40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS (goes out to 144) looks similar to the 00z OP euro. So the EPS is north. Great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: FearstonSN+.....put down the charts, get yourself a paper bag, and breathe. What is your problem? If you want to reply again get off the board and message me separately. We can take care of this offline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: So the EPS is north. Great. It's been kind of north the whole time. I think it had one run that was mostly snow. Maybe 12z yesterday. But most of the EPS runs have shown us flirting with ice/sleet after snow on front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, EastonSN+ said: What is your problem? If you want to reply again get off the board and message me separately. We can take care of this offline. Take a chill pill buddy. Jesus H. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's been kind of north the whole time. I think it had one run that was mostly snow. Maybe 12z yesterday. But most of the EPS runs have shown us flirting with ice/sleet after snow on front end. It had been trending southeast for at least a few runs is what I mean...poorly worded. My fault. Rt 2 seems to be a transition zone on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It's been kind of north the whole time. I think it had one run that was mostly snow. Maybe 12z yesterday. But most of the EPS runs have shown us flirting with ice/sleet after snow on front end. Yep need PF suppression depression. This is the 6z EPS Will referenced 850 and 540, only goes to 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Take a chill pill buddy. Jesus H. lol Snow is serious. He wants f*** your MJO up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 The EPS is tolerable for SNE. At least we get front end goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Well that escalated quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Take a chill pill buddy. Jesus H. lol The pattern is getting to some on here, Going to be a long week, Especially if this turns to sh it for some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Yep need PF suppression depression. This is the 6z EPS Will referenced 850 and 540, only goes to 144 That's the 540dm height...not thickness. 540dm thickness is roughly a 552dm height. Plus in these overrunning situations we can snow with thicknesses near 546dm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Imagine what's going to happen when Friday delivers more snow than Sunday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: The pattern is getting to some on here, Going to be a long week, Especially if this turns to sh it for some. Maybe I eat these words, but I would rather walk this line, than risk another confluence crush. That would send me over the edge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: The pattern is getting to some on here, Going to be a long week, Especially if this turns to sh it for some. Weenies along the coast will be staring in their toilet on Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: The pattern is getting to some on here, Going to be a long week, Especially if this turns to sh it for some. I'd feel good from you to dendy and PF. My gut is this will be more for you guys..but my gut doesn't mean much this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Imagine what's going to happen when Friday delivers more rain followed by more rain on Sunday! FYP for maximum downer effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It had been trending southeast for at least a few runs is what I mean...poorly worded. My fault. Rt 2 seems to be a transition zone on the euro. Yeah. It def isn't trending SE anymore. It wasn't going to keep trending SE either. I would have been surprised. I'll be surprised if we don't see another couple shifts between now and verification. This fricken storm is still 6 days out, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I eat these words, but I would rather walk this line, than risk another confluence crush. That would send me over the edge. This is why we don't need the PV overhead, Lets keep it in a favorable position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Seems to me this system is pretty dang easy to forecast when we reach 4-4.5 day range IN COMPARISON to other systems with two pieces needed to phase and no storm developed (impossible at A 5 day lead) Trends next 48 to 60 seal our fate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: The EPS is tolerable for SNE. At least we get front end goods. If someone offered me 4-6" of snow followed by sleet/ice, I'd sign on the dotted line. Easily. Still way too much time on a highly variant setup for things to go very wrong. So I'd lock in a wintry solution if offered even if it means passing on the fantasy outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I eat these words, but I would rather walk this line, than risk another confluence crush. That would send me over the edge. Oh yeah, at thus point I am more than happy to flirt with mixed precip and a big storm than arctic cold and partly cloudy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If someone offered me 4-6" of snow followed by sleet/ice, I'd sign on the dotted line. Easily. Still way too much time on a highly variant setup for things to go very wrong. So I'd lock in a wintry solution if offered even if it means passing on the fantasy outcomes. Even w a couple hundy on the line like I said I’m good w couple snow and all frozen . I’m gawd damn sick of winter rain and I don’t wanna see a drop of the shiat i have some wiggle room where I sit that I see more of a frzr situation if this clicks nw a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I eat these words, but I would rather walk this line, than risk another confluence crush. That would send me over the edge. Agree but we do need Jerry digging out this weekend so keep the CF a tick SE of his street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I will sacrifice all snow for a major icestorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Agree but we do need Jerry digging out this weekend so keep the CF a tick SE of his street. I will be treating his lawn with a round of ice melt prior to and during the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I will sacrifice all snow for a major icestorm With the amount of QPF on way me and you are probably only ones sick enuf to want that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I will sacrifice all snow for a major icestorm Do you have a generator? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'd feel good from you to dendy and PF. My gut is this will be more for you guys..but my gut doesn't mean much this far out. Well, I'm optimistic, The last time we had a 6"+ storm here was 11/20/18, When everyone speaks of how well NNE has done so far this winter, That hasn't been the case here even though were part of it, At some point and it should be this time frame going forward, The coastal plain and the coastal areas should start to experience more in the way of snow, But we've had the rug pulled out from under us many times before, By thurs or so, Should have a good idea of where this is going to set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems to me this system is pretty dang easy to forecast at 4-5 day range IN COMPARISON to other systems with two pieces needed to phase and no storm developed (impossible at A 5 day lead) Trends next 48 to 60 seal our fate I agree. The big picture of it hasn’t shifted for days. Although for New York City and southern New England the devil is in the details so it feels to them like it’s shifting situation. Up here it looks like all frozen and likely all snow. Amount significant but unknown. I am quite interested and curious about Friday and figure we will see a consolidation on that overnight. If this is a 2part system then we are only 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Do you have a generator? No. He sends the wife and kids out with relatives for a week and he stays inside his 38F home each day looking out the windows naked as an oak branch falls every 5 minutes. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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