friedmators Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 CMC also has the makings of a HECS @ 240. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 24 minutes ago, Snow88 said: CMC has 1-3 inches for NYC with a lot more towards SNJ for this weekend I think that's reasonable, the gradient with the northern stream has enough juice to deliver some snow. Really nice hit as the low matures down in VA/MD maybe even to S NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 UKMET at least on the precip fields through 72 doesn’t look nearly as good as the GFS or CMC although it’s close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Don’t even have to look at the rest of it, the Euro is going to be suppressed, even DC is going to have totals cut back from 12z. Weaker too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, snowman19 said: Don’t even have to look at the rest of it, the Euro is going to be suppressed, even DC is going to have totals cut back from 12z The euro gets squashed. What a mess for DC weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 4 hours ago, Brian5671 said: new nam has almost nothing anywhere.... Looks like an inch here. Bring hot chocolate and watch the fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Getting snow showers currently. 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 This has been a rough winter so far for the D.C , Philly , Baltimore, NYC and especially Boston weenies. Next threat is the 20th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Local forecast has high temps sub-freezing for the next 48-72 hours out my way.... We might see some ponds ice over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 32degs., or just Normal. EURO is 0.1" of Snow for the next 10 days. The GEFS is 40% chance of at least 7" of Snow by the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 36 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This has been a rough winter so far for the D.C , Philly , Baltimore, NYC and especially Boston weenies. Next threat is the 20th It has been no better here. I know it's superstition, but generally, in recent decades, a early season snow has been followed by lame winters, and so have, statistically, snowless Decembers. Correlation isn't causation and all, but still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It has been no better here. I know it's superstition, but generally, in recent decades, a early season snow has been followed by lame winters, and so have, statistically, snowless Decembers. Correlation isn't causation and all, but still. Yep 2011 And 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Gfs has a dusting to an inch for NYC with over 6 inches for SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 29 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It has been no better here. I know it's superstition, but generally, in recent decades, a early season snow has been followed by lame winters, and so have, statistically, snowless Decembers. Correlation isn't causation and all, but still. This year is following a similar snowfall pattern to 12-13 so far. In Nov 12 we got a 6” event on the 7th. This year the 6” event was on 11-15. Both years had no further 6” events through Jan 10th. I believe the reason for this is that it takes time to recover from a pattern change to less favorable for snow from November into December. Hopefully, we won’t have to wait until February 8-9 for the next 6” event like 2013. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 29 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It has been no better here. I know it's superstition, but generally, in recent decades, a early season snow has been followed by lame winters, and so have, statistically, snowless Decembers. Correlation isn't causation and all, but still. Some years, despite a favorable pattern, it just doesn’t want to snow. Haven’t we had a few years in the recent past where we have had significant snowfalls that were “thread the needle” type situations? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Light flurries right now IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 12 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Some years, despite a favorable pattern, it just doesn’t want to snow. Haven’t we had a few years in the recent past where we have had significant snowfalls that were “thread the needle” type situations? The pattern is currently changing . A pattern change doesn't mean it will definitely snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: This has been a rough winter so far for the D.C , Philly , Baltimore, NYC and especially Boston weenies. Next threat is the 20th Please make that the 22nd lol. I dont want to miss this eclipse on the night of the 20th. You dont think we will get 1-3" this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 29 minutes ago, bluewave said: This year is following a similar snowfall pattern to 12-13 so far. In Nov 12 we got a 6” event on the 7th. This year the 6” event was on 11-15. Both years had no further 6” events through Jan 10th. I believe the reason for this is that it takes time to recover from a pattern change to less favorable for snow from November into December. Hopefully, we won’t have to wait until February 8-9 for the next 6” event like 2013. I was thinking of 06-07 and 12-13. Let's hope it's more 12-13 and less 06-07 in terms of storm track lol. Chris, in 12-13 how many 6 inch snowstorms did we get outside of the November event and the big event in February? Any others? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Why can't this winter be the winter it doesn't snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Please make that the 22nd lol. I dont want to miss this eclipse on the night of the 20th. You dont think we will get 1-3" this weekend? The models are now shredding the overrunning. At this rate we will not even as a flake up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 winter shutout continues. This may be the first winter w/o measureable snow in Central Park for the 1st half of met winter since 1870-1871. A rare and difficult feat. - locally I've had a couple of coatings on the grass, but not a total shutout. - How long can we go?!?!?! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: winter shutout continues. This may be the first winter w/o measureable snow in Central Park for the 1st half of met winter since 1870-1871. A rare and difficult feat. - locally I've had a couple of coatings on the grass, but not a total shutout. - How long can we go?!?!?! I was wondering about that! Whats the most snow NYC has had when they have had a T or 0.0 between Dec 1 and Jan 15? The same could apply to Boston....... A trace is a shut out to me, if you can't measure it, it didn't really happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I was thinking of 06-07 and 12-13. Let's hope it's more 12-13 and less 06-07 in terms of storm track lol. Chris, in 12-13 how many 6 inch snowstorms did we get outside of the November event and the big event in February? Any others? February 8-9 and March 8 were the two big 6”+events following the November 2012 snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: February 8-9 and March 8 were the two big 6” events following the November 2012 snowstorm. I'm glad we got one in March too. So it was an extended snow season- which we will hopefully have again this year. I'm hoping Jan 20-Mar 20. Just not on the night of the eclipse lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Don’t look now but medium to longer range is starting to break down too. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I'm glad we got one in March too. So it was an extended snow season- which we will hopefully have again this year. I'm hoping Jan 20-Mar 20. Just not on the night of the eclipse lol. Met winter DJF had one of the lowest snowfall totals in NYC through February 7, 2013. People were just about to throw in the towel for that winter before the Euro showed the storm just 5 days before. 1 1998-02-07 0.5 0 2 1919-02-07 0.6 0 3 1900-02-07 1.1 0 4 1932-02-07 1.6 0 - 1914-02-07 1.6 0 6 1973-02-07 1.8 0 7 1901-02-07 2.1 2 8 1992-02-07 2.2 0 9 1906-02-07 2.5 0 10 2007-02-07 2.6 0 11 2013-02-07 2.7 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, KrazyKeyur said: Light flurries right now IMBY Light coating here in Garwood (central Union county, NJ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Don’t look now but medium to longer range is starting to break down too. Theme of the winter...the great pattern and storm is always 10 days away only to correct warmer/no storm as we move into medium range... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 I currently have some snow flurries falling here. Temp 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now