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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019


Upstate Tiger
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4 minutes ago, Wow said:

12z Euro has the players there again but doesn't get the job done bringing down the cold air, thowing in a low over the GL

Weird though , even with not much supply of cold air,  the system is suppressed really far south... kind of a unique run of the Euro,  would have thought with not much cold air , the moisture would of come north...

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Looking at upper level trends, the high has been digging in a more ideal spot over SE Canada each of the past few runs. Exactly what we want to see. Specific outputs notwithstanding, we have something to track. Hopefully over the next few days the trend becomes clearer and even more ideal. At about a week out, you can't ask for much more than that.

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10 minutes ago, JoshM said:

850s aren't too good, either.

They are marginal as well but the rain/snow line will be determined by the trek of that 850 low.  This is an interesting setup as we don't have a sfc low forming in the gulf..  it's a very suppressed Miller B storm!

Reminds me a bit of March '09.. had a good thundersnow out of that one.

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37 minutes ago, Wow said:

This is an upper low digging far south with a coastal bombing of the SC coast.  This is not an overrunning event.  It'll be marginally cold at the surface.

Don't think I've seen this before. Weird angle for a UL to approach from.

Temps maybe marginal. But the angle of the UL and Surface low. Definitely favor a upslope flow for eastern side of the Apps/Blueridge.

Southeast to Northwest flow snow.

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