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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019


Upstate Tiger
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3 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

Really good to have the euro on board.

Like I said before, it would be funny if our two big storms of the winter came in December and March (with very little in between).  

Very much so. Piques my interest about 100x more of practically any other model except the UK which isnt in range. 

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From RAH:

Sun-Mon: As the N Great Lakes low wobbles E over the St Lawrence

Valley as energy feeds into its W side, there is a better chance of

broad cyclonic flow that will kick a cold front E through NC Sat

night or early Sun, bringing dry weather and colder air for NC as an

Arctic surface high builds across the north-central and

Northeast/Mid Atlantic states. But the ECMWF stalls the front closer

to NC, with low centers tracking along it drawing abundant moisture

and precip back over a wedged-in central NC, while the GFS stays

dry. Will keep the forecast pop-free for now, but again,

predictability is low. Thicknesses are projected to drop to around

25 m below normal for Sun and over 50 m below normal Mon, favoring

fair skies and chilly temps. -GIH

 

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3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

I wouldn’t want to be in the bullseye 7 days out! Plenty of time for this to trend North, and be a mid  Atlantic special 

Exactly... we've seen this all Winter long from one model or another.  In this case most of the globals show the storm system, which is encouraging, but I'm holding on to my big grain of salt for now. Lol

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42 minutes ago, jjwxman said:

Exactly... we've seen this all Winter long from one model or another.  In this case most of the globals show the storm system, which is encouraging, but I'm holding on to my big grain of salt for now. Lol

Yep.  Monkeys may fly....and we may get 10" snow in ENC one full week into March

 

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