CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I remember those, good memory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I am almost certain 1999 had a blizzard warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://ams.confex.com/ams/annual2001/techprogram/paper_18391.htm&ved=2ahUKEwjvhsnj9e_fAhUFSN8KHZZODtkQFjALegQIBxAB&usg=AOvVaw37D4D6hnLFD0yyJgabmQvd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I'm not getting sucked in...I'm NOT getting sucked in...stop posting beautiful maps, wolfie...don't want to get burned...not happening.... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 A few great analogs would be Feb 67', Jan 87', Feb 94' as all were open waves that dumped on the NE but none had over 18"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Jan 2014 had blizzard warnings for that lake effect snow event. Could have been truly epic but lake erie was 60% frozen over at start of event already. Would have been 50-60" temps in single digits and 50 mph winds. Instead was 2' max totals around orchard park and Hamburg. 2014 had 2 blizzard warnings issued one in Jan one in March. 2014 was the best year of snowfall I will ever get. Jan LES blizzard, March synoptic blizzard and Nov. 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Nope, but I'd have to check for sure but I doubt it. I don't even think they were posted for the Feb 100+ so I doubt any other were worthy. VD 07 was a strong one as well but no dice on blizzard warnings. They happen more out by you guys apparently. I think it goes by office too so..... Well Feb 100+ was just localized insane lake effect in the same old places you'd expect (super impressive, but somewhat expected). The March 12, 2014 storm was a ****ing doozy for a huge swath from Ohio through Maine. I am willing to bet you had a blizzard warning for that (As nearly the entire KBUF CWA had them). I'll dig a bit when I get to work. Not sure where to start but I'll kill some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I'll try and find them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 58 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: So wait, burying homes is normal then over there, lol? http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/no-snow-for-the-southern-side-of-the-alps-in-the-foreseeable-future/?fbclid=IwAR21ZO2Q8RBN9QIw9PKUEupiVvFnc_xZUbrAHciZbdCl4XuXqBnKntnUBeI i know this article is a week old but it explains what’s been going on over there. Feet of snow on the north side of the Alps and no snow and mild temperatures on the south side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Your right Delta, we did cause here it is, Great site where you can request any Afd Disc from any NWS office across the country! AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 947 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING WILL STRENGTHEN AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...REACHING THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY BY LATE TONIGHT AND NEW JERSEY BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE... THE HEAVY SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASINGLY STRONG WINDS THAT WILL RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... ...SIGNIFICANT LATE WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY... THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE SQUARELY ON A STRONG LATE SEASON WINTER STORM THAT IS CURRENTLY STILL IN ITS FORMATIVE STAGES OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A PAIR OF SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE IMPULSES PHASE TOGETHER ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WITH THE RESULTING LONGWAVE TROUGH THEN DEEPENING AND DIGGING FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. ON ITS EASTERN FLANK...THE SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...BEFORE SLIDING EASTWARD ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE AND INTO NEW JERSEY DURING THE COURSE OF WEDNESDAY. WITH SUCH A DEEP AND IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM FOLLOWING ALONG SUCH A TRACK...OUR ENTIRE AREA CAN EXPECT AN INITIAL ROUND OF MIXED LIGHT PRECIPITATION TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH THE BULK OF THE SNOW COMING BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHEN THE BEST OVERALL DYNAMICS AND LIFT WILL COME TOGETHER DIRECTLY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. 18Z GUIDANCE HAS DEVIATED LITTLE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...AND CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS REMAINS HIGH. DIGGING INTO THE FORECAST DETAILS...MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING AND LIGHT RAIN IS ALREADY STARTING TO BREAK OUT ACROSS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK OUT ELSEWHERE IN A SIMILAR FASHION DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS DUE TO INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING LOW...AND INCREASING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 150 KT JET STREAK PASSING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC. AT THE ONSET...STILL-WARM TEMPS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL SUPPORT AN INITIAL PTYPE OF PREDOMINANTLY LIGHT RAIN...BEFORE A MIX WITH SLEET/SNOW AND EVENTUAL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY SNOW TAKES PLACE OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION. BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...EXPECT MOST AREAS TO BE EXPERIENCING ALL SNOW...SAVE FOR AREAS RIGHT ALONG THE NY/PA BORDER WHERE A NARROWING SWATH OF ABOVE-FREEZING AIR ALOFT WILL STILL SUPPORT A WINTRY MIX. GIVEN THE EXPECTED LIGHT...MIXED...AND WARM ADVECTIVE NATURE OF TONIGHT/S PRECIP...ANY SNOW/SLEET ACCUMS THROUGH DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY SHOULD RANGE ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH OR LESS...WITH MOST OF THESE CONFINED TO AREAS NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. ON WEDNESDAY...THINGS WILL DRAMATICALLY TURN FOR THE WORSE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AS THE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING LOW PASSES BY TO OUR SOUTH. VERY IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS WILL WORK ACROSS OUR AREA IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW...WITH A STRONG SHOT OF WARM AIR ADVECTION FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY AN EVEN MORE IMPRESSIVE LOW-MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE...AND BOTH OF THESE OVERLAID BY A PRONOUNCED COUPLED UPPER LEVEL JET STRUCTURE AND ATTENDANT ZONE OF STRONGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE ALSO IN PLACE AND ADDITIONAL OROGRAPHIC AND LAKE ENHANCEMENT ALSO COMING INTO PLAY DURING THE AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ADD UP TO A WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL AREAWIDE...WITH THE WORST OF THE SNOW GENERALLY COMING BETWEEN THE LATER MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON WEDNESDAY TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6-11 INCHES...WITH THE LOWEST ACCUMS NEAR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND ALONG THE NY/PA LINE...AND THE HIGHEST OVERALL AMOUNTS COMING IN AREAS OF FAVORED OROGRAPHIC AND LAKE ENHANCEMENT SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. CLOSER TO THE NEW YORK-PENNSYLVANIA BORDER...A WINTRY MIX TO START THE DAY WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A TENTH OR TWO OF ICE ACCUMULATION...BEFORE CONTINUED LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION DRIVES A CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY. AS IF ALL OF THE ABOVE WERE NOT ENOUGH...THE STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND THE LOW WILL RESULT IN INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY...WITH THE WINDS LIKELY PEAKING DURING THE TIME OF THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE NORTHERLY FETCH OFF OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE LAKESHORES SOUTH INTO THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS...INCLUDING THE BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER METRO...AND CONFIDENCE IN THESE WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SNOW FORECAST IS HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT UPGRADING THE WINTER STORM WARNING. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT A GLANCE AT THE CIPS ANALOG GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM BEARS A VERY STRONG RESEMBLANCE TO THE MARCH 7 1999 STORM THAT BROUGHT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE ROCHESTER AREA ALONG WITH OTHER PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. GIVEN ALL OF THIS...HAVE UPGRADED THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING TO A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE EXCEPTIONS AT THIS TIME ARE THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF WYOMING/CATTARAUGUS/ALLEGANY AS WELL AS THE NORTH COUNTRY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL NOT BE EXPOSED TO THE FETCH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND AS SUCH WINDS SHOULD NOT BE QUITE STRONG ENOUGH TO NECESSITATE A BLIZZARD WARNING. ALONG THIS SAME VEIN THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES MAY REMAIN JUST SHY OF BLIZZARD WARNING CRITERIA OF 35MPH. NONETHELESS...I DO NOT WANT TO DOWNPLAY THE HAZARDS IN THESE AREAS AS THERE WILL STILL BE HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS THAT WILL STILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS...EVEN OUTSIDE THE BLIZZARD WARNING AREAS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT FALLING TEMPS THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY UNDER STRENGTHENING COLD AIR ADVECTION...WITH READINGS FALLING INTO THE TEENS BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND WIND CHILLS FALLING TO NEAR ZERO. NEEDLESS TO SAY...ALL OF THIS WILL MAKE THIS AFTERNOON/S RATHER MILD HIGH TEMPS SEEM LIKE A VERY DISTANT MEMORY...AND WILL MAKE AN ALREADY MISERABLE DAY SEEM EVEN WORSE. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... AN INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL TRACK FROM LONG ISLAND TO CAPE COD ON WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH LINGERING SYNOPTIC SNOW FROM THIS TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL DROP RAPIDLY BEHIND THE EXITING LOW...DOWN TO -20C AT OR JUST BELOW 850 MB. THIS WILL RESULT IN LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY...WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SYNOPTIC LIFT SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT THE WORST CONDITIONS TO BE BETWEEN ROCHESTER AND SYRACUSE ON WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW PRODUCING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. EXPECT FAIRLY DEEP MOISTURE TO REMAIN IN PLACE UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS EXITS TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY MORNING. EVEN AS SYNOPTIC LIFT WANES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE NORTHERLY FLOW AND DEEPENING COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CAUSE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TO LINGER SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AIDED BY SOME OROGRAPHIC LIFTING ACROSS ANY HIGHER TERRAIN. OVERALL...MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT...WITH NEARLY ALL GUIDANCE FORECASTING AN INTENSE STORM...WITH ONLY MINOR DISAGREEMENTS IN TRACK AND TIMING. PREFER THE HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE (NAM/RGEM) FOR QPF/SNOW FORECAST...SINCE THESE ARE MORE LIKELY TO CAPTURE BOTH LAKE ENHANCEMENT AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT. EVEN THESE ARE LIKELY UNDERDONE WITH REGARD TO LAKE EFFECT...MEANWHILE SNOW RATIOS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY FLUFFY AS THE BEST LIFT SETTLES IN A ZONE FAVORABLE FOR DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP RAPIDLY TOO...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN MOST PLACES BY THURSDAY MORNING. CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE TEENS. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL DROP WIND CHILLS DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY...AND BRIEFLY CROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL BUILD IN ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE EXIT OF THE UPPER TROF...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO FORECAST TO LIFT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE WIND SHIFT. GIVEN THE DRY AIR MASS AND DAYTIME MIXING...EXPECT ONLY MODEST ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THEN WARMER AIR WILL BUILD IN ALOFT THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BUT POSSIBLY SPARKING SOME FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY...BRINGING MUCH WARMER AIR WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S. THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...AS A MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TRACKING A CLIPPER LOW NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO FRIDAY NIGHT...DROPPING AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION. THIS WILL BRING GENERALLY LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AN INTO SATURDAY. HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL MAKE IT IS DEBATABLE...WITH THE GFS/GGEM/ECMWF DIFFERING SIGNIFICANTLY ON TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. UTILIZING A CONSENSUS OF THIS GUIDANCE...SUNDAY SHOULD BE A CHILLY DAY...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 20S. THE AIR MAY BE COLD ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF EAST OR SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE 12Z GGEM/ECMWF BOTH DEVELOP A COASTAL LOW ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD STAY TO OUR SOUTH...WHILE THE GFS IS MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS FEATURE. EITHER WAY...THIS WILL BRING FAIR BUT CHILLY WEATHER TO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...WITH THIS FORECAST TO SLIDE EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...BUT STILL PROBABLY A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. && .AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... MVFR CONDITIONS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS FAR WESTERN NY THIS EVENING WITH INCREASING DEWPOINTS AND ONSHORE FLOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF HZ ACROSS THE AREA. -RA DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ALREADY STARTED TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. EXPECT THIS -RA TO SPREAD NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO MIXED PRECIPITATION WITH MVFR CONDITIONS FOR TRANSITIONING OVER TO ALL SNOW...COMMENSURATE WITH A DETERIORATION TO IFR CONDITIONS...AFTER 06Z. THIS TRANSITION MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER INCLUDING KJHW WHERE WARMER AIR WILL BE FOUND. AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE TERMINAL INCLUDING KOLE/KELZ MAY EVEN SEE A PERIOD OF PL/FZRA BEFORE PRECIP TRANSITIONS OVER TO SNOW AROUND 12Z. AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS RAPIDLY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL UNDERGOING SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION WEDNESDAY...EXPECT A RAPID DETERIORATION TO IFR/LIFR AS MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPS DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 35KT BY WED AFTERNOON COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ACROSS A WIDE SWATH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 15Z. IN ADDITION TO THE LIFR/VLIFR CONDITIONS...SIGNIFICANT BLOWING/DRIFTING OF SNOW MAY FURTHER DELAY GROUND OPERATIONS AT AREA TERMINALS. OUTLOOK... WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIFR/IFR IN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING SNOW IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE SNOW LINGERING LONGEST SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR...WITH IFR/MVFR IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. && .MARINE... A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING WILL STRENGTHEN AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...REACHING THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY BY LATE TONIGHT AND NEW JERSEY BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY GALES TO LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH WINDS THEN DIMINISHING LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY IN ITS WAKE. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NYZ001-002-010-011-019-085. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NYZ006>008. BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NYZ003>005-013-014. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NYZ020-021. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NYZ012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Here it is https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?source=BUF&year=2014&month=3&day=12&year2=2019&month2=1&day2=15&view=grid&order=asc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I dont recall any Blizzard Warnings issued for Onondaga County / Syracuse in the past 15 years. I could he wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 We have 6z ensembles !! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6z control.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Euro locked and loaded for sure but the UKmet's running the show, I forgot, RLMAO! Isn't there a 06Z Ukie? I just posted the disc u[p above Bri. o! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 26 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I dont recall any Blizzard Warnings issued for Onondaga County / Syracuse in the past 15 years. I could he wrong... I just posted the disc and both offices issued them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I thought the same but my memory is shot to shit, only downside to Cannabis, lo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I don't know what you guys are bantering about. The JMA is clearly running the show............................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 6z control.. Thing of beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Nam is just coming into focus for Friday and it doesn't like the set-up art all. Doesn't drop anything but its way early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 youre about to see some snow Tug 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Great Find CNYWX! I remember tracking that storm and being extremely excited when we upgraded to blizzard warnings. I took off from work to chase that one. I then went to Gore mountain a few days after and it was glorious. That storm is the last really Huge synoptic hit that I clearly recall for the entire area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 14 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I just posted the disc and both offices issued them. Got it. I saw the KBUF AFD you posted but couldnt remember if KBGM issued one for here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Here is what March 2014 looked like. Pretty similar track for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Got it. I saw the KBUF AFD you posted but couldnt remember if KBGM issued one for here. I don't know their office code for KBGM or KBUF for that matter so I just searched for KBUF's disc and found it at that site! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The 700mb closed off in that storm but it took until it was over Northern NY/Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Here is what March 2014 looked like. Pretty similar track for sure. For sure bro, I guess we can get excessive amounts with an open SWFE interesting bit not always easy to do right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Maybe future runs we'll see it change to a closed system as there's still huge amounts of time for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: For sure bro, I guess we can get excessive amounts with an open SWFE interesting bit not always easy to do right? Not easy at all and doesn't bode well for lake enhanced snows either. Still time for things to amp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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