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Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

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1 minute ago, RTPGiants said:

Where do people get the FV3 when TT is stuck?

switch to radar (rain/frozen)

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Oh my goodness, FV3 even colder than 6z run over Carolinas at 850mb -- 72 hours. 
What town as re you in bean

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

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32 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

I grew up in Fayetteville. I have seen my share of good snow. I only point out what the models are doing.  You know the truth. Sorry if that crushes your dreams. 

You pick and choose when you post well.   Can you enlighten me/us all on your thoughts.  Paid METs aren’t jumping one way or the other but you jump to rain as often as possible.  If you know what’s going to happen exactly then post a map. If not then switch to the banter or sanitarium posts!  Sorry but weeding through the bs posts is getting old.

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Just now, ballnutncwx said:

Ah crap.  Jim Cantori is in CLT airport..

 

I've heard on social media that he is going to Asheville tomorrow.

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1 minute ago, ballnutncwx said:

Ah crap.  Jim Cantori is in CLT airport..

 

I just posted this to the mountains thread, he's going to Asheville for this one.

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1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

NAM was worse, GFS wasn't as good, and now the Canadian and FV3 are colder and snowier. I guess we get the model wars now. 

The NAM seems to be playing hard what the main issue is with this event since the beginning.  The high timing is 24 hours late for wedging and is generally too far north to ensure a true southern frozen event.  If this system was 24 hours slower this is a massive winter storm down to Macon and most of NC is likely snow.  If the high is 200 miles south this is all snow for most of northern AL and GA and north 

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Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

I've used it for a very long time, has some goof info on the site.

I agree.  It does a very good job with the various forms of data and comparisons as well.  I also have noticed that various sites have different outcomes with the same models.  So it's also interesting to cross compare sites.  Interesting stuff.

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1 minute ago, WNCwx said:

I've heard on social media that he is going to Asheville tomorrow.

 

1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said:

I just posted this to the mountains thread, he's going to Asheville for this one.

Either buried or busted... Either way it is a kiss of death

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Just now, Orangeburgwx said:

 

Either buried or busted... Either way it is a kiss of death

What an awesome job to be paid to head right to the center of these things!

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Just now, jjwxman said:

Geez... The FV3 looks AWESOME.  But the 12z NAM definitely took the air out of the room.  #NAM'd

 

It is the NAM so you have to pay attention to it, but besides the control GFS with less QPF, the NAM is really on an island at this point.

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