jaxjagman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 34 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Looking at temps, radar, etc...seems the 12z Euro is closest to matching to me. Euro looks to fast,has the system into the Gulf shores right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 13 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: Euro looks to fast,has the system into the Gulf shores right now Looked to matchup fairly well at 00z to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Looked to matchup fairly well at 00z to me. Not sure about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 30 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: Not sure about that Waiting on it to update to 0z,yeah you look right.If anything the GFS is to slow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 With the heavy precipitation rates moving in to the Cumberland Plateau, is there any chance we could see some dynamic cooling overnight resulting in an unexpected changeover to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 How are things looking temperature wise above the surface right now guys? EDIT: Oh so I see we're switched 100% to obs got it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Up in Boone this evening and it has just started. Going to be a crazy night up here. Sorry thought I was in the orbs thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Up in Boone this evening and it has just started. Going to be a crazy night up here. Sorry thought I was in the orbs thread.Gonna be beautiful up there. Will need some pics. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 0z NAM is rolling and total crush job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Gonna be beautiful up there. Will need some pics. . Will do. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: 0z NAM is rolling and total crush job. Hey Carvers...crush job even for the Central Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 3k NAM is insane. Heavy snow in bright echoes for a long time over KTRI. This is going to be a monster run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, Windspeed said: 3k NAM is insane. Heavy snow in bright echoes for a long time over KTRI. This is going to be a monster run. A great way to cap off the model viewing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, Vol4Life said: Hey Carvers...crush job even for the Central Valley? Sorry about that. I need to be more specific. I used to hate that when were in another forum, and I could never tell which area anyone meant. No fault of anyone there, I just couldn't tell. That was a for NE TN posters. But here is the map so you should be able to find your county...Last run of the NAM prior to the event looks good. Looks like some of those crazy Euro runs. I will take half that and be happy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 9, 2018 Author Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, *Flash* said: Anyone recommend I call an audible? If I were going to go to Jacksboro, TN from out your way, I'd just keep on keeping and go to Ewing, VA (maybe 45 more min) and hike up to White Rocks overlook (3 miles). In fact, if I had the time tomorrow (if you have 4 wheel drive, you might be able to talk me into it) and thought my car could do the last .5 mile to the parking area, I'd be there. Over 3000 feet and likely no one but you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said: Sorry about that. I need to be more specific. I used to hate that when were in another forum, and I could never tell which area anyone meant. No fault of anyone there, I just couldn't tell. That was a for NE TN posters. But here is the map so you should be able to find your county...Last run of the NAM prior to the event looks good. Looks like some of those crazy Euro runs. I will take half that and be happy! Awesome! Thanks Carvers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, Vol4Life said: Hey Carvers...crush job even for the Central Valley? Yes. I don’t buy it. I’m on the Blount/Knox/Sevier line and I expect no more than 1-2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Can anyone confirm changeover in NE TN? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Reb said: Yes. I don’t buy it. I’m on the Blount/Knox/Sevier line and I expect no more than 1-2” Yeah, give me half that total, and I am good. What is impressive is that the model continues to up totals, even up to the last run. I am like the rest of us...have to see it to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Can anyone confirm changeover in NE TN? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Reb said: Can anyone confirm changeover in NE TN? Good catch, Reb. I thought it was a mistake. Light mix right now that is very light. Falling to slowly to be rain. Thanks for the heads-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Can anyone confirm changeover in NE TN? I have heavy sleet coming down right now. Surprised as it's 39°. The column must be cooling rapidly. I am about 10 miles just south of Bristol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Windspeed said: I have heavy sleet coming down right now. Surprised as it's 39°. The column must be cooling rapidly. I am about 10 miles just south of Bristol. I’m at 38 in Maryville with all rain. Heavy dbz incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Mix of rain and snow in NE Hamblen Co now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Good catch, Reb. I thought it was a mistake. Light mix right now that is very light. Falling to slowly to be rain. Thanks for the heads-up.Good that it’s changing over without high rates. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 9, 2018 Author Share Posted December 9, 2018 There are some places in North Knox that are already 36, if Wunderground stations are accurate. Hopefully this heavier precip. will start to get the job done. According to NWS mesoscale analysis the 925 above 0 C line has just drastically shrunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, PowellVolz said: Good that it’s changing over without high rates. Hopefully it holds. I mean its not overpowering by any means. I gave it another check. Looks like very light sleet, rain, and snow. You can hear it hit the leaves that are still in the trees. And yes, I have the last two trees on the EC that are slow to drop their leaves. LOL. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Windspeed said: I have heavy sleet coming down right now. Surprised as it's 39°. The column must be cooling rapidly. I am about 10 miles just south of Bristol. If that's the case it must be knocking on my doorstep and wow sleet at 39... almost unheard of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Hopefully it holds. I mean its not overpowering by any means. I gave it another check. Looks like very light sleet, rain, and snow. You can hear it hit the leaves that are still in the trees. And yes, I have the last two trees on the EC that are slow to drop their leaves. LOL.I had a burst of heavy sleet for about five minutes and now it's light. Again, expected only light rain at this point, hence my comment that the column must be cooling fast. Hopefully this means we will miss a significant duration of freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 9, 2018 Author Share Posted December 9, 2018 Correlation coefficient looks like the R/S line is trying to move west and south: https://imgur.com/a/AGAP1Ti 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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