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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019


Upstate Tiger
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26 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:

The local Mets are really downplaying this. As if it’s a nothing event. I could very well still be, but you’d think a few would be talking about it possibly being more.


.

There's an obvious reason.  This thing panning out to anything more than a minor ooh and ahh type event is one step short of powerball odds. (Ok,ok, maybe getting struck by lightning)

I mean really, we're talking about Mack and Shetley getting snow, together, on the same day, in April.  

 

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33 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

There's an obvious reason.  This thing panning out to anything more than a minor ooh and ahh type event is one step short of powerball odds. (Ok,ok, maybe getting struck by lightning)

I mean really, we're talking about Mack and Shetley getting snow, together, on the same day, in April.  

 

All is right in the world, until reality sets in and I’m looking at 2 hours of 40 degrees and drizzle,an Gaffney Jackpots

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My thoughts on this setup...

I would go with:

Charlotte Area: Trace to 1 inch

Greenville-Spartanburg Area: Trace to 1/2 inch

Looks to me like forcing for ascent will be modest.  Precip light to moderate at times, with focus of precip in a 4 hour window - 7AM to 11AM for Charlotte, 5AM to 9AM for GSP.  Rain or Rain/Snow mix when precip is light.  Mostly snow when precip is steady.

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9 minutes ago, griteater said:

My thoughts on this setup...

I would go with:

Charlotte Area: Trace to 1 inch

Greenville-Spartanburg Area: Trace to 1/2 inch

Looks to me like forcing for ascent will be modest.  Precip light to moderate at times, with focus of precip in a 4 hour window - 7AM to 11AM for Charlotte, 5AM to 9AM for GSP.  Rain or Rain/Snow mix when precip is light.  Mostly snow when precip is steady.

Somebody between CLT-GSP-CAE gets lollipop of 3”, imo!!

Sky is totally clear, radiational cooling should be maximized and E/NE wind is stiff! Has a good feel to it, IF we can get enough precip!

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The word from GSP...

Clouds will begin to increase tonight as storm system
across southern Georgia and southern South Carolina amplifies and
then moves up the eastern coast.  Most of the precipitation with
this system is southeast of the GSP region, but some is expected
Tuesday morning. Cold-air damming with northeasterly surface flow
will keep surface temperatures low enough for possible snow, without
making much of a warm nose.  12Z NAM soundings show clear-cut snow
soundings in some places, though with surface temperatures just
barely cold enough. Tuesday morning lows, which take wet-bulb effect
into account to some extent, are generally just above freezing in
piedmont areas. Areas with heavier precipitation could see more wet
bulbing, and have a greater chance of getting some snow
accumulation.  Both the NAM and the HREF have the most snow along
south of I85 where heavier precipitation and more wet-bulbing
occurs. Otherwise, rain mixed with snow with fairly quick melting is
anticipated Tuesday morning, with some slush possible on area roads.
Higher elevations in the mountains may see general snow, but precip.
amounts are expected to be lighter there.
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