weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is gonna be a cutter. No acknowledgement of the broad Canadian icebox. They deserve to be dumped by Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Detroit might be in trouble. Rainer for all of new england on that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GFS will probably be pretty good...might be a little more amped than 18z just looking at the 132h panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Front end snow to rain on the GGEM in NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Rainer for all of new england on that setup. It actually made a subtle move towards the other guidance vs 12z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GFS should be a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Cmc doesn't have Friday so it cuts. Stronger Friday is the further south east Sunday is. Still see the risk as suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 As usual the euro will be tonight’s arbiter in the gfs vs cmc argument Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: As usual the euro will be tonight’s arbiter in the gfs vs cmc argument I don't think the GGEM has scored a coup in years on a medium range threat...I'm totally ignoring it unless another piece of guidance agrees with it. I don't expect the Euro to join it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Much faster this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GFS started off looking slightly more amped...but in the end, it actually looks a bit more strung out although the thermal gradient is tilted more W/E than 18z....fairly similar result though in the end....SNE gets the goods, but it's not as juiced. So you won't be seeing 20"+ clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't think the GGEM has scored a coup in years on a medium range threat...I'm totally ignoring it unless another piece of guidance agrees with it. I don't expect the Euro to join it. Gfs 0z looks more realistic in terms of output vs 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Much faster this run... At d7, that’s like 50-100 miles at 18z sunday. Practically nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Ok now really bed time. Saturday gtg could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Those 2' snow totals from 18z are not happening this run on the GFS, More strung out look and slightly east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Gfs 0z looks more realistic in terms of output vs 18z. Agreed...this isn't a classic HECS setup. It doesn't mean it can;t happen if everything goes right, but I'd expect it to be more like totals we saw in those '94 setups if the non-QPF fields verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Too bad the Pats blew home field. Sunday would've been fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Same general idea though. Keep the theme going, all we cares about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Meh. I'm greedy. Need more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 How bout more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 These totals definitely look more realistic. I agree with Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I agree as well on the totals, Realistically, Nothing wrong with a good 6-12"+ event keeping things in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 20 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Much faster this run... With no blocking, There is nothing to slow it down, There is a ceiling on this, And its not going to be an HECS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Ukie looks cutterish as well...it was pretty zonked at 12z too (only goes to 144, so had to kind of extrapolate at 12z)....but it's not going away. It's not as amped as GGEM though...so it may try and collapse a bit SE beyond the model range of 144h. If it did, prob a lot of ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I would love the 20-30 inch storm of the 18z gfs and 12z Euro....however a nice 8-12 inch storm would be just fine with fresh artic air coming in. It would definitely not go anywhere for a while, unless of course the next storm decides to cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 59 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Meh. I'm greedy. Need more. I'd be ecstatic with that this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Euro? 144 999mb SLP is in W KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro is north...close call for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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