Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So you’re leaning lakes cutter No I lean towards stating facts when discussing EPS model output. So silly. A lot can and will change this weekend and next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Scoots and Ginxy going cutter. Odds are against us now. Sat GTG will be an angry drunken weenie mob. Put down the pipe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Scoots and Ginxy going cutter. Odds are against us now. Sat GTG will be an angry drunken weenie mob. I didn't say going, I'm saying it's certainly on the table. Given the chaos lately...I'd be an idiot to claim one way or the other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I didn't say going, I'm saying it's certainly on the table. Given the chaos lately...I'd be an idiot to claim one way or the other. Got to the point in here where discussion is forecast, maybe time to let them whine to each other and sit back and watch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 You cant rule out anything one way or the other at this lead, The potential is there for something more favorable, But we may have to take another hit before we flip the script for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Got to the point in here where discussion is forecast, maybe time to let them whine to each other and sit back and watch. I'd almost root for it to cut just to throw the final ones off the cliff. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: As Jerry lies on the ground withering in pain from the kick he just took in the teabag about 78 The LR outlook says “blessed are those who mourn for they shall be comforted.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: The LR outlook says “blessed are those who mourn for they shall be comforted.” So mote it be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: No I lean towards stating facts when discussing EPS model output. So silly. A lot can and will change this weekend and next week. Is the dropping AO, the increasing NAO blocking not enough to push it to redevelop on the coast? Because that is nine days out in the long range forecast has shown a drop in AO and NAO is that not correct? So if it really is a cutter does not suggest that the long range predictions could be wrong yet again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It's also possible that the PV sinks south and goes back to yesterday's solutions...but people need to understand that with the energy out west, ridge not really a PNA ridge yet, and no big -NAO...it's definitely a hugger or even a cutter risk. As usual this far out, all options on table. That's the biggest question mark for me. If the PV does trend south then we're looking at a gradient type of system, perhaps even a SWFE depending on its positioning. There's a lot of cold bleeding south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 51 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like the MJO going back toward phase 5 pumps the WAR just enough ahead of the Jan 20th storm. Great post by Bluewave. The MJO is REALLY starting to anger me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Put down the pipe No pipe, all eadibles only. 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I didn't say going, I'm saying it's certainly on the table. Given the chaos lately...I'd be an idiot to claim one way or the other. I’m ruffling your feathers. 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Got to the point in here where discussion is forecast, maybe time to let them whine to each other and sit back and watch. Just joshing, deep winter ahead whether it starts next weekend or the week after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No pipe, all eadibles only. I’m ruffling your feathers. Just joshing, deep winter ahead whether it starts next weekend or the week after. You made a bet on weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That's the biggest question mark for me. If the PV does trend south then we're looking at a gradient type of system, perhaps even a SWFE depending on its positioning. There's a lot of cold bleeding south. I stated a couple of times yesterday that the modulation of the PV will run our show. There is a ton of heavy cold I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 I’m not so sure you can tie everything in directly to MJO as far as individual events. It’s really more for the big picture stuff. Things like pieces of vorticity phasing into troughs are simply part of small scale nuances and chaos. From what I see, the tropical forcing subsides and doesn’t seem to have a huge effect. It looks fairly favorable imo on a large scale. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Maybe having the models show a lakes cutter is a good thing. Most of the storms this winter have trended sourh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Maybe having the models show a lakes cutter is a good thing. Most of the storms this winter have trended sourh. You cant apply the past to the future when discussing individual events. What you can do is invoke the foolish weenie rule number 1. Once modeling latches on to a cutter it will stay a cutter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Bottom line is it’s almost impossible for a warm cutter with all that pressing cold up north and a - AO. Lean cold 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: You cant apply the past to the future when discussing individual events. What you can do is invoke the foolish weenie rule number 1. Once modeling latches on to a cutter it will stay a cutter. That's true but not always the case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Bottom line is it’s almost impossible for a warm cutter with all that pressing cold up north and a - AO. Lean cold Just simply not true and nonsense. You say this every time, and 99% of the time we cut. I'd advise not to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You made a bet on weather. Adds to the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just simply not true and nonsense. You say this every time, and 99% of the time we cut. I'd advise not to. Jspin has had 95 inches of snow damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bottom line is it’s almost impossible for a warm cutter with all that pressing cold up north and a - AO. Lean cold You could have a 33F rainer... they happen... a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 20 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Great post by Bluewave. The MJO is REALLY starting to anger me! Very weak sauce and chances are it won't get out of the circle until it circles back. That's very 2015 esque. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Jspin has had 95 inches of snow damn A Tale of Two Weenies Mitch has been rocking as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jspin has had 95 inches of snow damn He lives in northern Maine? What a winter they are having. He will get well over 100 inches this winter. That's the place to be every winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just simply not true and nonsense. You say this every time, and 99% of the time we cut. I'd advise not to. So 99% of storms are cuts? Please explain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: He lives in northern Maine? What a winter they are having. He will get well over 100 inches this winter. That's the place to be every winter. Vermont 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You could have a 33F rainer... they happen... a lot He’s talking about warm lakes cuts. Not following Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Vermont Another great place for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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