Jim Marusak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Voyager said: Thanks Jim. I was wondering if the elevations we're high enough for such a situation. I know that at times the cold air drains into the valleys such that Hazleton can be as much as 10-15 degrees warmer than where I live in Tamaqua. they are not tall enough to be anything like the rockies or even the Smoky Mountains. But they are just tall enough to be a total PITA when it comes to forecasting. And also, I got that insight one day after I talked to my older brother after he drove to and from Tobyhanna and reported as such when he ascended from Nanticoke to I-81 to I-380 and the sleet/snow to freezing rain/rain change happened near Gouldsboro on i-380. Checked an analysis model sounding after the fact, and that actually confirmed that thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 18 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: You're too much. That's what she said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm also at 0.6", with round 2 just about here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I saw this WPC snow map recently posted in another forum tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I saw this WPC snow map recently posted in another forum tonight. How were 18z GFS ensembles snow wise? I love Accupro's expanded stuff with model data but their ensemble section leaves a lot to be desired. At any rate it looked like it was a bit colder vs the means at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Henrys new map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: How were 18z GFS ensembles snow wise? I love Accupro's expanded stuff with model data but their ensemble section leaves a lot to be desired. At any rate it looked like it was a bit colder vs the means at 12z. Here is the 18z GEFS. It was a slight improvement in the snow department vs. the 12z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Henrys new map Oh, Henry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Henrys new map Is that as in Henry Margusity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Did Dave Tolleris put out his first guess on his first call on his first prediction yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Is that as in Henry Margusity? Yes. That's Henry Margusity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Did he have his Big Daddy hat on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Did Dave Tolleris put out his first guess on his first call on his first prediction yet? Still too soon for that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM at 45hr is decidedly south of 18z, with a low center on the southeastern KY/TN line vs 18z positioning near Louisville, KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Still too soon for that... So on Saturday we get the first guess proceeding his first call? (that's kind of how he does it, right?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, MAG5035 said: NAM at 45hr is decidedly south of 18z, with a low center on the southeastern KY/TN line vs 18z positioning near Louisville, KY That sounds very good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 We are going to be nam'd. Going back to a similar scenario as 0Z last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 DT just put out his Farmville Snow Hole Woof Aleet Big Dog First Guess Second Call Last Update. And it says Fcku your mother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Woooooo...the NAM! Hopefully it is picking up on something and the other models follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 DT just put out his Farmville Snow Hole Woof Aleet Big Dog First Guess Second Call Last Update. And it says Fcku your mother.LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Snow map is going to be feet+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That sounds very good... It sure is. I don't split hairs or isobars with pointing out very subtle run to run shifts. This is a pretty big shift back in the right direction with the mix line running the far southern tier under the turnpike but getting no further north in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This is going to cause an "uptick" in forum activity. Cannot believe Nut is not here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: DT just put out his Farmville Snow Hole Woof Aleet Big Dog First Guess Second Call Last Update. And it says Fcku your mother. Remember the meltdown he had a few years ago when it looked for days on end like Richmond was going to get 2' of snow...and at the last minute the storm came much farther north and they changed to sleet after 4'? He had a complete meltdown for the ages that would have made any weenie proud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This is not the end of it either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: It sure is. I don't split hairs or isobars with pointing out very subtle run to run shifts. This is a pretty big shift back in the right direction with the mix line running the far southern tier under the turnpike but getting no further north in the LSV. Thanks MAG. Off to an encouraging start with the 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM surface low is taking I-64 to the coast vs the I-79 to I-68 route...Predict the high; predict the cold to hold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: This is not the end of it either Question is...how much of that is taint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: This is going to cause an "uptick" in forum activity. Cannot believe Nut is not here yet. I don't know where he is but if he saw the NAM he probably busted one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Question is...how much of that is taint? Not much north of the turnpike...some south but still a crippling hit considering the cold afterwards. Majority of eastern 2/3 of PA is hit with over a foot....S/E Lancaster and back a little less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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