Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Bomb on the GGEM, Going to be on the GFS too it seems Hey... that may not be a bad thing... I know other's gimme crap for referencing ...but, when your primaries are hitting at an event and then the less reliable model types try to lean that way, I don't personally believe that, in its self, is a bad thing. It shows there's some sort of presence in the general physics of the period - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I have no recollection of those charges ... You were pissed that the Valentines day event trended north, and someone tangentially drifted into how your romantic life had trended south...which you linked to a missed phase with Christine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Boy does that look good at 96-102. This is setting up the classic GFS has it, EURO sort of but not what we want. Just enough to keep us excited then an 18z run of the GFS loses it completely, leaving us all jumping off cliffs over an 18z run of the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Hey... that may not be a bad thing... I know other's gimme crap for referencing ...but, when your primaries are hitting an event and less reliable model types trying to lean that way, I don't personally believe that, in its self, is a bad thing. It shows there's some sort of presence in the genera physics of the period - I think its all there for a scenario as depicted, Just where it tracks is the key, Every run shows something in that time frame whether its on the the BM, Inside or 3-500 miles east or so where it was a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You were pissed that the Valentines day event trended north, and someone tangentially drifted into how your romantic life had trended south...which you linked to a missed phase with Christine. "Missed phase" Gold. I'm absolutely using that in that context some day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hey... that may not be a bad thing... I know other's gimme crap for referencing ...but, when your primaries are hitting an event and less reliable model types trying to lean that way, I don't personally believe that, in its self, is a bad thing. It shows there's some sort of presence in the genera physics of the period - I was just posting earlier this morning that I wanted to start seeing more cross-guidance support and the GGEM does that. EPS have a hint there so it's not gfs suite entirely on its own...but getting a few other OP solutions on other guidance increases the idea that the physical impulses are there in the flow as you say....different model physics are producing a similar result which is usually a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You were pissed that the Valentines day event trended north, and someone tangentially drifted into how your romantic life had trended south...which you linked to a missed phase with Christine. I have no recollection of those charges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: "Missed phase" Gold. I'm absolutely using that in that context some day. Two aimless shortwaves drifting by in the night... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Tip’s missed opportunity while barfing. Stuff legends are made of... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Hopefully the chargers don't mind a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Snowing at 138 hours on the GFS, looks good so far.....Great high to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I was just posting earlier this morning that I wanted to start seeing more cross-guidance support and the GGEM does that. EPS have a hint there so it's not gfs suite entirely on its own...but getting a few other OP solutions on other guidance increases the idea that the physical impulses are there in the flow as you say....different model physics are producing a similar result which is usually a good thing. This! word... And, even though I stand by my reasoning tact this morning ... at the time we did not have this advantage of support - if in fact we are getting it... Looks like it, huh. interesting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Getting pounded at hr 144 on the GFS hope it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Man that’s a classic setup. Tough to not get choked up seeing that high. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Cmc is also on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You were pissed that the Valentines day event trended north, and someone tangentially drifted into how your romantic life had trended south...which you linked to a missed phase with Christine. He remembers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Man that’s a classic setup. Tough to not get choked up seeing that high. Scooter high coming in from the prairies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Man that’s a classic setup. Tough to not get choked up seeing that high. Much better position than the models showed yesterday. Suppression not a concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Getting pounded by this dude at hr 144 on hope it holds He got a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Scooter high coming in from the prairies. You can see it just missed phasing so as usual...precarious setup. If it misses more it’s OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Like seeing trying to run a sub 980mb s/w into that 1040mb high over east of QUE although its a late phase this run but don't matter at day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I have no recollection of those charges The bottle trended north and phased with your lips....once the booze propagated, your noodle split and you incurred a (SAB) Sudden Alcoholic Blackout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 GFS is over a foot for most of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Alright ... looks like I'm not getting outta that one... Yeah, 2007 V-Day storm was annoying. But the "melt" wasn't entirely weather related... putting the record straight. It was a dark, comical metaphoric comparison - as Ray duly noted - over how phasing got f'ed up... And okay - so Jack Daniels was not stopping me from getting into the bar fight. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: You can see it just missed phasing so as usual...precarious setup. If it misses more it’s OTS. Yeah. I'm not too worried about an overly amped solution with where the ridge is out west and the high placement. Ridge is centered right over Montana...that is like a 2015 placement where you either get hit or it slips east. We'd need it digging into like the Yucatán to worry too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Alright ... looks like I'm not getting outta that one... Yeah, 2007 V-Day storm was annoying. But the "melt" wasn't entirely weather related... putting the record straight. It was a dark, comical metaphric comparison - as Ray duly noted - over how phasing got f'ed up... And okay - so Jack Daniels was not stopping me from getting into the bar fight - We've all been there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The bottle trended north and phased with your lips....once the booze propagated, your noodle split and you incurred a (SAB) Sudden Alcoholic Blackout. You're killing me dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He got a name? His name is Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Well if it continues to look like this the media/public hype train will start early. I’ve already heard someone say this morning about a possible “blizzard” for the Patriots game over the air. Here we go smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hopefully the chargers don't mind a little snow. FYP Simply put, Jan 13-14 has the best cross-model signal for a big one I've seen so far this winter... And regardless of how that specific storm unfolds, the stout PNA on GEFS after Jan 20 (great longterm outlook Ray) might be enough to pull me out of hibernating lurker mode... fantastic teleconnection discussions all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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