40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2019 Author Share Posted January 3, 2019 Not too much to say right now, but worth watching...decent shot. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/01/significant-winter-storm-threat-next.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not too much to say right now, but worth watching...decent shot. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/01/significant-winter-storm-threat-next.html Good advice for the lead time, Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 The GEFS is gearing up for a major winter event over the Eastern conus on this run towards the end. Nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Wow. Euro was just a straight like 2-day lashing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Wow. Euro was just a straight like 2-day lashing. I might need to suck it up and head up to Pit2 for a while this month--that looks like a fine place to be for winter weather beginning with the several inches they're picking up today. Close to .5" here. Radar suggests that that might be all I can muster--congrats north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Euro is dogcrap for day 5. Ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is dogcrap for day 5. Ugh. And for the 12th. I count three rainers on the 0z EURO for SNE. PF cashes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: And for the 12th. I count three rainers on the 0z EURO for SNE. PF cashes in. Please.....make......it.......stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 GEFS caved too as expected. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS caved too as expected. Good stuff. No one here expected that. You all said a 70/30 blend would happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: No one here expected that. You all said a 70/30 blend would happen That’s a cave if it’s 70/30. EPS didn’t really budge. Maybe slightly better at end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a cave if it’s 70/30. EPS didn’t really budge. Maybe slightly better at end. I saw this posted on twitter, it's off the 12z eps but may be a reason why the eps look like poo in the 10-15 day. Looks like after a short visit in phase 8 around jan 9th they re-ignite tropical forcing in the IO then go back towards that standing wave look in phase 5 that was so persistent in the back half of December 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: I saw this posted on twitter, it's off the 12z eps but may be a reason why the eps look like poo in the 10-15 day. Looks like after a short visit in phase 8 around jan 9th they re-ignite tropical forcing in the IO then go back towards that standing wave look in phase 5 that was so persistent in the back half of December Yeah saw that. That probably would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS caved too as expected. Good stuff. Yup. This winter honestly blows. Couple more rainers on deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 7 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is pretty amped this run...so I don't think it's any specific trend. Even GFS is frigid at surface for a long while despite it's excessive warm bias in the low levels...the high means business. Reminds me of the November storm but more cold since it's later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Reminds me of the November storm but more cold since it's later in the season. November storm will be colder than this one. Unreal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Nice 1/2 here. Tropical forcing in the I.O leading us back to a phase five with a standing wave pattern lolllll. That’s good stuff . Hoping that changes still very close and some things to watch in the reality of the here and now. S of Pike, I dunno 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 12 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Anytime there is a Nino on hand December is pretty much cooked. Plus when you factor in unfavorable blocking/stratosphere we have had as well as a whole. depends Paul, you also have el nino winters like 2002-03 and 2009-10 which were great in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 We transitioning, runs will be volitale. 9th is for nne. sne waits. Funny melts from Scooter and TBlizz, only a matter of time sema gets a 2 footer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No one here expected that. You all said a 70/30 blend would happen I've been posting about the EPS for weeks and mostly ignored. I don't even look at the GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We transitioning, runs will be volitale. 9th is for nne. sne waits. Funny melts from Scooter and TBlizz, only a matter of time sema gets a 2 footer. I’m discussing how it looks. Unfortunately I wish it was a melt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 11 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Prob 2FT. Everyone from NYC to HFD cashed in with 20+. In a bad pattern and a bad winter, we was lucky. That was a big have/have not storm, you had to be right in the middle of that great band to get the historic amounts. Just 25 miles east of NYC here we only had 13" because we were in the subsidence. Jan 2016 was FAR superior to that (32 inches here!) and more reminiscent of the great Feb 1983 el nino snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 GEFs caved? This doesn't look bad at all to me: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Soi is at -13 today Another negative day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: GEFs caved? This doesn't look bad at all to me: It was before 6z came out. I wouldn’t trust the GEFS at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Thank God I got 5 inches in November We have a weak EL Nino and we can't even buy cold air. Wtf. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 15 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That event was decent....had like 16", but I was jealous. I didn't understand mid level dynamics then, and just kept waiting for the NYC and HFD death band to translate ne lol Yeah isn't everything supposed to move west to east lol? It was a decent snowstorm but not historic, Jan 2016 deservedly holds that title around this area as it broke every previous record and was my one and only 30"+ snowstorm and the coverage of heaviest snows was far wider than the storm you guys have been talking about. Much more like Feb 1983 in that respect and the "storms of yore." There are only a few snowstorms I would put in that elite class that I remember experiencing- Feb 1983, Jan 1996, Feb 2003 and now Jan 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: November storm will be colder than this one. Unreal. Yup, we had a colder airmass to the north to work with =\ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 Euro suite has a pretty strong primary north of the lakes before it tries to redevelop. Hopefully that's just a one run aberration and not a trend otherwise even powderfreak may stop posting about it after another few cycles. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2019 Share Posted January 3, 2019 My snowblower is getting repaired so I expect this to be plowable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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