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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019


Upstate Tiger
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The geographic spread in snowfall went way down on the GEFS. But where it had snow, in the Mtns, the mean went up a bit. Using Asheville, as an example in the bullseye area, had 10 out of 20 members with snow plus the control. 7 members were over 2 inches and the highest member was 8 inches. 

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Looks like 0z nam and 18z GFS are a little different wrt southern energy. Nam is slower with the energy but nam also weaker with n/s s/w over the plains/northern us. Could still work if the nam went out in time with n/s maybe being able to catch a slower ejecting southern us s/w. Both highs looks good in eastern canada around 1042. Bored waiting for the GFS so figured I'd nitpick 

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8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Looks like 0z nam and 18z GFS are a little different wrt southern energy. Nam is slower with the energy but nam also weaker with n/s s/w over the plains/northern us. Could still work if the nam went out in time with n/s maybe being able to catch a slower ejecting southern us s/w. Both highs looks good in eastern canada around 1042. Bored waiting for the GFS so figured I'd nitpick 

The high is a little bit further north on the NAM, and out to 84 it's marginally warmer than the GFS at the same time. Something to keep an eye on.

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