BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Ratios will be 1:15-1:20 with those temps. Another storm hits a few days later on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Wonder how much the global models are picking up on LE for the south shore. ROC usually gets a few extra inches in cold NE flow setups like this - especially with a warmer than normal lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 EPS are pretty amped. Sleet into NH pretty easily this run. It's tracking the sfc low to the southeast still. But I'm sure there's a few cutters in that spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 wow lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Nice mean for this far out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Some of those members look like the canadian, keep that in mind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 If we taint a bit, so be it, as some of the most memorable events we experienced some type of mix in there somewhere but if it doesn't, even better, but either way we're going to see snow and a lot of it the next few weeks to begin with! We tainted with the November system and we still ended up with double digit snows so bring the taint. The closer to the taint we are the heavier the snows 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Even the GGEM gives us close to a ft with ratios, so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 This storm sets the boundary for the next which has a higher likelihood to cut then this one. We want this one to go a little farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Yeah, none of the members are NW of us. Looking solid. Great consistency continues. GEFS are a bit SE. Average feels great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Could we be going into a period I have never seen. Or alot of us have never seen. I was born in 78. Hear alot of stories about 78 in rochester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 A foot+ of snow, those temps and some decent wind. Shaping up to be a legit snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Wolfie, you broke some hearts on the NE discussion with the EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro control day6-10 snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Tim, if I had 10% of your optimism my life would be so different. I love it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Day 11-15.. Looks great for some LES.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 hours ago, rochesterdave said: It has definitely lost the banana shape. FV3 a huge hit for WNY. The Canadian might be on to something. We are still looking good. I’m gonna get some sick pleasure out of the NE forum meltdown. I will get some sick pleasure if we don't get a storm....and our buddy down in Phoenix has to keep seeing your ugly avatar! Right, @CNY-LES FREAK 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Drove down to the lake. A thin layer of ice along the shoreline. Lake Erie at 35 degrees . It’s so beautiful living next to a large body of water. Sometimes we take it for granted. I could never live in Kansas or somewhere with no water. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 I have plans with my friend once the lake freezes to skate way out into the lake with his drone. Can not wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Wolf I think it goes synoptic, lake effect, synoptic, lake effect and then a bunch of clippers with lake enhance/les. That’s the pattern for next 2-3 weeks. Doesn’t get much better around here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Nothing like the "potential" for some accumulating snow with pops at 30.. A chance of snow showers before 5pm, then scattered flurries after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 29. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 This can jut lock in till March, Wow, just loving it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 We had an interesting weather phenomenon here this morning where it was so cold the moisture in the air was freezing, and creating snow/ice in sunny skies. Then, we had actual snow showers for an hour, then blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: We had an interesting weather phenomenon here this morning where it was so cold the moisture in the air was freezing, and creating snow/ice in sunny skies. Then, we had actual snow showers for an hour, then blue skies. Happens down here quite often too. Ive seen it spray snow all night with a full moon so yeah, I've experienced it and its awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 We had an interesting weather phenomenon here this morning where it was so cold the moisture in the air was freezing, and creating snow/ice in sunny skies. Then, we had actual snow showers for an hour, then blue skies.Saw that happen in Nebraska with brutal cold air in place. Left a nice coating of snow on everything.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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