codfishsnowman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 36 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Sign me up for that bullseye. I know it's the CMC, but that solution makes more sense than the GFS to me. boy that's tasty but I have never seen a distribution like that ever...lolol at the gradient from the coast to a few miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, codfishsnowman said: boy that's tasty but I have never seen a distribution like that ever...lolol at the gradient from the coast to a few miles inland I was just about to say that never happens. That would be shifted 100 miles SE or 50-100 miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Yeah of course, I get rain again, I hate rain. This is why I need tomorrow's storm to materialize for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Man. That GFS OP would throw everyone over the edge by the end of the run if that verified. Cold, rain, cold, rain... rinse repeat Another viable solution though... anything on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah of course, I get rain again, I hate rain. This is why I need tomorrow's storm to materialize for me. tomorrow's mid atlantic bonanza doesn't look so great right now, is that due to redevelop? precip looks fractured/showery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, codfishsnowman said: tomorrow's mid atlantic bonanza doesn't look so great right now, is that due to redevelop? precip looks fractured/showery Every model both redevelops the upper level to mid-level lows as they reach 75.5W longitude and then as it moves towards the benchmark, in fact, most models reinvigorate the centers over the benchmark from the surface to 500mb, it is where this happens that determines how much snow I get on Cape Cod. AS the mid to upper-level lows recharge, the precipitation shield recharges as well with lightning being produced once the surface low on the coast hits the gulf stream off the NC coastline. It is this that determines the final push northward of the deformation banding. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Every model both redevelops the upper level to mid-level lows as they reach 75.5W longitude and then as it moves towards the benchmark, in fact, most models reinvigorate the centers over the benchmark from the surface to 500mb, it is where this happens that determines how much snow I get on Cape Cod. AS the mid to upper-level lows recharge, the precipitation shield recharges as well with lightning being produced once the surface low on the coast hits the gulf stream off the NC coastline. It is this that determines the final push northward of the deformation banding. Not one model I have seen is even close to the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 James, in the thread you created did yo just imply 1-2 feet for parts of the cape tomorrow/tomorrow night? I mean WTBF? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 50 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: boy that's tasty but I have never seen a distribution like that ever...lolol at the gradient from the coast to a few miles inland http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/05-Feb-01.html Not as drastic as the CMC but I see some similarity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 At h500 the Euro looks more like the CMC than the GFS @ 144 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 25 minutes ago, weathafella said: James, in the thread you created did yo just imply 1-2 feet for parts of the cape tomorrow/tomorrow night? I mean WTBF? Keep it there. Seeing that crap here sends me right over the edge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Euro breaking Boston’s slump with a grand slam tonight for the d7-8 threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro breaking Boston’s slump with a grand slam tonight. It does look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 Not bad agreement at this range....GEM left, Euro right: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 That's like Jan 1996 displaced north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 A regionwide foot plus, it has to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A regionwide foot plus, it has to be right. I think this one will deliver at least decently....anyone see the UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think this one will deliver at least decently....anyone see the UK? Can only see it to 144: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Can only see it to 144: That looks like it would be a compromise between the EURO/GEM and the GFS. The former holds the energy back longer and allows the cold to penetrate southward, and the latter does not. We need that energy to eject slowly enough to allow the cold high to become established, but no so slowly that it gets blocked by confluence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 I think we see something similar to the GEM/Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 This is coming . No doubter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 5 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah of course, I get rain again, I hate rain. This is why I need tomorrow's storm to materialize for me. Best of all, the 18z will eve have us within 7-days. That's a seldom-stated frame referenced this season. bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 lol at the 06z fv3 clown. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: lol at the 06z fv3 clown. There's about 1+ feet of sleet in those totals along the 95 corridor lol....pure entertainment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, WeatherX said: There's about 1+ feet of sleet in those totals along the 95 corridor lol....pure entertainment I love the 41" near Calais. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I love the 41" near Calais. just a little extreme lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 here's the qpf. We've already had one system this winter that dropped over 3". Of course, that one was all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 That's alot of frozen even though alot is zr/ip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 48 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: lol at the 06z fv3 clown. Yeah winter definitely showed up on that run. Huge nor'easter at the end too (usual caveats apply). Could get unlucky, but I like the active look and deeply negative 2 meter temps running from Montana to DC to Maine. That would be something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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