anotherman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Snowfall map posted by Don Sutherland on Mid Atlantic thread. Source: National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center Fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 CTP and Horst are bullish on the Thursday clippper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 And the 0z Euro is rain and the 40s. Nice jump from 12z yesterday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 And the 0z Euro is rain and the 40s. Nice jump from 12z yesterday lol. GFS and GEFS look good.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, Superstorm said: GFS and GEFS look good. . I'd take what the GFS is currently showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 33 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP and Horst are bullish on the Thursday clippper. Clipper has been getting stronger with each succeeding model run. Might very well end up being bigger than this past weekend for us. (yeah I know...not saying a lot, but for a clipper it looks pretty good right now) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Clipper has been getting stronger with each succeeding model run. Might very well end up being bigger than this past weekend for us. (yeah I know...not saying a lot, but for a clipper it looks pretty good right now) Im not sure why they are calling it a clipper, and if they are it needs to be called a Wyoming clipper, not an Alberta, cause that's where this thing pops onto the weather maps. Regardless, I'll take a couple inches and like it. Appetizer for the weekend main course. 6z GFS verbatim is pure porn. I suggest every snow lover play the loop a few times. It appears that we are heading for a wild ride. Wowzers Not parsing through details and "well some of that is not snow" stuff at this long lead, but i think it fair to say that it is going to be a busy busy time for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Im not sure why they are calling it a clipper, and if they are it needs to be called a Wyoming clipper, not an Alberta, cause that's where this thing pops onto the weather maps. Regardless, I'll take a couple inches and like it. Appetizer for the weekend main course. 6z GFS verbatim is pure porn. I suggest every snow lover play the loop a few times. It appears that we are heading for a wild ride. Wowzers Not parsing through details and "well some of that is not snow" stuff at this long lead, but i think it fair to say that it is going to be a busy busy time for sure. I have already received a "friends and family" email asking about predictions so the media must really be pumping this up. Afraid to say anything as the two LR models I trust the most show it getting to 50 and raining a lot. GFS is an all out dumping though :-). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Im not sure why they are calling it a clipper, and if they are it needs to be called a Wyoming clipper, not an Alberta, cause that's where this thing pops onto the weather maps. Regardless, I'll take a couple inches and like it. Appetizer for the weekend main course. 6z GFS verbatim is pure porn. I suggest every snow lover play the loop a few times. It appears that we are heading for a wild ride. Wowzers Not parsing through details and "well some of that is not snow" stuff at this long lead, but i think it fair to say that it is going to be a busy busy time for sure. Wyoming whitener? I wanna watch that loop so bad but daddy told me to run fast from porn... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: I have already received a "friends and family" email asking about predictions so the media must really be pumping this up. Afraid to say anything as the two LR models I trust the most show it getting to 50 and raining a lot. GFS is an all out dumping though :-). Yeah, I've had a couple as well. I'd just tell them to "buckle up buttercup". We all know we may not be on the right side of the snow fence for some, but looking at the back half of the GFS says opportunities will be frequent and IF....IF we hit them right, we could see snow totals like 95-96/09-10. Man I sure hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 and fwiw, the GEFS 500 loop is quite workable for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: Yeah, I've had a couple as well. I'd just tell them to "buckle up buttercup". We all know we may not be on the right side of the snow fence for some, but looking at the back half of the GFS says opportunities will be frequent and IF....IF we hit them right, we could see snow totals like 95-96/09-10. Man I sure hope so. I’m holding you to this. 90” or bust 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Oh to live in the Sierra...Mammoth Mountain has a "Special Weather Statement" for 4' - 7' of snow. That's not a typo on my part, that's feet. What do they need to get a Winter Storm Warning for goodness sake? That's the big boy that is headed east to a location near you this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Oh to live in the Sierra...Mammoth Mountain has a "Special Weather Statement" for 4' - 7' of snow. That's not a typo on my part, that's feet. What do they need to get a Winter Storm Warning for goodness sake? That's the big boy that is headed east to a location near you this weekend. That is quite the range. Do we all have that liberty of saying we nailed it if we get within 36" of the total? LOL. If so then I am locking in for this weekend. LSV sees 1"-37". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’m holding you to this. 90” or bust arent you halfway there yet....hehe you need to change your name to "Jackpot" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Oh to live in the Sierra...Mammoth Mountain has a "Special Weather Statement" for 4' - 7' of snow. That's not a typo on my part, that's feet. What do they need to get a Winter Storm Warning for goodness sake? That's the big boy that is headed east to a location near you this weekend. Holy crap. That is crazy. Just cant imagine what that would do around here. Pandafrigginmonium Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: arent you halfway there yet....hehe you need to change your name to "Jackpot" 13.2” ytd. I’ll put the dollar sign in place of the S Ca$htown. Fixed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 22 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: That is quite the range. Do we all have that liberty of saying we nailed it if we get within 36" of the total? LOL. If so then I am locking in for this weekend. LSV sees 1"-37". I'd take the low end (48") and call it a storm. just sayin.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I'm bored to point I will take a 3 to 5 storm gladly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Good Morning Folks, I found this forum last year(along with the circus of a forum down in the Mid Atlantic). I used to do a pay per year weather service forum. You guys are just as good and provide more detailed info, along with a lot more of it from multiple sources. I don't really plan to post a whole lot because I don't know enough to add any really useful information. It's really refreshing to know other people like me exist, when major weather of any kind come around to our area, my wife hates me. haha. Like, thinks I am nuts that I can spend so much time staring at the radar, looking outside, other forums, cranky's blogs/tweets, NOAA, Horst's site, Bobby M's facebook videos, etc.......All I am trying to say is, I appreciate you guys and everything you post. I finally joined the forum officially because I needed to get that off my chest. Also, even though I stalk the lower forum. I will not be posting this down there. Wayyyy to hostile and they probably don't consider southern Pa the Mid Atlantic for some reason. I have a lot of respect for those of you who have the balls to post down there. Thanks -Josh S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: I'm bored to point I will take a 3 to 5 storm gladly. Those really are the best. They're fun, can track, it's pretty for days, but it's not chaos to life like a 12+" storm is. If it's going to snow more than 5" to me it might as well drop 24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Exactly man, but I will gladly take any at this point lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, JTrout said: Good Morning Folks, I found this forum last year(along with the circus of a forum down in the Mid Atlantic). I used to do a pay per year weather service forum. You guys are just as good and provide more detailed info, along with a lot more of it from multiple sources. I don't really plan to post a whole lot because I don't know enough to add any really useful information. It's really refreshing to know other people like me exist, when major weather of any kind come around to our area, my wife hates me. haha. Like, thinks I am nuts that I can spend so much time staring at the radar, looking outside, other forums, cranky's blogs/tweets, NOAA, Horst's site, Bobby M's facebook videos, etc.......All I am trying to say is, I appreciate you guys and everything you post. I finally joined the forum officially because I needed to get that off my chest. Also, even though I stalk the lower forum. I will not be posting this down there. Wayyyy to hostile and they probably don't consider southern Pa the Mid Atlantic for some reason. I have a lot of respect for those of you who have the balls to post down there. Thanks -Josh S. Welcome to our forum, Josh! Please feel free to post any time. We need more frequent conversation around here anyway. At the very least, when we get a good storm, like maybe this upcoming weekend, we usually start a separate thread for obs posting. I would encourage you to post your storm obs as we all like to keep tabs on how everyone else is doing. --Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, JTrout said: Good Morning Folks, I found this forum last year(along with the circus of a forum down in the Mid Atlantic). I used to do a pay per year weather service forum. You guys are just as good and provide more detailed info, along with a lot more of it from multiple sources. I don't really plan to post a whole lot because I don't know enough to add any really useful information. It's really refreshing to know other people like me exist, when major weather of any kind come around to our area, my wife hates me. haha. Like, thinks I am nuts that I can spend so much time staring at the radar, looking outside, other forums, cranky's blogs/tweets, NOAA, Horst's site, Bobby M's facebook videos, etc.......All I am trying to say is, I appreciate you guys and everything you post. I finally joined the forum officially because I needed to get that off my chest. Also, even though I stalk the lower forum. I will not be posting this down there. Wayyyy to hostile and they probably don't consider southern Pa the Mid Atlantic for some reason. I have a lot of respect for those of you who have the balls to post down there. Thanks -Josh S. Hi Josh and welcome. I just came back myself after a 13 year hiatus (re: lived in Florida). Not much has changed since I left as to the "other forum". I live exactly one half mile from the Maryland line and I choose to post here. It is funny how a lot of us have similar stories about wives and friends thinking we are different because we enjoy weather. I have noticed that many of the people like this are between 40 and 70 so I think it has something to do with the prevalence of NOAA weather radios and news stations that focused on weather, like KYW in Philly, during the 70's and 80's. Stuff like that got a lot of people addicted...and without easy access to "the internet" back then. It somehow seemed to form this cult of weather followers who all take it out on the internet now. I am sure there were weather nuts before this but without the internet to bring them together it did not grow to the level that it has now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Is it to early to extrapolate the NAM to 640 hours?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Welcome to our forum, Josh! Please feel free to post any time. We need more frequent conversation around here anyway. At the very least, when we get a good storm, like maybe this upcoming weekend, we usually start a separate thread for obs posting. I would encourage you to post your storm obs as we all like to keep tabs on how everyone else is doing. --Stephen Thanks, I will definitely give obs updates. I will try and post useful/educated info when I can. Mostly info from good sources, that maybe wasn't already discussed. With that said, because I want to post relevant info. I use NWS State College discussions, Horst, Bobby Martrich, Cranky, Bernie Rayno, and a couple other folks. Who do you guys trust the most and put the most weight on their thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Hi Josh and welcome. I just came back myself after a 13 year hiatus (re: lived in Florida). Not much has changed since I left as to the "other forum". I live exactly one half mile from the Maryland line and I choose to post here. It is funny how a lot of us have similar stories about wives and friends thinking we are different because we enjoy weather. I have noticed that many of the people like this are between 40 and 70 so I think it has something to do with the prevalence of NOAA weather radios and news stations that focused on weather, like KYW in Philly, during the 70's and 80's. Stuff like that got a lot of people addicted...and without easy access to "the internet" back then. It somehow seemed to form this cult of weather followers who all take it out on the internet now. I am sure there were weather nuts before this but without the internet to bring them together it did not grow to the level that it has now. Thanks! I am 29, my dad(62) got me into it. Over the past couple years(just got a smartphone a month ago) I have been educating him on the online resources for weather. He is coming along...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, JTrout said: Welcome to our forum, Josh! Please feel free to post any time. We need more frequent conversation around here anyway. At the very least, when we get a good storm, like maybe this upcoming weekend, we usually start a separate thread for obs posting. I would encourage you to post your storm obs as we all like to keep tabs on how everyone else is doing. --Stephen Thanks, I will definitely give obs updates. I will try and post useful/educated info when I can. Mostly info from good sources, that maybe wasn't already discussed. With that said, because I want to post relevant info. I use NWS State College discussions, Horst, Bobby Martrich, Cranky, Bernie Rayno, and a couple other folks. Who do you guys trust the most and put the most weight on their thoughts? Blizzard93, pasnownut, MAG especially, itsrainingtime, Superstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 25 minutes ago, JTrout said: Good Morning Folks, I found this forum last year(along with the circus of a forum down in the Mid Atlantic). I used to do a pay per year weather service forum. You guys are just as good and provide more detailed info, along with a lot more of it from multiple sources. I don't really plan to post a whole lot because I don't know enough to add any really useful information. It's really refreshing to know other people like me exist, when major weather of any kind come around to our area, my wife hates me. haha. Like, thinks I am nuts that I can spend so much time staring at the radar, looking outside, other forums, cranky's blogs/tweets, NOAA, Horst's site, Bobby M's facebook videos, etc.......All I am trying to say is, I appreciate you guys and everything you post. I finally joined the forum officially because I needed to get that off my chest. Also, even though I stalk the lower forum. I will not be posting this down there. Wayyyy to hostile and they probably don't consider southern Pa the Mid Atlantic for some reason. I have a lot of respect for those of you who have the balls to post down there. Thanks -Josh S. Well welcome aboard the Snow Train Josh. Glad you like it here. Post away. Lotsa level heads w/ some fun along the way. Most of us love snow, but is "just snow". Mini meltdowns do happen on occasion, but nothing like MA forum. I'm old enough to not care about what they think of me, so I post cause I like talking bout snowstorms and know enough to be "dangerous"....lol BTW, I work in ETOWN (typing this from there). Small world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 18 minutes ago, canderson said: Is it to early to extrapolate the NAM to 640 hours?! Have at it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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