Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Pooootential as shown by the EPS control run. We watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pooootential as shown by the EPS control run. We watch That is a different storm Steve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 25 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is a different storm Steve. Poootential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Jan 2014 looks like until some time in the 11-15 day. A mix of snow and mild solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Jan 2014 looks like until some time in the 11-15 day. A mix of snow and mild solutions. Huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Huh Between now and after the first week of Jan as the EPO adjusts. I would keep in mind the chance of some milder solutions along with snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Between now and after the first week of Jan as the EPO adjusts. I would keep in mind the chance of some milder solutions along with snow. Is this a situ where anything that’s amps cuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Between now and after the first week of Jan as the EPO adjusts. I would keep in mind the chance of some milder solutions along with snow. No way...DIT just said the warm cuts are all gone an hour ago...We are There!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Between now and after the first week of Jan as the EPO adjusts. I would keep in mind the chance of some milder solutions along with snow. EPS shows that. We snow on Sunday and a warmer solution a couple of days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is this a situ where anything that’s amps cuts 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS shows that. We snow on Sunday and a warmer solution a couple of days later. Yeah and that's been modeled so this isn't a new twist. However, it's darn active with a cold source close by so we take our chances. Still look good in the 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No way...DIT just said the warm cuts are all gone an hour ago...We are There!! You have to adjust for the KFS model tellies. The -DIT oscillation is typically too negative by about 1.5SD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Gotcha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Gotcha! Isn't there an ice storm on the way? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: EPS shows that. We snow on Sunday and a warmer solution a couple of days later. Are we talking like a fun sized storm (1-3") or something more moderate on the EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Isn't there an ice storm on the way? Nothing like the Day 7 lock of an ice storm...those things are a dime a dozen, easy play from a probability standpoint too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 17 minutes ago, Randy4Confluence said: Are we talking like a fun sized storm (1-3") or something more moderate on the EPS? The modeling of the euro family Verbatim is more 3-6 like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: The modeling of the euro family Verbatim is more 3-6 like. That'd be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’re there. The warm cuts are all gone. All that kid qc omega had left to troll with ... gone . Gone like your Chinese food tonight Lol the warm cuts are only gone in your head, rain on Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: The modeling of the euro family Verbatim is more 3-6 like. 2-4" on EPS it seems.. me likes this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 EPS looks good after Friday IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 18z GFS pretty much blanks a good chunk of New England through Day 16. It is tossed completely but man this place would be like World War III if somehow it's January 11th and there's not much to speak of. Definitely a gradient pattern look but the gradient that run was near and north of Montreal. On a real note, there's a large difference between the storm shown on 12z EURO for New Years and the GFS. Would be nice to pop something through that included more posters on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Some "heavy" pixie dust falling. Can see it through my windows. -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 26, 2018 Author Share Posted December 26, 2018 SSW registering now ... not only modeled. Time will tell if it's a down weller 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: SSW registering now ... not only modeled. Time will tell if it's a down weller And wether it actually helps us Snow in our backyards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: 18z GFS pretty much blanks a good chunk of New England through Day 16. It is tossed completely but man this place would be like World War III if somehow it's January 11th and there's not much to speak of. Definitely a gradient pattern look but the gradient that run was near and north of Montreal. On a real note, there's a large difference between the storm shown on 12z EURO for New Years and the GFS. Would be nice to pop something through that included more posters on here. That would suck but sort of falls in line with what Ray has been saying in so much as anything major before mid-January is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 26, 2018 Author Share Posted December 26, 2018 12z Euro also sends a coherent chinook plume ESE outta the eastern slopes of the Canadian cordillera ... Prolly won't mean much to us as it gets deflected and ultimately absorbed into the ongoing continental warm departures already going on in the Mississippi Valley to M Atlantic and points south. But I do find it interesting because that behavior was favored/part of the total expectation when we started this thread and it's kind of cool to see that materialize -whether it verifies or not, not withstanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 9 hours ago, powderfreak said: 18z GFS pretty much blanks a good chunk of New England through Day 16. It is tossed completely but man this place would be like World War III if somehow it's January 11th and there's not much to speak of. Definitely a gradient pattern look but the gradient that run was near and north of Montreal. On a real note, there's a large difference between the storm shown on 12z EURO for New Years and the GFS. Would be nice to pop something through that included more posters on here. Considering the pattern during the last several weeks I do not think it should come as a surprise if we are blanked during much of that 16 day stretch. And at that point it will be approaching the mid point of met winter. 16 days is a long ways out but the trend has not been our friend. As things stand right now there are not any signs of a significant pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Omg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 26 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Considering the pattern during the last several weeks I do not think it should come as a surprise if we are blanked during much of that 16 day stretch. And at that point it will be approaching the mid point of met winter. 16 days is a long ways out but the trend has not been our friend. As things stand right now there are not any signs of a significant pattern change. I'm confused by this part. What are we looking for exactly? Are we looking for cold and snow to be measured? Because if that's the case then we'll never know the pattern is changing until it has actually produced something, which is just not true. Guidance is showing a significant pattern change. And a pretty significant winter storm is setting up for the central CONUS as the cold dumps back into the country. But don't let me stand in the way of meltdowns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 12z euro giveth, 00z taketh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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