MJO812 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Anafrontal wave on gfs. We fraud. Blows up the disturbance before the 20th wave which no other model does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 it's day 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 That gfs run can’t be taken seriously post truncation. I mean wtf.. Verbatim that would be a biblical ice storm for my hood. Pass on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Entertaining anyways, I mean, The potential coming up has been beaten to death, Now its wait and watch it unfold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Ha, great timing....I just posted above how you like sleet and you're def a powderhound. But some sleet has its place. Like I said, I would't want it all the time. Ha yeah for sure. I mean especially when building the pack from the beginning. It means that final few inches will take forever to melt and withstand a cutter. I think I still have sleet on the ground as the base layer from some event in November. It's not ideal all the time but if the option is sleet or freezing rain or rain, I'll take sleet all day long. Especially a good cold sleet when you have pixy dust snow growth in the low levels adding to it. Like 16F +IP stuff, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Anafrontal look is garbage and probably wrong, but I continue to love the hyper active look. A full magazine and the range is open for target practice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Anafrontal look is garbage and probably wrong, but I continue to love the hyper active look. A full magazine and the range is open for target practice. My wife said that and I started looking for the pills if you get my drift... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Interesting... just like that ... compressibility is present over Florida ... Figures the south stream stays in tact for it alright ... right out in to the open Atlantic east of the Carolina's ... This rendition of screwing us over decides to liimit the western ridge such that N stream won't collapse in and phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Ray's 1978 redux is on this GFS cycle... Cleveland style! that's almost a dead ringer... Well, 500 mb it is anyway... That surface evolution leaves a lot to be desired with that much subsumed bomb potential in the mid troposphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Surprised there isn't more talk of the cold. -5F here at 6pm. If wind dies it'll go low with fresh cold pack. It was brutal at the mountain today with -40s wind chills at MMNV1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Pedestrian down our way just yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm riding the Red Sox win the world series during weak El Nino analog.....monster late January-onward. Well then we 04-05? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Pedestrian down our way just yet... Yeah yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 hour ago, MJOatleast7 said: Anyone catch that 936 (ouch!) low in the C Pac yesterday (that went into the Aleutians). Something that powerful's gotta have an impact downstream, any guesses what? (Reminds me of the 926 or thereabouts - lowest pressure ever in the Bering Sea - in 2014 and you know what happened after). I did mention a couple of days ago that it had a pressure drop of 62mb within 24 hours. I believe the biggest such drop in 24 hours was 97mb during Hurricane Wilma in 2005, from 979mb to 882mb. Still, for a non-tropical system that is quite impressive. I would take a benchmark system with half that drop with all that cold air to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Isotherm is right, and a few of us have been saying that. The Pacific, mostly due to the MJO, has acted a bit more nina like. We have had forcing near 135E, 850 MB easterlies, all which really go against Nino. Maybe I’m wrong, but I feel and have heard that it should change later this month into February. 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think he is acknowledging that the threats haven't panned out and is explaining why. I don't think he is hedging RE the future. Yes - agreed - and, right, Ray [not altering the overall outlook, just explicating why we've been "fighting" to get snow in the Northeast corridor a bit more than anticipated so far]. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there isn't more talk of the cold. -5F here at 6pm. If wind dies it'll go low with fresh cold pack. It was brutal at the mountain today with -40s wind chills at MMNV1. The cold isn't exactly thrilling when we've been looking at brown bare ground 99.9% of the past 6 weeks down here. When the cold is reinforcing a fresh pack it's certainly more appealing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there isn't more talk of the cold. -5F here at 6pm. If wind dies it'll go low with fresh cold pack. It was brutal at the mountain today with -40s wind chills at MMNV1. Pretty cold out there with a deep winter feel. 7F off of a high of 17F with a steady breeze, 6" pack, and trees caked in snow. Gene is already down to 1F on the hill. Some of the birds were shivering this evening before going in to roost for the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 32 minutes ago, weathafella said: My wife said that and I started looking for the pills if you get my drift... Blue pills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there isn't more talk of the cold. -5F here at 6pm. If wind dies it'll go low with fresh cold pack. It was brutal at the mountain today with -40s wind chills at MMNV1. It’s a balmy 21F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 18 and dropping fast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there isn't more talk of the cold. -5F here at 6pm. If wind dies it'll go low with fresh cold pack. It was brutal at the mountain today with -40s wind chills at MMNV1. Just checked, NWS has 6 degrees for here tonight....Kinda stopped paying attention once snow was a no go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 39 minutes ago, weathafella said: My wife said that and I started looking for the pills if you get my drift... 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 18 and dropping fast here. Do these two posts go together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: it's day 9 Better than day 12 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 22 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: The cold isn't exactly thrilling when we've been looking at brown bare ground 99.9% of the past 6 weeks down here. When the cold is reinforcing a fresh pack it's certainly more appealing. It doesn't have to be thrilling, it's still cold lol. I wasn't saying it was appealing or anything, just that it's gonna be f'ing cold tonight. But I get it, no discussion of anything will seem interesting until it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Just checked, NWS has 6 degrees for here tonight....Kinda stopped paying attention once snow was a no go Now there's the honest answer, ha. Its nothing overly unusual for January in New England but colder than anything we've seen in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Wow. It snowed and it’s cold...in VT...on January 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It doesn't have to be thrilling, it's still cold lol. I wasn't saying it was appealing or anything, just that it's gonna be f'ing cold tonight. But I get it, no discussion of anything will seem interesting until it snows. It’s def cold, but nothing really unusual for my area...not even below zero. With the wind it definitely feels cold, especially since it has been so warm for much of the last month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It doesn't have to be thrilling, it's still cold lol. I wasn't saying it was appealing or anything, just that it's gonna be f'ing cold tonight. But I get it, no discussion of anything will seem interesting until it snows. It is impressive, no pack or good radiating here so probably 8 or 9 above which is not earth shattering for January Definitely getting a bit frustrating down here but better times appear on the horizon. Might have to make my second trip of the season up to SVT to find the kids and myself some snow over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 For all of the Debbies out there...I took notice and mentioned to the kids on the way to swimming class last evening, it was still noticeably light out at 5:15 pm....Spring is right around the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 18 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Wow. It snowed and it’s cold...in VT...on January 11th. One comment trying to discuss the cold... now we know where you guys are at regarding any discussion that isn't snow, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts