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Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

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8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

on the FV3 at least the heaviest snow amounts are trending north

snku_acc.us_ma (1).png

I may be misreading but this conflicts with the FV3 maps that others recently posted?

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9 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

on the FV3 at least the heaviest snow amounts are trending north

snku_acc.us_ma (1).png

Wow!  That’s a much different look than the kuchera map posted above for FV 3.  Wonder what the difference is?

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Euro out to 69...the northern stream wave is a little more in front of the southern stream from a longitude standpoint and the NE trough isn't as far to the east...think it could tick slightly south this run, but just guessing...tough to say

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1 minute ago, griteater said:

Euro out to 69...the northern stream wave is a little more in front of the southern stream from a longitude standpoint and the NE trough isn't as far to the east...think it could slightly south this run, but just guessing...tough to say

Out to 75 I tend to agree gonna be timing on this one. Also looks wetter compared to 00z in LA. 

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3 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said:

Wow!  That’s a much different look than the kuchera map posted above for FV 3.  Wonder what the difference is?

One is 6z less snowfal in NC,  12z more snowfall NC

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Temps look a little wonky to me but this thing is a monster on the Euro if it's all snow by hour 99 WNC, CNC and GSP area would be crushed. 

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This run is also colder for most of NC on this run at the 925 level. As it sniffs out that CAD it should start reflecting that more and more. 

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Well...well...well....but big caveat here this is all dependent on enough cold air for snow. If you believe Euro at face value this would be raging ZR/IP storm. 

5c08164d65fca.png

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Just now, griteater said:

NS energy diving in late so precip is slow to exit

This really looks like a great setup on the Euro....if that comes to fruition a lot of people should be happy. Still gonna be some on the line who get total cut like crazy though. 

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2 minutes ago, burgertime said:

BOOM!

 

5c081777c3076.png

Now that's more like it! Looks a lot better for the Upstate and the CLT metro to the Triad. Would love to see those higher totals move a little east so our Raleigh peeps can cash in.

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When we will start seeing the pieces of energy ingested on the models? I am sure at that point they will become more accurate and things could change either way correct?

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Late end thump most of NC....if that happens it's just gonna snow itself out. Looks fantastic for you guys in CNC. CLT is also in on the action. 

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1 minute ago, ryan1234 said:

Now that's more like it! Looks a lot better for the Upstate and the CLT metro to the Triad. Would love to see those higher totals move a little east so our Raleigh peeps can cash in.

This storm will likely put the Triangle crowd in the sanitarium. It isn't looking great out here.

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This is much more complicated now that the northern stream is getting involved in terms of the timing and location of how the two streams interact and how that affects how much the system wants to climb north....the 12z runs overall went more in the direction of the slider version vs. the version that hits the mid atlantic hard

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4 minutes ago, griteater said:

Mecklenburg county has roughly 0.75 of all snow before it goes to sleet on this run

I'm interested in Monday and Tuesday on the Euro...that's gotta be a lot of snow throwing out. 

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1 minute ago, eyewall said:

This storm will likely put the Triangle crowd in the sanitarium. It isn't looking great out here.

Just about everything looks great for Durham County 

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1 minute ago, burgertime said:

Late end thump most of NC....if that happens it's just gonna snow itself out. Looks fantastic for you guys in CNC. CLT is also in on the action. 

Jonathan, your stormvista maps are way ahead of WxBell, how's it look across the border around and west of Martinsville?  I see sleet creeping to the border on WxBell maps.

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