weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Nice burst of snow. Some fool with an umbrella just walked by... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 One things seems pretty clear this winter -- northward model adjustments will not be the rule of the day. Flat and fast flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Once it gets closer we can always re-adjust and push for a snowy weekend the week after...rinse and repeat until there are no more snow chances left this season. lol....that's certainly what it has been like since Nov 15th. You would think at some point it would change a bit??? But this may just be the winter of things going wrong...If it's not a Scooter Shit Streak, it's the PV, or next we get Blocking that's too strong....and all within a good pattern. We've seen this before, where it's always something that screws the pooch???? Hopefully this isn't one of those types of winters all the way through...otherwise known as El Rattter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, RDRY said: One things seems pretty clear this winter -- northward model adjustments will not be the rule of the day. Flat and fast flow. So far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 The pattern will flip for AMJ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 The freezer opens up on the gfs in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, Dan76 said: The pattern will flip for AMJ lol The pattern did flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: The freezer opens up on the gfs in the long range Does it walk in ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, RDRY said: One things seems pretty clear this winter -- northward model adjustments will not be the rule of the day. Flat and fast flow. Tell that that to NNE..plenty have, it just hasn't worked out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: The pattern did flip Careful of that PV/extreme cold....squash squash squash???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I could not give a rat's a$$ what the trend was from 11/18 to 1/20. None. Zip. Zero. Nor should you. It was just an observation of a pattern we haven't seen much of in a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Careful of that PV/extreme cold....squash squash squash???? Most to the PV family is on the other side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, RDRY said: Nor should you. It was just an observation of a pattern we haven't seen much of in a while. I edited that....didn't mean to be jerk. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Heavy graupel shower! Ground covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Anger surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Heavy graupel shower! Ground covered Have had light snow here for the last 2 hours and everything is covered....granted it's probably not even measurable, but at least it looks nice....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Legit squall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 If you're searching for the next threats...don't totally sleep on a small one around 1/17....but there is a larger signal for 1/19-20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If you're searching for the next threats...don't totally sleep on a small one around 1/17....but there is a larger signal for 1/19-20 What’s Jan 17th one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I edited that....didn't mean to be jerk. My bad. NP. Didn't take it that way. Anyway, a flatter pattern can work just fine with decent cold air to the north -- those storms are usually pretty easy to forecast a few days out. Less angst over coastal development timing, blocking, minute track adjustments, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s Jan 17th one? It's a weaker impulse in the flow...I wouldn't expect it to be big if it happened, but it's one of those that could turn into a 1-3/3-5 type event. Here's what it looked like on the 00z Euro at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 That’s a beautiful pacific on the gfs op in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Sorry to interrupt, but I recently bought a Ambient Weather WS-2092A, and was wondering where and how to mount it somewhere where results would be most valid. I unfortunately have probably the worst house on the street in terms of "open area". Currently have it mounted on the roof, but I'm getting readings of 5-12 mph when its consistently blowing 20-25 gusting to 30. Any ideas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 This is probably the worst ever at verifying anything beyond D6 in the models. This is vastly beyond the usual uncertainty and failure to do so at those sort of time ranges. The worst I've witnessed in the 25 years I've been privy to weather technology... Not sure I'm seeing any reason why that should suddenly improve. In the meantime... I'm hoping the -30 C 850 MB plume over western Ontario at 216 hours comes squarely over the Great Lakes - just to see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: Sorry to interrupt, but I recently bought a Ambient Weather WS-2092A, and was wondering where and how to mount it somewhere where results would be most valid. I unfortunately have probably the worst house on the street in terms of "open area". Currently have it mounted on the roof, but I'm getting readings of 5-12 mph when its consistently blowing 20-25 gusting to 30. Any ideas? I have the 2000.....honestly, the wind readings are usually fraud data, anyway...just worry about the temp, which is best off of the roof and way from bldgs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is probably the worst ever at verifying anything beyond D6 in the models. This is vastly beyond the usual uncertainty and failure to do so at those sort of time ranges. The worst I've witnessed in the 25 years I've been privy to weather technology... In the meantime... I'm hoping the -30 C 850 MB plume over western Ontario at 216 hours comes squarely over the Great Lakes - just to see what happens. It would probably mean sunny and miserable here, and epic lake snows. Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 45 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The freezer opens up on the gfs in the long range The freezer or the fridge? How cold are we talking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It would probably mean sunny and miserable here, and epic lake snows. Pass. God I f'n hope so ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: $100. Done. Damn you know ORH only had 2015 2005 above 80 after 1 15. With Joe Schmo measuring in Boston your f ed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Damn you know ORH only had 2015 2005 above 80 after 1 15. With Joe Schmo measuring in Boston your f ed I think they're using Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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