Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,393
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NW_of_GYX
    Newest Member
    NW_of_GYX
    Joined
Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

Recommended Posts

Just now, Buddy1987 said:

GEFS is def further south and east of the OP. On my phone and at work so don’t have pictures but at its closest approach it goes from Jacksonville FL to southeast of Myrtle and then east from there.

Sounds like an optimal track for us here in the Carolinas! 

  • Like 2
  • Confused 1
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

LOL at FV3 surface low track (at least as depicted on TT) -- it makes a perfect right angle from hours 108 to 120 -- goes due north, followed by due east. Unlikely ....

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

GEFS is def further south and east of the OP. On my phone and at work so don’t have pictures but at its closest approach it goes from Jacksonville FL to southeast of Myrtle and then east from there.

Hey Buddy, are you model watching while you should be working?:)

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Yeah, those counties and western upstate and NEGA seem to always have heartbreak with these CAD setups. By the time the cold gets this far SW the precip has passed and everybody to our north and east gets the big snows. It's really hard to take in the Ellicott rock area.

for someone who has spent my entire life in Upstate, SC....it's all about that H. Is it going to be strong enough to funnel cold air on the East side of the mountains to our area? It is impossible for people who have never lived here...to understand how much those mountains affect our weather. 

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, CADEffect said:

I find it hard to believe on FV3 the HP is in a perfect spot for All the CAD areas to score here. What am I missing?

The one thing you can argue is the High itself is rather weak. Although it can change, if if was up into the 1040's or so, there would be a noticeable difference.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Why is the FV3 showing so much more snow for Upstate SC? Is it seeing something in the CAD that other models aren't seeing or is it just that far off?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

It’s all rain here, no maps you need to see

I know everyone is focused on snow  but even the fv3 has surface temps near  or below freezing for a lot of the storm in the northern upstate. And that is not taking into consideration it's warm bias with cad. I think the icing potential in the upstate is quite high. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Lookout said:

I know everyone is focused on snow  but even the fv3 has surface temps near  or below freezing for a lot of the storm in the northern upstate. And that is not taking into consideration it's warm bias with cad. I think the icing potential in the upstate is quite high. 

I agree    :(     

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Cold Rain said:

Anyone got the UK snow map?

It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle 

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2018120412_138_480_220.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, wncsnow said:

It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle 

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2018120412_138_480_220.png

Thanks.  It'll be interesting to see how far east it gets with the snow line.  I expect the precip will be farther north than that.  I'm much more concerned about the cold air.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Anyone got the UK snow map?

Believe me, you don't want to see it. The track was further South but it's trip up the coast after that is not a good track for us.

 

UKMET_TotalSnow_SE_12z_18-12-04_Hr144.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×