Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I need to sleep but I see the Euro is out to 24. Hopefully it’s not slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Seriously though, Who TF has the nerve to complain about a 10-15" snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Wolfie will bring the pain as I don't expect much of a big jog either way tbh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Seriously though, Who TF has the nerve to complain about a 10-15" snowfall? That 12z Euro run Tuesday with all the green colors up here got everyone overamped. Reality is probably going to be 1/2 of those values. Which is still a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Absolutely brutha I'm psyched as thats without LE so we're golden bro for sure even without seeing the EURO but Im up anyway so...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 00Z Euro 996mb over eastern TN at 72 vs 998 mb over RIC on 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro is coming back West for sure at least a tick or 2 so we'll see when Wolfie posts them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 You were quicker, lol! This is gonna be better as they are all within 50-75 miles of each other! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 This should be very si,ilar to Novembers event but with much colder temps so we're in super duper shape I think Bri! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It caved to the FV3, thats the model that will eventually pass the EURO on accuracy for sure as it hasn't budged for days with its projected path! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: This should be very si,ilar to Novembers event but with much colder temps so we're in super duper shape I think Bri! Probably...I think we are in great shape. 96 hr Euro does not look like it came west. Low passing just south of ACK. Probably good news for SNE. We’ll see what the qpf queen maps show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 00z Euro interesting. Low passes SE of Cape Cod but eastern LI, eastern Mass and RI are all above 0C at h850...there must be some center redevelopment going on between frames. Or a vicious Coastal Front...all too familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 How is going from Richmond to Tenessee now a shift West before it finally heads East? It looks like it has a bit more interaction with the northern branch but I cant look yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Still can't believe KBUF has WSW's out 3 days before start time, very very unusual for them but then again..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Here was 12 z at h850 for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I fully expect watches to start encompassing half the lower 48 come tomorrow afternoon for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Alls I know is that the Euro at 96hr is pumping warm up into NE so they gotta at least change over to a mix at the least while CC rains for a period then they flash freeze once it passes, yuk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Beautiful as it ticked back West by .10 to .25 of liquid, nice and thats without ratios Wolf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I have to rack out. Storm uncancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 If tonights 00Z suite doesn't make ppl relax a bit, like this thing is missing us or something all together, then those ppl can';t be satisfied unless its a 2ft event every time, lol. If thats what you want move to British Columbia and you'll see that every storm that passes, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I'm really starting to like that FV3 new upgraded GFS as it looks like a solid model both in resolution and accuracy but I haven't been watching it as much to see how it has done with past events so now I will make a folder of this weekends and future storms for posterity, nice! Wanna see how it does! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: If tonights 00Z suite doesn't make ppl relax a bit, like this thing is missing us or something all together, then those ppl can';t be satisfied unless its a 2ft event every time, lol. If thats what you want move to British Columbia and you'll see that every storm that passes, lol! Verbatim this is basically an advisory level nuisance for most of the Buffalo metro, so I want to see that NW trend before committing to following this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Thanks for keeping us updated Wolfie/ Mike. I sure appreciate all the maps you post. Next couple days should be a wild ride! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Thurs-Friday event is nothing but flurries now on most guidance so it has no bearing what so ever on the weekends event like some are saying for some unknown reason, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 both systems are now all snow so I won't even show the clown map for 10 day totals cause its super funny well now I have to. The only reason I chose Kuchera method cause it applies, with the temps that'll be around, this may be closer than 10-1" so I will save this for posterity to see the totals in 10 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 This is the only time it shows some mixing in CNY but never in WNY but this should easily be overcome with rates as its frigid just off the deck so any heavier rates and the cold drops quickly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne-Wyoming- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, Cortland, Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk, and Tunkhannock 349 AM EST Thu Jan 17 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 20 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna, Northern Wayne and Wyoming counties. In New York, Northern Oneida, Yates, Seneca, Southern Cayuga, Onondaga, Steuben, Schuyler, Chemung, Tompkins, Madison, Southern Oneida, Cortland, Chenango, Otsego, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Also, winds will pick up considerably Sunday afternoon, causing blowing snow and possible dangerously low wind chills into Sunday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 06z NAM usually its much more juicy but not this time which is really unusual! 10/1 ratio and we all know what they will be at least 15 so do the math, still a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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