pasnownut Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 54 minutes ago, anotherman said: The worst part is looking at where the Low will be. Perfect placement for LSV snow. Damn. Yep. Show that map to anyone in any other January and you'd think "get the shovels ready"....but in reality its "get the mops". Soon....soon my friends. It's coming. For now we wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 2 hours ago, pasnownut said: Yep. Show that map to anyone in any other January and you'd think "get the shovels ready"....but in reality its "get the mops". Soon....soon my friends. It's coming. For now we wait and drink..............heavily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 Hope y'all are rested. Thinking we may be "gettin busy" next week. No major threats yet, but pattern flip is looking like its happening, and so far....12z's have been a nice step towards better days a comin. I've been brushin up and reading my weather weenie handbook, so I'm ready to go. Wanna sound intelligent if/when needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 Did anyone look at the 18z GFS yet..... The wait is almost over.......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 10 hours ago, pasnownut said: Hope y'all are rested. Thinking we may be "gettin busy" next week. No major threats yet, but pattern flip is looking like its happening, and so far....12z's have been a nice step towards better days a comin. I've been brushin up and reading my weather weenie handbook, so I'm ready to go. Wanna sound intelligent if/when needed. Yes sir! The models starting with the Euro weeklies last night followed by today’s EPS & GEFS are all converging on the long awaited pattern change back to winter. There will be many nights of staying up for the 0z Euro tracking the storms & rumors of storms. We might even be in business as soon as next weekend to get the winter party going! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes sir! The models starting with the Euro weeklies last night followed by today’s EPS & GEFS are all converging on the long awaited pattern change back to winter. There will be many nights of staying up for the 0z Euro tracking the storms & rumors of storms. We might even be in business as soon as next weekend to get the winter party going! Go look at my last couple posts/pics in the MA forum. Yeah, next week is starting to look better. Off to bed....much rest needed as it may get busy like you said. gnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Go look at my last couple posts/pics in the MA forum. Yeah, next week is starting to look better. Off to bed....much rest needed as it may get busy like you said. gnight Yes, I saw those posts. The turn around from a couple of days ago to today has been remarkable. Those posters & pro Mets that were calling for a pattern change by mid January might end up being correct after all if the positive trends end up delivering. The MJO is heading for phase 7 & 8. The SOI has been tanking the last few days. The strat effects should only help as well over the next few weeks. We should be in for a fun winter ride! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 If your mto hits phase 8 ibs may have you on the tank also. I had a BLT the other day and I torched my thermals. Anyways I hope she dumps all over us next weekend I will try to catch a few on my tongue. Then If your right 93 the whole forum can ride her all winter long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Looks like Wednesday storm is North of us. Mean while Western US. Powerful Pacific Storm to Impact California Today High winds, heavy rain, and heavy mountain snow up to 50 inches, and snow into The Grapevine in southern California can be expected from today's storm. Localized downpours may cause flash flooding on burn scars across California. Strong to briefly severe storms with damaging winds, water spouts, and tornadoes can be expected along north and central California coastlines later today. Read More > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 While back in PA..... its raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 The SOI today had another day with a good negative number of -18.60. This makes 3 straight days of double digit negative values. This is a good indicator of a pattern change in about 10 days or so. The MJO forecast today continues to correct to the the good winter phases of 8 & 1. The weather models should only continue to show good looks showing up for later this week & especially the following week. Our winter weather ship is heading in the right direction! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 The Euro monthly forecasts for February & March were just released yesterday. They are posted now in the Mid Atlantic thread if you want to take a look. They look like what you would expect if @pasnownut or I were able to draw the perfect pattern for cold & stormy winter weather! This should be fun. Get your shovels ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 36 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Euro monthly forecasts for February & March were just released yesterday. They are posted now in the Mid Atlantic thread if you want to take a look. They look like what you would expect if @pasnownut or I were able to draw the perfect pattern for cold & stormy winter weather! This should be fun. Get your shovels ready! Yep! February 1st to March 15th looks like prime time for us... Question is: can we sneak something in before then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep! February 1st to March 15th looks like prime time for us... Yes, that’s true! ( I see what you did there & that was nicely done good sir...) I also hope that we can have at least a week or 2 in January for a few bouts of wintry weather as well ! This place should be getting busy soon! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Euro monthly forecasts for February & March were just released yesterday. They are posted now in the Mid Atlantic thread if you want to take a look. They look like what you would expect if @pasnownut or I were able to draw the perfect pattern for cold & stormy winter weather! This should be fun. Get your shovels ready! Dude I’m telling ya....it’s like they gave us the keys to the weather lockbox. If that verifies anything close to what PSU posted we will be ready for the April flip that was also posted. Voyager will like that one for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep! February 1st to March 15th looks like prime time for us... Question is: can we sneak something in before then? Hey man. Keep your eye out at next Sunday. I posted in the other thread yesterday that I was liking the trends for that period and today seems to be showing more signs of potential. Like Bob suggested, it’s early in the flip but I feel that guidance is still in catch up mode and that’s why I think it’s worth watching. NS is better but lose that shortwave that shows on the GFS and it may be legit. If you like the GEM and digital snow...go take a peek. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Hey man. Keep your eye out at next Sunday. I posted in the other thread yesterday that I was liking the trends for that period and today seems to be showing more signs of potential. Like Bob suggested, it’s early in the flip but I feel that guidance is still in catch up mode and that’s why I think it’s worth watching. NS is better but lose that shortwave that shows on the GFS and it may be legit. If you like the GEM and digital snow...go take a peek. Oh I've been reading every post in that thread, trust me. To be honest I'm really excited about what is coming but at the same time I really think we have a little more time yet before we see a new pattern result in white gold in our yards. We'll see! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, that’s true! ( I see what you did there & that was nicely done good sir...) I also hope that we can have at least a week or 2 in January for a few bouts of wintry weather as well ! This place should be getting busy soon! You know I posted that primarily with you in mind. Thanks for the compliment! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Dude I’m telling ya....it’s like they gave us the keys to the weather lockbox. If that verifies anything close to what PSU posted we will be ready for the April flip that was also posted. Voyager will like that one for sure. After reading the past few pages of this thread, I think a 2 month visit with my mom in Phoenix is in order. What April flip, though? I missed where that was posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 13 hours ago, Voyager said: After reading the past few pages of this thread, I think a 2 month visit with my mom in Phoenix is in order. What April flip, though? I missed where that was posted. Euro monthlies show a rockin Feb/Mar, but then real spring for April as it turns to warm. We get ours when we should, then you get yours....everyone's a winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 3 hours ago, pasnownut said: Euro monthlies show a rockin Feb/Mar, but then real spring for April as it turns to warm. We get ours when we should, then you get yours....everyone's a winner. I guess. I think I'd rather have a rockin Jan/Feb with a transitional March, though. Then on to full spring weather. Once we flip back to Daylight Savings I start to get spring fever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 You know it's been a bad winter to date when you walk outside and it feels really cold...and then you realize it's 46 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: You know it's been a bad winter to date when you walk outside and it feels really cold...and then you realize it's 46 degrees. Take the wind away today and it’d be warm. This SUCKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Horst mentioning a 4-5 day transition to colder weather with an "outside chance of snow on January 13th." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 GFS FV-3 for the win next weekend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: GFS FV-3 for the win next weekend! That would be a cold powdery snow too. My favorite kind of snowstorm. Bring 'er home! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Big difference between the GFS FV-3 and GFS....GFS is only showing around 1-2" We is on overdue fo' snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 It's going to be interesting to see if this potential storm starts looking better on the models overall (more consistency). There's been something in the timeframe off and on but nothing concrete. As modeled right now it would be an example of wintering with above normal 850ºC anomalies and high 500 heights above being undercut by shortwaves. Regardless of if we get something from this, this potential pattern change looks to be coming and relatively soon at last compared to earlier fears of punting the whole month...although I think we could have the usual transitioning pattern issues. The MJO went from the border of phase 5/6 to cracking into phase 8 in less than five days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 4 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: That would be a cold powdery snow too. My favorite kind of snowstorm. Bring 'er home! Hug the new kid on the block!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 looks like a few may see some unexpected flakes this morning . I see some SS forming on radar along the warm front in sw Pa. moveing ENE. Its light may not be getting to the ground. We now also will be under an advisory tonight for some ice may be even some flakes. Hope the 14th pans out. Looks like winter is starting to try to make a come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now