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40/70 Benchmark

January 2019 Discussion

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Just now, Spanks45 said:

Watching the EURO come in and trying to figure out what we want the first wave on Friday to do. It seems that those who get snow from the first, miss out on the second one. Those that rain Mid Atlantic, see an extended period of snow and heavy...Or it is just a Mid Atlantic winter and it doesn't really matter for us up here....

Euro would set off massive meltdowns OTS while the MA gets feet, have to shoot for wagons north

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Works for me. Too phasey and it can run inland. Anyway, good signal for now.

Yup, needs some work but there are options. We've got the cold just need the luck.

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2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Ouch! Maybe this will be our worst winter ever!

Lol 8 days 100 miles , remember this was a cutter 2 days ago

10B5D12C-6452-445C-8C16-99D5274792B0.png

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1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

That's awesome.  I'm glad I just posted in last year's lawn thread.

The giant sinkhole gif will be active and we will all be doing swan dives in if it plays out like that lol....

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol 8 days 100 miles , remember this was a cutter 2 days ago

10B5D12C-6452-445C-8C16-99D5274792B0.png

I think this is why they say its sometimes better to have the PV over Europe instead of Canada

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2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We just can’t catch a break. This system is done and winter is over. 

Its over a week away! This will go back and forth several more times..............if it doesn't happen......then we jump!

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I think this is why they say its sometimes better to have the PV over Europe instead of Canada

Nah, we want TPV where it’s progged. Just need some help with PNA and timing. Let it play out over the next 6-7 days


.

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This solution will change every model run for about 6 days straight. 

Models like to  underestimate low level cold and overrunning especially in Nino years. Flip flop, windshield wiper , we will know Thursday 

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7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I couldn’t be any more sarcastic, previously.

It depends. It COULD be the best winter ever at 18z. I live in the moment.

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1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

That northern stream streak over Canada is moving out quickly now, I think the snow shield comes further northward than modeled right now.

It's funny, but the last couple of runs show a better organized system, coming a hair further north.  I'll go with a solid dusting for ACK.

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Running the GEFS 850 anomaly on Tropical Tidbits, its fun watching the blues and purples park themselves that last 7 days and showing very little sign of letting up....it seems at least the cold is here for a while, get some snow to fall and maybe some records low temps will follow?

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We take.  12z/12 GEFS snow maps are 30+.   Kevin stop saying there’s no upper air data...I don’t think that’s true.   The main thing missing is fixing issues.

 

 

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