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Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

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1 minute ago, NCSNOW said:

Cant draw it up any better. Oh the wait and hanging on to this/ locking it in. You'll see your foot finally

I know, right?  I came oh so close in the Feb '14 storm with that def band but only measured 8".. too wet and too much compression!

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43 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

You have no idea how bad I needed that laughing fit I just had after reading that... Thank you:D

I feel for ya Orangeburg. I know the pain from when I  lived around CAE. But Orangeburg is the spot to be for the afternoon storms all summer long. You've got that over the rest of us!!

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2 minutes ago, griteater said:

12z UKMet

 

 Here's the 120 hr panel to get a good look at the healthy CAD high over the NE.  Very good.

IXZ2f6w.png

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5 minutes ago, BretWheatley said:

Sweet Jesus. 

fv3p_asnow_us_34.png

 

Ok, even I can't weenie out that much.  I can't even with that.  CLT would bet counting snow in feet, not inches.  lol.  Gonna have that save that one though for fun! :snowing:

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1 minute ago, CentralNC said:

Hate to temper enthusiasm but it's still 6 days away and much will change.  Hard not to get excited though...

Yeah, y’all better screenshot that crap!! I was in the 32” bullseye on the Euro yesterday, now I’m looking at 3” of slop! It’s fickle, but enjoy 

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2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Sure wish we could see where the Snow line is on the 12z UK

Probably along or about 20 miles south of the NC/SC border

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Probably better to look at the QPF amounts to see how it's coming up with so much snowfall.  Widespread 2+" of liquid.. that's definitely in the 18"+ range.  And given how robust these STJ waves have been this past fall season I wouldn't doubt it.  Just need the cold air to make it happen.

e1gKhw3.png

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2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Probably along or about 20 miles south of the NC/SC border

Just looked...you are correct QC at hr120, but at hr144 the 0 deg at 850 is on the NC/VA line....so, it surges well north...good for VA, not for south of there

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3 minutes ago, griteater said:

Just looked...you are correct QC at hr120, but at hr144 the 0 deg at 850 is on the NC/VA line....so, it surges well north...good for VA, not for south of there

FV3 on its own then with the colder solution of the storm throughout. Hopefully the EURO will join to add weight.  I'd really like the UKMET to trend colder there...as well. 

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2 minutes ago, SnowNiner said:

FV3 on its own then with the colder solution of the storm throughout. Hopefully the EURO will join to add weight.  I'd really like the UKMET to trend colder there...as well. 

FV3 has trended more North each run.

 

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Ukmet looks like a dang close match to the new GFS to me. Maybe just a few hours slower, but with significantly better wedging out in front of the storm. Also maybe not quite as deep/strong as the new GFS.

That being said, I'm guessing the ukmet is a major hit well down in to upstate SC and NE Ga. Especially with the better early wedging.

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2 minutes ago, Cincy12 said:

FV3 has trended more North each run.

 

Yep, heavy stuff was nice while it lasted for me... Good luck guys but 8/20 GFS members still gave me at least a dusting so im not bailing just yet

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