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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019


Upstate Tiger
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1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GEFS comes in colder and keeps the precip frozen a lot of the storm for northern nc, southern va

This looks like a moderate to significant event for our area. I had issues with my email and password here the last couple weeks being able to sign in. Finally got it corrected.

Anyhow, very concerned with icing issues. All going to depend on which way the main tongue of moisture points as to whether we have moderate (.25-.40) or significant (.50 or more) amounts.

You have NAM and Euro in a camp and then have Icon, GFS, FV3 and CMC in another.

For what it’s worth, RGEM is still pretty far out in its time frame but it is juiced the heck up. 

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18 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Yep.  That said, it is a piece of junk.  Hopefully, they take it back to the workshop before they put it on the open road.

I think we will have at least one more legit shot before all is said and done this year.

Yeah, it started with a bang but I think it missed a crucial update during the shut down. I agree, Some decent cold showing up at the end of the month.

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19 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

7/20 GEFS ensemble members have warning criteria events at the beginning of March for GSO and RDU. 5/20 for CLT.

That time period could be our last chance. We have a pretty defined winter period where we can get snow. Usually it's early December to early March. Of course folks can quote storms (...93) outside that range, but they're rare.   

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