hlcater Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Another storm yanked away from us less than 24hrs from the onset. I don’t think this happens more to any other city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Be careful if you're going out for New Year's, even if not in the main snow area. LOT had this to say: With the surface low associated with this system tracking across or just east of our eastern cwa Monday, low level winds will back to the north during the afternoon and evening hours, brining colder air back into the forecast area. Cooling of the column is expected to produce a transition from rain back to a rain/snow/freezing rain mix across north central IL by Monday evening. Some wet snow accumulation is possible during the evening across northern IL, though precipitation intensity will diminish fairly quickly as drier air spreads in aloft. Drying aloft, and the loss of saturation in the -10C or colder ice nucleation layer will likely result in precip transitioning to drizzle/freezing drizzle overnight. Persistent southwest flow aloft, with a moist boundary layer trapped by a sharp inversion, may result in this drizzle/freezing drizzle/light snow or flurries persisting through much of Tuesday. Forecast soundings depict a gradual cooling/drying trend from the northwest by Tuesday night, which should bring an end to the precip. This scenario would obviously have slippery travel impacts during the New Years Eve/Day holiday. Ratzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Be careful if you're going out for New Year's, even if not in the main snow area. LOT had this to say: With the surface low associated with this system tracking across or just east of our eastern cwa Monday, low level winds will back to the north during the afternoon and evening hours, brining colder air back into the forecast area. Cooling of the column is expected to produce a transition from rain back to a rain/snow/freezing rain mix across north central IL by Monday evening. Some wet snow accumulation is possible during the evening across northern IL, though precipitation intensity will diminish fairly quickly as drier air spreads in aloft. Drying aloft, and the loss of saturation in the -10C or colder ice nucleation layer will likely result in precip transitioning to drizzle/freezing drizzle overnight. Persistent southwest flow aloft, with a moist boundary layer trapped by a sharp inversion, may result in this drizzle/freezing drizzle/light snow or flurries persisting through much of Tuesday. Forecast soundings depict a gradual cooling/drying trend from the northwest by Tuesday night, which should bring an end to the precip. This scenario would obviously have slippery travel impacts during the New Years Eve/Day holiday. Ratzer Not enough free to drinks in the world to get me to go out on NYE, to many bozos on the road. I got my Jameson and “The truth IPA by flying dog brewery” which is a delicious beer for any IPA lovers! Looking like another 40 degree rainer tomorrow. Boo. Likely finish December near +5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Would anticipate that LOT issues a winter weather advisory for Monday morning freezing rain, especially north/west of Chicago. Cook county/southward is more marginal and may have little or nothing, but northwestern Cook could have issues. There won't be a whole lot of leeway for evaporational cooling, but dews may be just low enough at onset to try to temporarily counteract the low level warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Ah man, I'm landing at YYZ Toronto/Pearson New Years evening. Hoping for no delays landing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Well MKX has under a WWA right now. Currently saying 1-3 inches of snow with some freezing rain to begin and possibly end this event. This is going to be one interesting forecast. Tomorrow looks like a day that if we didn't have winter break would be an early release day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: Would anticipate that LOT issues a winter weather advisory for Monday morning freezing rain, especially north/west of Chicago. Cook county/southward is more marginal and may have little or nothing, but northwestern Cook could have issues. There won't be a whole lot of leeway for evaporational cooling, but dews may be just low enough at onset to try to temporarily counteract the low level warming. LOT afternoon forecast is like I drew it myself lol. Advisory west and north of Chicago... Cook is also included with the text specifying northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Yeah wwa here for that brief ice potential. Looks like brief glazing followed by about 1/2-3/4" of cold rain. Wet snow at tail-end looking less likely now, but perhaps some flurries tomorrow night/Tue morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 30 and rain (ZR). Lake Geneva. Kind of racing to stay ahead of this precip on commute to MKE.Sent from my SM-G935P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Moderate rain and 34 currently. Was too warm for freezing rain earlier. System is quite a bit further west than what models showed yesterday. Now looks like as far west as central Iowa could get a period of snow this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Can't remember the last time MBY was included in an SPC winter wx MD. Currently just rain at MSN as we're still hovering just above freezing. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1748.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 31, 2018 Author Share Posted December 31, 2018 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Moderate rain and 34 currently. Was too warm for freezing rain earlier. System is quite a bit further west than what models showed yesterday. Now looks like as far west as central Iowa could get a period of snow this afternoon. I think the precip onset was delayed too... more time to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I think the precip onset was delayed too... more time to warm. yeah, safely over freezing at onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Heavy Snow right now in East Central Wisconsin. It's about time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 The latest euro drops a few inches on Cedar Rapids this afternoon, but the HRRR is less aggressive with the changeover. We're still 34 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 0.58" of rain so far. Temps in the teens in northwest Iowa, so the cold air wasn't too far away. Was very close to being a nice widespread snowstorm for many. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILwxchr Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Classic mid-latitude cyclone on satellite, very impressive looking storm imo, sad that this isn't all snow. We had some really heavy rain here in Western IL this morning. I bet we would have a swath of at least 6 to 10 inches if this were all snow. December 31st and we are seeing rain....:( 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Last Tornado Warning for 2018? And in Indiana (and KY) of all places! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 312 PM EST MON DEC 31 2018 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN MEADE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... NORTH CENTRAL BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 345 PM EST/245 PM CST/. * AT 311 PM EST/211 PM CST/, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF HARDINSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CORYDON, BRANDENBURG, MAUCKPORT, NEW AMSTERDAM, LODALE, MYSTIC, BATTLETOWN, RAYMOND, FRYMIRE AND RHODELIA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Here we go! Big flakes, blowing in almost horizontally from the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 I have a sneaking suspicion that my Davis Wx Station needs the barometer calibrated as it is showing 992.6mb. The low isn't even overhead, it is still just to my wsw. It should be around 997 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Ten minutes after previous pic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 My gf just got here after driving back from NW Indiana...she said the transition from rain to snow was pretty abrupt as she got to Madison. Not much of a zone of mix/ZR slop, so that's a silver lining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sielicki Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Decent amount of snow here in Dell Prairie, WI (in-between Wisconsin Dells, WI and Oxford, WI). Too lazy to resize images and embed them, so here's an imgur album: https://imgur.com/a/u6pkzdd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Picked up only a tenth or two of snow here. The precip moved out shortly after changing over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 DSLR shot. About a week late, but sure looks good with the lights. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 Ended up with 0.89" of rain. Nice soaker. Was a 100% rain event. Looking forward to a few flurries tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 In Fife Lake, MI trying to get back to the UP from Indiana. Heavy snow in N lower. Seen a rollover and several cars in ditches around Cadillac....6 hours from the Hurons! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: Picked up only a tenth or two of snow here. The precip moved out shortly after changing over. I'd consider that a major win this month lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 Any reports from Northern Michigan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 25 minutes ago, Jonger said: Any reports from Northern Michigan? Just crossed into charlevoix county and estimate 5-6” on the ground and pounding. I saw 2 sleds near mancitucky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now