ineedsnow Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Please lets the 6z GFS verify snow Christmas EVE and two SWFE in the next 10 days!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Active look oozes potential. Post new years is salivating as we spike a favorable epo/pna with an improving atl. Lets go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Eps locked in 1-3” Xmas Eve. Has led the way on this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 AWT . No cutter next week. -NAO doing dirty work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: AWT . No cutter next week. -NAO doing dirty work Way too early to say that. Even the GFS ensembles wete warmer than meet up. But, Luckily we have time to see if we can improve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: AWT . No cutter next week. -NAO doing dirty work Yep east based negative nao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Way too early to say that. Even the GFS ensembles wete warmer than meet up. But, Luckily we have time to see if we can improve it. Bagginess in the contours EPS. Let the bags sags like boobs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Eps locked in 1-3” Xmas Eve. Has led the way on this Box is offering a lump of coal. Shortwave on Monday suggests a chance of rain/snow showers, although moisture and lift are rather limited and suggest slight chance pops at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Box is offering a lump of coal. Shortwave on Monday suggests a chance of rain/snow showers, although moisture and lift are rather limited and suggest slight chance pops at best. It’s Babcock. Enough said lol. It’s coming . All models have snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Box is offering a lump of coal. Shortwave on Monday suggests a chance of rain/snow showers, although moisture and lift are rather limited and suggest slight chance pops at best. Even some snow showers would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I'm hoping for a faster frontal passage tomorrow......get this earth out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 FV3 showing a strong gradient on NYE.....too bad the mostly wintery side of the gradient is from Brian into Maine. Pit2 trip might be required to ring in the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s Babcock. Enough said lol. It’s coming . All models have snow Babcock is really good and probably the most experienced of the crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 35 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Box is offering a lump of coal. Shortwave on Monday suggests a chance of rain/snow showers, although moisture and lift are rather limited and suggest slight chance pops at best. The problem for models that even have moisture is it’s rain for a good chunk of folks. I feel like people assume if we get the precip, it’s snow. That’s not the case as modeled. Couple things working against that system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The problem for models that even have moisture is it’s rain for a good chunk of folks. I feel like people assume if we get the precip, it’s snow. That’s not the case as modeled. Couple things working against that system It’s pretty cold off the deck. That’s snow in a lot of areas away from SE Cstl spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 24 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The problem for models that even have moisture is it’s rain for a good chunk of folks. I feel like people assume if we get the precip, it’s snow. That’s not the case as modeled. Couple things working against that system Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 47 minutes ago, weathafella said: Babcock is really good and probably the most experienced of the crew. Totally disagree on first point . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 looks pretty active after 12/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Kev has a man crush on Sipperell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Kev has a man crush on Sipperell Pics? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 We were chatting about pivotalwx yesterday. I've noticed on the rdps and gdps soundings, which are cool obviously, they don't have omega beyond a few mandatory levels. I've noticed this before with rdps grib 2 data set, it only has 850/700/500/250 vertical velocity available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Is phase 6 good for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 The cutter on the 28th is still showing up on what I can see? I bet that happens and ushers in full winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: The cutter on the 28th is still showing up on what I can see? I bet that happens and ushers in full winter. Gfs has a swfe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Anyone see the gefs and eps for NYE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Is phase 6 good for us? Not really, but the GEFS guidance weirdly brings it strongly into 5/6 whereas the ecmwf and other agencies keep it lower amplitude and faster moving into the more favorable phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I want to rock and roll and party every night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Not really, but the GEFS guidance weirdly brings it strongly into 5/6 whereas the ecmwf and other agencies keep it lower amplitude and faster moving into the more favorable phases. Thanks. I only know where to get the GEFS from the CPC. Where can I harvest the ECWMF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 12z NAM coming in quite a bit more amped for Xmas Eve at 48 hours....we'll see if this run finally spits out some accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I only know where to get the GEFS from the CPC. Where can I harvest the ECWMF? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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