn’t really change. yes..it did improve from last night so its a positive run i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, Ji said: yes..it did improve from last night so its a positive run i guess the 500mb looks alot better too for 12z than even 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, Ji said: the 500mb looks alot better too for 12z than even 6z If that vort in the NE was 6 hours slower from dropping in... Everything else in the run was great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: If that vort in the NE was 6 hours slower from dropping in... Everything else in the run was great. if ifs and buts were candy and nuts...oh what a party we'd have--ken beatrice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 If nobody wants to start a thread I'm happy to stake my reputation on it, my November Long Range thread went ok. FWIW, we (DC) are within the 10-30% contours on the WPC website for snow/sleet amounts above .25" for both Day 6 and Day 7. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 h5 looking good on 12z gfs at 108 to this amateur's eyes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 GFS looks stronger and further north at 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: h5 looking good on 12z gfs at 108 to this amateur's eyes... You need to keep an eye on the North East for the confluence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 132 12z GFS has the primary into TN. Flurries into DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 28 minutes ago, Ji said: can we ever get a storm without something ruining if for us? That still isn't as suppressive as last time there is room for that to adjust north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: 132 12z GFS has the primary into TN. Flurries into DC. A stout 1040 HP in Quebec at 138... we shall see how that blocks the primary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GEOS5ftw Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Less of a weakness over the lakes though. Should be a good run. Will be interesting to see the trend on the 12z Euro/UKMET for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Transfer to interior SC at 138. 850C inbetween EZF and Ric. Mod snow throughout the LWX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Transfer nearly complete at 141... 144 SLP near ORF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 GFS weenie aleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 147 1006mb SLP just SE of Ocean City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 144 low over VA beach. 850 into central MD. Precip bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 144 changes to rain and sleet out to Frederick and W Loudoun, Low Pressure at the mouth of the Chesapeake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Cutting back on the strength of the NS shortwave makes a big difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 150 1000mb or so SLP just SE of ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Thump, sleet, CCB. Sign me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 So when does the FV3 take over again? I mean I know it can still be accurate and have wins but how much stock do we even put into the “old” GFS at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 31 minutes ago, mappy said: hey actual mods -- want to make a new shorter term thread for the weekend threat? its probably going to get some traction this week... Yes, but omg jinx it why don't we let's wait until after the 12z suite at least given we've already started in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Thump, sleet, CCB. Sign me up. Co sign. I'm back baby! 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: So when does the FV3 take over again? I mean I know it can still be accurate and have wins but how much stock do we even put into the “old” GFS at this point? It may be delayed. The improvement over the old is in question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: So when does the FV3 take over again? I mean I know it can still be accurate and have wins but how much stock do we even put into the “old” GFS at this point? Many, many pages back in this thread someone who appeared to be in the know said late 2019 or early 2020. edit: Ninja'd by Bob Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: So when does the FV3 take over again? I mean I know it can still be accurate and have wins but how much stock do we even put into the “old” GFS at this point? FV3 had the same general idea at 6z and 0z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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