TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Happens down here quite often too. Ive seen it spray snow all night with a full moon so yeah, I've experienced it and its awesome. Yeah, it happened the other night too. It was really cool seeing it with the sun shining on it this morning. Looked like shards of fine glass falling. 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Saw that happen in Nebraska with brutal cold air in place. Left a nice coating of snow on everything. . Cool! I am guessing it might be more common in the Plains states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 I’ll create a new thread tonight, should be a great one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 This is going to be a very exciting period for sure...all models showing the PV right above the upper great lakes in Ontario with WSW winds in the mean most of next week. It's hard not to get over excited at this point...but I'm trying to keep it in check!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 18Z ECMWF hourlies are out. Takes storm out SE of the Benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 18Z ECMWF hourlies are out. Takes storm out SE of the Benchmark. So a miss??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Latest medium range model guidance continuing to suggest a large and potent surface low pressure will track south of the region over the weekend. Models do show considerable amount of moisture being pulled northward into the system. With most of the model guidance suggesting we will be well on the cold side of the system widespread accumulating snow is expected likely starting late in the day Saturday into a good portion of Sunday. Additional lake enhanced/effect component will come into play on the back side of the system with additional accumulating snows likely. Although forecast details at this range are a bit uncertain, this storm system will need to be monitored closely, as there is potential for significant winter storm impacts for the entire area, including heavy snowfall and strong winds which could have significant travel implications during this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Hwd issued and up too 80% pops for weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: So a miss??? Way out to sea. WSWs for Bermuda on 18Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: Way out to sea. WSWs for Bermuda on 18Z Euro Is this a joke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Is this a joke? Yeah that seems like a huge change out if nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Is this a joke? Got one. I never joke. Unless it's about 18Z Euro runs. Which don't exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Actually they do run a 18z euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 31 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 18Z ECMWF hourlies are out. Takes storm out SE of the Benchmark. Stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Got one. I never joke. Unless it's about 18Z Euro runs. Which don't exist. If I remember correctly Wolfie posted some 18z Euro runs a while back but your a cruel sick person for messing with our mental physche after the winter we've had so far and our(or at least mine) fragile state of mind haha! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 yeah and it only goes out to 72 hrs, lol! its called rapid refresh ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 It does exist @ models.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 He’s right 18z is a Carolina scrapper. Man keeps getting pushed farther and farther back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I stand corrected! #Fakeweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 13 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: If I remember correctly Wolfie posted some 18z Euro runs a while back but your a cruel sick person for messing with our mental physche after the winter we've had so far and our(or at least mine) fragile state of mind haha! I am here to throw gas on the fire of the board. In all seriousness, not sure how comfy we should be at 5-6 days out being basically in/near the bullseye for a snowstorm. But it looks groovy now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Gfs came north. The Friday system has to be tracked too it’s really close to an advisory level snow south of thruway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I am here to throw gas on the fire of the board. In all seriousness, not sure how comfy we should be at 5-6 days out being basically in/near the bullseye for a snowstorm. But it looks groovy now I feel super duper comfy right now and nothing can change that not even you, lol! Theres no way, and I never speak in absolutes with weather, but I will this time around, lol. If it doesnt snow, I'll streak naked down my road and lll film it, in below zero weather, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Gfs came north. The Friday system has to be tracked too it’s really close to an advisory level snow south of thruway. I agree about Fridays system as well. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 hours ago, Luke_Mages said: So I've been a lurker here for years and am a huge fan of snow...however this weekend is especially interesting to me as I have a 6am flight to catch on sunday. I've never had a flight delayed or canceled because of snow in buffalo but it looks like this storm has the ability to make that happen. Welcome man! I doubt a flight gets canceled out of Buffalo for a storm that isn’t lake effect. You should be fine. What part of buffalo are you from? Definitely post more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 hours ago, Luke_Mages said: So I've been a lurker here for years and am a huge fan of snow...however this weekend is especially interesting to me as I have a 6am flight to catch on sunday. I've never had a flight delayed or canceled because of snow in buffalo but it looks like this storm has the ability to make that happen. The main threat for you getting canceled is if the airlines preemptively cancel a ton of flights and your plane doesnt make it into Buffalo. It's rare for a flight out of Buffalo to be canceled for snow alone, and you would be one of the first ones out. Still hard to pin down when we will get the heaviest stuff but that departure appears somewhat in the middle of this event. If this trip is really critical and you had the ability/resources I would consider moving up your departure to Sat Afternoon just to be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 GEFS are a huge hit for everyone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Should be some nice lake enhancement with this. Beefing up totals 3 to 6 inches on south shore. Something to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Temps in the teens ne winds goin to n then nw extending time on flow on south shore. Lake temp above average sounds like a winner to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I feel super duper comfy right now and nothing can change that not even you, lol! Theres no way, and I never speak in absolutes with weather, but I will this time around, lol. If it doesnt snow, I'll streak naked down my road and lll film it, in below zero weather, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Will you have access to this forum from jail? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 GEM ENS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now