wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Keep getting this crap..Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 My biggest worry is getting precip up here, more so then the cold.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 47 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Measured 2.5" .. Snow starting back up , big fluffy flakes, a little green on radar heading this way.. Testing out photos on Tapatalk since I can no longer post images on the forum for whatever reason.. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk You probably maxed out. You need to go into your account and delete old ones. Or stick with Tapatalk. Nice snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: My biggest worry is getting precip up here, more so then the cold.. I’m just grateful for something to obsess over. Other than boredom and torch., 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 That is is more like it. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Not a good luck on the UKMET or icon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Storms lost. Well, it was fun for 6 hrs. Most intrigue we’ve had in a month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 These interactions between the two tracks is gonna be tricky. Who knows, it could re/link up in later runs. Doesn’t look great. One of these will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Since their is no interaction the northen stream kicks off some LES for the usual suspects.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: You forgot to post what comes after the 8-14 day period... Yeah but that 3-4 week period has shown below normal for the last 6 weeks and has yet to verify. It keeps getting pushed farther and farther back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 If we are going to miss a snowstorm by 150 miles, at least we end up with a nearly perfect track for a significant high wind event. One of my favorite types of weather. I'll take anything I can get at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 From overnight snow: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Euro still wants to bring a rain storm for pretty much everyone lol While the majority of models don't make it north of the mid atlantic.. Guess we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro still wants to bring a rain storm for pretty much everyone lol While the majority of models don't make it north of the mid atlantic.. Guess we'll see.. Pretty much sums up the last month of model runs. I don't know what's going on, but I've never seen forecast bust so hard across the board in the long range. The extended portion of the forecast continues to feature a high degree of uncertainty and correspondingly rather low forecast confidence...as the medium range guidance remains all over the map with respect to the evolution and degree of phasing between a pair of northern and southern stream systems making their way across the eastern half of the continent later on in the week. With consistency amongst both the various model packages and their individual runs remaining rather poor...at this point will not get too wrapped up in the details...and will instead simply stick with our continuity of a general modest warming trend through the end of the work week...along with a return of fairly broadbrush chances for rain and/or snow through that same time frame. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 High Wind Watch for the Tug for up to 60mph gusts New year's eve and day. Bleh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, TugHillMatt said: High Wind Watch for the Tug for up to 60mph gusts New year's eve and day. Bleh. I love high wind events. This one looks to be pretty extreme. ..HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a High Wind Watch, which is in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday morning. * LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * TIMING...From late Monday evening through early Tuesday morning. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 60 to 65 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 Lakeshore flood watch too he National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Lakeshore Flood Watch, which is in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday morning. * LOCATIONS...Lake Erie shoreline of Erie and Chautauqua counties. * LAKE SHORE FLOODING...Strong southwest winds will result in rapid water rises at the northeast end of Lake Erie. Water levels may rise to between 8 and 9 feet above low water datum at Buffalo. * TIMING...From Monday evening through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...High water levels and significant wave action may result in flooding along the Lake Erie shore, especially in harbors and inlets. Water may wash across Route 5 in Athol Springs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Shows how much u can trust the models.. Model guidance has trended north and west with the low track by 50- 75 miles since yesterday, which makes a big difference with wind potential for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 This is turning into 3 months of November... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Yesterday: take two steps back from the ledge Today: take three steps forward IDK guys. It’s just gonna be one of those winters. Im becoming a tad nervous for my ski trips. Going to Snow Ridge (Turin) Jan 25 and then to Killington on Feb 10. I’m thinking they’ll both have snow but not nearly what I hoped for. Damn, just looked, almost all of Snow Ridge is closed. Wow. Ugly. They’re running 1/6 lifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Yesterday there was optimism, now once again, after another bad run of model suites we're back in the meh meh for the foreseeable future, lol! I'm actually starting too find it quite hilarious and when were in mid April when we're all clamoring for Spring, ol' man Winter is gonna be smiling right back, lol! The longer it takes for Winter to actually arrive the longer Spring will take to arrive, kind of logical actually, but who knows at this pt! Models can't even resolve 72hrs of weather, nevermind 7-10, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Looks like the GMEN heading for top 5 pick.. Need BUf, Det, tampa to keep winning lol They need to take a chance on haskins.. Can't afford to wait for tua next year.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 I'd love to know where all this snow is coming from. Not like it snowed a lot, 2" but nothing was forecasted by any media outlet as locals and Spectrum had P/Cloudy, lol, what a joke but that's what the models are doing, wreaking havoc on forecasters too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 I am not basing it off of model suites. I am basing it off of the one cutter after another we have had...with another one tomorrow...and another possible at the end of the week...or missing completely to the south. The only positive we have had are the little disturbances we have been getting that the models aren't picking up well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Could be worse, atleast in this area, nearing 5 feet on the year..Still plenty of winter to go.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 I agree matt, the cutters keep killing whatever snowpack we have lol No consistent cold, which is what most are looking for.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 This mornings event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Yesterday: take two steps back from the ledge Today: take three steps forward IDK guys. It’s just gonna be one of those winters. Im becoming a tad nervous for my ski trips. Going to Snow Ridge (Turin) Jan 25 and then to Killington on Feb 10. I’m thinking they’ll both have snow but not nearly what I hoped for. Damn, just looked, almost all of Snow Ridge is closed. Wow. Ugly. They’re running 1/6 lifts. Snow Ridge has really struggled as they rely heavily on natural snow and lake effect. Killington will mostly open but a lot of manmade snow at this rate. We are in the same boat as I have several trips already reserved and paid for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 I don't even think the models have Tues-Wed system resolved yet as the Euro is over SNE and the GFS has LP over Georgian Bay, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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