Colonel Badger Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah .. strangely enough this one doesn’t bother me at all. Nothing to protect . Just hope the 24th system can whiten things up What 24th system ? Euro got rid of it in the 00z run and the GFS never had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 I know it's Fox - but this isn't fake news it looks like - and it's Cohen being quoted so there's that. SSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 21 minutes ago, cut said: LOL. When did they post those? Great news, the often desired - rarely realized SSW may finally be here!!!! Another forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 @CoastalWx Maybe it was 2 or 3 weeks ago, I had posted I was hearing talk of SSW and I asked if anyone else had any thoughts? Maybe it is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 lol watch the SSW be too strong and screw us in some way. Kinda like how the -NAO bent so much in 09-10 that we broke. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: lol watch the SSW be too strong and screw us in some way. Kinda like how the -NAO bent so much in 09-10 that we broke. You can have the cold but you gotta watch someone else get the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 This upcoming storm system for Friday kinda reminds me of the 2/24-25/16 storm system that had a sweet squall line march from Alabama to Maine. I'd sign up for that again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Just now, JBinStoughton said: You can have the cold but you gotta watch someone else get the snow! 2009-10 had neither. Elephant time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol watch the SSW be too strong and screw us in some way. Kinda like how the -NAO bent so much in 09-10 that we broke. I have that in the back of my mind..especially hearing January 2004, but I don't think that will happen once weak el nino forcing sets up. Its tougher for us to a whiff with an active n stream.....unfortunate timing of PV lobe intrusions notwithstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: 2009-10 had neither. Elephantitis time. yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: yikes. Finally recovered Boxing Day 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 28 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: NOHRSC has you a hair over 4" liquid in that pack. NH-CS-10 2018-12-17 12 5.220 1785 RANDOLPH 1.4 NE, NH The next couple of days the forecast snowmelt will be here https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/graph.html?ey=2018&em=12&ed=21&units=0&station=NH-CS-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol watch the SSW be too strong and screw us in some way. Kinda like how the -NAO bent so much in 09-10 that we broke. https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1074682629990088704 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1074682629990088704 Cold/neutral ENSO, though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol watch the SSW be too strong and screw us in some way. Kinda like how the -NAO bent so much in 09-10 that we broke. GFS op and all but cool graphic [fyi you cant embed on a PC had to use my phone] 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 We bought our house in November 2003. I remember we had pipes freeze in our very first winter and the plumber was complaining because he had way more burst pipes call than he could handle. I think I remember a stretch of over 3 weeks where we stayed below freezing. I do recall one significant storm that sort of fizzled a bit, I think we still got like 10 but the forecast was way higher - in January of 2004 I believe. This is for SW CT I am speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Pattern remains absolute garbage for the next few weeks with an uncooperative MJO, -PNA, +NAO/AO, but if the SSW does happen the middle of January on could rock. Still getting some Jan '11/'15 vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cold/neutral ENSO, though... ya thats a good point .. not sure how the background state / tropics compares exactly. Hopefully doesn't lead to suppression city like Jan 04 - although we had some close calls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Just now, ma blizzard said: ya thats a good point .. not sure how the background state / tropics compares exactly. Hopefully doesn't lead to suppression city like Jan 04 - although we had some close calls Some of the coldest weather I've ever experienced that month in VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cold/neutral ENSO, though... Where’s the nino forcing anyway? Does it even matter this close to neutral either way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: ya thats a good point .. not sure how the background state / tropics compares exactly. Hopefully doesn't lead to suppression city like Jan 04 - although we had some close calls Never say never, but I'd be worried if el nino were stronger, or non existent. Who knows, though....I would rather not have the NAO obscene.....just moderate negative and in variable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Just now, JBinStoughton said: Where’s the nino forcing anyway? Does it even matter this close to neutral either way? Are you asking me about now, or a month from now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 9 minutes ago, cut said: We bought our house in November 2003. I remember we had pipes freeze in our very first winter and the plumber was complaining because he had way more burst pipes call than he could handle. I think I remember a stretch of over 3 weeks where we stayed below freezing. I do recall one significant storm that sort of fizzled a bit, I think we still got like 10 but the forecast was way higher - in January of 2004 I believe. This is for SW CT I am speaking. January 28, 2004 storm: 8"-12" in Fairfield and New Haven counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 33 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: This upcoming storm system for Friday kinda reminds me of the 2/24-25/16 storm system that had a sweet squall line march from Alabama to Maine. I'd sign up for that again. Lots of wind damage and severe wx with that. This won’t have that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lots of wind damage and severe wx with that. This won’t have that I remember that event.....one of the only wind events that I was ever impressed with at my place in Wilmington. I lost power. I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: January 28, 2004 storm: 8"-12" in Fairfield and New Haven counties. Wasn't the forecast for like double that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 I need to watch the clipper event on the models, the energy is still present on the 12z GFS, it just gets obliterated by our Friday rain storm over the Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Ha, Maue just added 45 day snowfall to his model site now. He posted a teaser on Twitter that actually supports much of the discussion in here. Disclaimer: snow maps are garbage, BUT they do highlight the potential pattern. The absolute number of snowfall is a WAG from the EPS, but given that little to no snow falls in New England between now and New Years, all of the accumulated model snow is for the month of January. So pointing towards an above normal snowfall month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you asking me about now, or a month from now? What’s the evidence it will be there a month from now if it’s not here now? We’ve been in nino a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: What’s the evidence it will be there a month from now if it’s not here now? We’ve been in nino a while now. Fiction. We have not....not even technically el nino yet per ONI. The evidence is the subsurface and guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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